109 N Main St · Black Oak, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you've been looking for space, simplicity, and a convenient location, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is a great fit. Situated on a spacious corner lot, there's plenty of room to spread out. Inside, the primary suite features a walk-in closet and a private bath with a soaking tubperfect for unwinding at the end of the day. The layout is functional and comfortable, making it easy to feel right at home. The large backyard offers great potential, already featuring a concrete slab for entertaining, a shop, or future additions. The roof was replaced within the last 5 years, adding peace of mind. Enjoy small-town living with easy access to everyday conveniencesless than 30 minutes to Jonesb
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Private bath
- Soaking tub
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Microwave
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#372 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Buffalo Is. Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #98 of 238 in AR (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Buffalo Is. Central East Elem. (math 54% / reading 43%, grade D, #109 of 454 statewide, top 25%, 393 students, 64% FRL); Buffalo Is. Central Hs (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #161 of 292 statewide, top 56%, 338 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.98%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $17,983
- Equity at exit
- $44,964
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $55,756
- Equity at exit
- $69,295
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72414
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $93
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $128 | +0% $93 | +5% $58 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $15 | -5% $54 | +0% $93 | +5% $132 | +10% $171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $143 | -0.5pp $118 | base $93 | +0.5pp $67 | +1.0pp $41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-28$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$953
- − Management
- −$953
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo Is. Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503710
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,706
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5978
- State rank
- #98 of 238 in AR
Livability — Black Oak
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #372
- US rank
- #22345
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Black Oak, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 289
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $100,000 NEABOR MLS
Property tax history
-17.9%/yrLatest (2025): $18 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…