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C- Composite 52.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

109 N Main St · Black Oak, AR 72414
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,136 sqft · Manufactured public records · 29 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you've been looking for space, simplicity, and a convenient location, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is a great fit. Situated on a spacious corner lot, there's plenty of room to spread out. Inside, the primary suite features a walk-in closet and a private bath with a soaking tubperfect for unwinding at the end of the day. The layout is functional and comfortable, making it easy to feel right at home. The large backyard offers great potential, already featuring a concrete slab for entertaining, a shop, or future additions. The roof was replaced within the last 5 years, adding peace of mind. Enjoy small-town living with easy access to everyday conveniencesless than 30 minutes to Jonesb

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Private bath
  • Soaking tub

Tags

CORNER LOTWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE BATHSOAKING TUBLARGE BACKYARDCONCRETE SLAB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Microwave

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#372 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Buffalo Is. Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #98 of 238 in AR (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Buffalo Is. Central East Elem. (math 54% / reading 43%, grade D, #109 of 454 statewide, top 25%, 393 students, 64% FRL); Buffalo Is. Central Hs (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #161 of 292 statewide, top 56%, 338 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
3.98%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$17,983
Equity at exit
$44,964
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$55,756
Equity at exit
$69,295

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72414

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $128 +0% $93 +5% $58 +10% $24
Rent -10% $15 -5% $54 +0% $93 +5% $132 +10% $171
Rate -1.0pp $143 -0.5pp $118 base $93 +0.5pp $67 +1.0pp $41

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,910
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$953
− Management
−$953
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$506
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$122
After-tax cash flow
$1,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo Is. Central School District
NCES district ID
0503710
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$39,706
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5978
State rank
#98 of 238 in AR

Livability — Black Oak

Score
57/100
State rank
#372
US rank
#22345

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Black Oak, AR
Population (ZIP)
289

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $100,000 NEABOR MLS

Property tax history

-17.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $18 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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