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14 S Sugar Loop
D Composite 44.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$317,987

14 S Sugar Loop · Nampa, ID 83687
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,509 sqft · Townhouse public records · 68 Days on market
Built 2002 2,178 sqft lot Est $347k · 8% under $41/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

“Fantastic opportunity in Nampa; Very well maintained 3 bed, 2.5 bath town-home with a 2-car garage, priced to sell. Fully fenced backyard with a nice patio slab, large master bedroom and private master bath. This property offers close proximity to downtown Nampa and easy I-84 freeway access. Great value in today’s market. ” * * * * * * Seller is Offering a 1 year Buyer's Home warranty. * * * * * * OPEN HOUSE 5/17/26 from 12-2PM * * *

Key facts

  • Patio slab
  • $41 HOA
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARDPATIO SLABEASY I-84 FREEWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is in the Sugar Meadows #2 subdivision
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $41.50

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Cable connected; Public paved road frontage
  • Home design: Townhouse; Built in 2002
  • Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Automatic full sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven/Range (freestanding)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master, bedroom 2 and bedroom 3 all on upper level); Master bedroom approx. 23 x 17; Bedroom 2 approx. 14 x 14; Bedroom 3 approx. 13 x 12
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 3 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Bath in master bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level (approx. 6 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $318k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($471/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (21.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nampa School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #82 of 92 in ID (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Park Ridge Elementary (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #332 of 357 statewide, top 95%, 302 students, 54% FRL); East Valley Middle School (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #102 of 109 statewide, top 95%, 668 students, 49% FRL); Columbia High School (math 16% / reading 52%, grade F, #115 of 169 statewide, top 68%, 1,239 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 638 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $248,936 (21.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.53%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$347,070
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
55 S Sugar Loop Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,509 (0%) 8mo $299,500 $198 91
47 S Sugar Loop Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,509 (0%) 19mo $279,990 $186 82
2324 E Spice Loop #4 0.11mi 3/3.0 1,400 (-7%) 3mo $325,000 $232 78
2111 4th St N 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,494 (-1%) 14mo $349,900 $234 78
2316 E Spice Loop #4 0.13mi 3/3.0 1,380 (-8%) 4mo $316,990 $230 75
2315 E Spice Loop #4 0.10mi 3/3.0 1,372 (-9%) 7mo $332,499 $242 72
2304 E Spice Loop #4 0.13mi 3/3.0 1,380 (-8%) 17mo $309,000 $224 64
2310 E Spice Loop #3 Loop 0.14mi 3/3.0 1,373 (-9%) 21mo $325,000 $237 59
2480 E Hidden Creek St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,723 (+14%) 3mo $374,900 $218 50
2492 E Hidden Creek St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,723 (+14%) 4mo $374,900 $218 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-48,048
Equity at exit
$47,413
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-34,558
Equity at exit
$27,494

Cash invested: $89,036 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83687

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
638
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,489 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,668
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$132
HOA
$41
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,440
Max offer price $317,987
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $219 -5% $129 +0% $39 +5% $-51 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-59 +0% $39 +5% $138 +10% $236
Rate -1.0pp $199 -0.5pp $120 base $39 +0.5pp $-43 +1.0pp $-127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,497
Closing costs
$9,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
44 S Sugar Loop Ln Unit 1460915P Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1237 $3,497 $2.83 5d 1 0.04mi
2807 Mink Pl Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1246 $1,925 $1.54 23d 1 0.41mi
220 15th Ave S #4 Nampa, ID 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,500 $1.36 5d 1 0.71mi
2322 E Dewey Ave Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,900 $1.03 4d 1 0.76mi
146 N Grant St Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 23d 1 0.81mi
112 S Diamond St Nampa, ID 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,695 $1.60 5d 1 0.82mi
724 15th Ave S Nampa, ID 4.0 2.0 1210 $2,400 $1.98 5d 1 0.98mi
512 S Elder St Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,725 $1.11 23d 1 1.05mi
812 2nd St N Nampa, ID 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,800 $1.29 5d 1 1.07mi
123 S Holly St Nampa, ID 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,595 $1.52 5d 1 1.12mi
117 Shoshone Ave Nampa, ID 3.0 2.5 1557 $1,925 $1.24 23d 1 1.15mi
1004 Southside Blvd Nampa, ID 2.0–3.0 2.0 1212 $1,974 $1.63 4d 7 1.20mi
2023 E Elm Grove Dr Unit 1460911P Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1399 $3,389 $2.42 5d 1 1.26mi
2324 Yucca Pl Nampa, ID 4.0 2.0 1460 $2,095 $1.43 25d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$41 · $492/yr

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $317,987 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $317,987 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $317,987 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $317,987 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $317,987 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $317,987 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $317,987 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $317,987 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $317,987 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $317,987 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $317,987 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $317,987 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $317,987 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $317,987 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    price $317,987
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $327,987 Active
  17. 2020-02-28
    soldstatus Sold
  18. 2020-02-28
    soldstatus
  19. 2020-01-12
    status Pending
  20. 2020-01-07
    listed $175,000 Active
  21. 2016-11-28
    listed $116,500
  22. 2013-06-20
    listed $74,900
  23. 2007-08-22
    soldstatus
  24. 2007-08-22
    soldstatus
  25. 2007-08-22
    soldstatus
  26. 2007-07-27
    listed $129,900
  27. 2007-07-27
    listed $129,900
  28. 2005-11-28
    soldstatus
  29. 2005-09-19
    soldstatus
  30. 2004-08-16
    listed $104,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,194 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$1,159/yr (+$97/mo · 111.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,872
− Mortgage interest
−$17,812
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$1,590
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,390
− Management
−$2,390
− HOA
−$492
− Depreciation
−$9,251
Taxable loss
−$5,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,221
After-tax cash flow
$1,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nampa School District
NCES district ID
1602340
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$43,576
Composite
27.18/100
National rank
#7022
State rank
#82 of 92 in ID

Livability — Nampa

Score
72/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#6250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nampa, ID
County
Canyon County · 235,358 people
City population
142,249
Metro
Boise City, ID
Population (ZIP)
43,135
Household income
$76,682
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
683.0

Population outlook (Canyon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
269,596 · +8.3%
By 2040
311,081 · +25.0%
By 2050
350,809 · +41.0%
By 2075
441,884 · +77.6%
By 2100
505,641 · +103.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Canyon

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.4% · R 72.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -46.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.6 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+35.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.50%
Current HPI
388.8148
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Boise City, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $317,987 IMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $327,987 IMLS
  • 2020-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-02-28 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2020-01-12 Pending IMLS
  • 2020-01-07 Listed $175,000 IMLS
  • 2016-11-28 Listed $116,500 IMLS
  • 2013-06-20 Listed $74,900 IMLS
  • 2007-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-08-22 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2007-08-22 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Listed $129,900 IMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Listed $129,900 IMLS
  • 2005-11-28 Sold (MLS) IMLS
  • 2005-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-08-16 Listed $104,900 IMLS

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,035 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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