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15055 Cedar Springs Dr
F Composite 31.32
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$292,000

15055 Cedar Springs Dr · Biloxi, MS 39532
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2006 0.72 ac lot Est $270k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Private oasis
  • Beautiful pool

Tags

NEWER ROOFPRIVATE OASISEXPANSIVE BACKYARDBEAUTIFUL POOLPRIME LOCATIONHIGHLY DESIRABLE COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Garage faces front; Concrete driveway
  • Security: Prewired for security; Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Private in-ground saltwater pool; Deck; Porch and rear porch; Fire pit; Private yard; Rain gutters; Partial privacy wood fencing; Fenced; Pie-shaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $292k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (13.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (32.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woolmarket Elementary School (math 65% / reading 57%, grade B, #25 of 375 statewide, top 7%, 495 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Harrison County School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $176k; list at $292k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,593 (32.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.18%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15055 Cedar Springs Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,777 (+2%) 1mo $292,000 $164 92
14954 Clear Springs Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+0%) 4mo $259,900 $149 88
15210 Cedar Springs Dr 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,646 (-6%) 3mo $260,000 $158 77
14975 Clear Springs Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,709 (-2%) 12mo $220,000 $129 71
15003 Greenwell Cir 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,860 (+7%) 4mo $274,999 $148 70
14984 Clear Springs Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,671 (-4%) 13mo $259,000 $155 67
15053 Cedar Springs Dr 0.01mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,709 (-2%) 24mo $245,000 $143 67
15205 Cedar Springs Dr 0.19mi 4/2.0 1,890 (+8%) 9mo $269,000 $142 66
15019 Clear Springs Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,709 (-2%) 22mo $248,900 $146 59
8132 Curry Rd 0.43mi 4/2.5 1,929 (+11%) 13mo $349,900 $181 46
15130 Cedar Springs Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,485 (-15%) 18mo $235,000 $158 43
7953 Village Green Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,949 (+12%) 23mo $364,500 $187 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-61,269
Equity at exit
$43,538
10-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-71,769
Equity at exit
$25,247

Cash invested: $81,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39532

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
393
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,531
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,400/yr
Insurance
$122
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$-217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,240
Max offer price $253,753
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-51 -5% $-134 +0% $-217 +5% $-299 +10% $-382
Rent -10% $-372 -5% $-294 +0% $-217 +5% $-139 +10% $-61
Rate -1.0pp $-69 -0.5pp $-142 base $-217 +0.5pp $-292 +1.0pp $-369

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,000
Closing costs
$8,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9023 Bellewood Pl Biloxi, MS 4.0 2.0 2054 $2,300 $1.12 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $292,000 Active
  3. 2022-05-24
    soldstatus
  4. 2022-05-20
    soldstatus Closed 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!

  5. 2022-04-17
    status Pending 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!

  6. 2022-04-15
    listed $267,000 Active 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!

  7. 2021-10-01
    historical
  8. 2015-03-10
    soldstatus $176,000
  9. 2015-03-06
    soldstatus
  10. 2013-11-20
    listed $179,900
  11. 2012-05-01
    listed $177,900
  12. 2006-08-09
    soldstatus
  13. 2006-05-10
    listed $181,975
  14. 2002-12-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,400 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,307 · $192/mo
Expected delta
+$907/yr (+$76/mo · 64.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,591
− Mortgage interest
−$16,357
− Property taxes
−$1,400
− Insurance
−$1,460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,887
− Management
−$1,887
− Depreciation
−$8,495
Taxable loss
−$7,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,895
After-tax cash flow
$-703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Biloxi

Score
79/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2141

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
63,281
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
36,662
Household income
$68,710
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.04%
Current HPI
154.9975
Rent YoY
▲ 2.98%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+60.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $292,000 MLSU
  • 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2022-04-17 Pending MLSU
  • 2022-04-15 Listed $267,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2015-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-06 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2013-11-20 Listed $179,900 MLSU
  • 2012-05-01 Listed $177,900 MLSU
  • 2006-08-09 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-05-10 Listed $181,975 MLSU
  • 2002-12-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,400 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…