15055 Cedar Springs Dr · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$292,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Private oasis
- Beautiful pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Garage faces front; Concrete driveway
- Security: Prewired for security; Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Private in-ground saltwater pool; Deck; Porch and rear porch; Fire pit; Private yard; Rain gutters; Partial privacy wood fencing; Fenced; Pie-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $292k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (13.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (32.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woolmarket Elementary School (math 65% / reading 57%, grade B, #25 of 375 statewide, top 7%, 495 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Harrison County School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $176k; list at $292k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.18%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15055 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,777 (+2%) | 1mo | $292,000 | $164 | 92 |
| 14954 Clear Springs Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (+0%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $149 | 88 |
| 15210 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,646 (-6%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $158 | 77 |
| 14975 Clear Springs Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,709 (-2%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $129 | 71 |
| 15003 Greenwell Cir | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,860 (+7%) | 4mo | $274,999 | $148 | 70 |
| 14984 Clear Springs Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,671 (-4%) | 13mo | $259,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 15053 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,709 (-2%) | 24mo | $245,000 | $143 | 67 |
| 15205 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,890 (+8%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 15019 Clear Springs Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,709 (-2%) | 22mo | $248,900 | $146 | 59 |
| 8132 Curry Rd | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,929 (+11%) | 13mo | $349,900 | $181 | 46 |
| 15130 Cedar Springs Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,485 (-15%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $158 | 43 |
| 7953 Village Green Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,949 (+12%) | 23mo | $364,500 | $187 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-61,269
- Equity at exit
- $43,538
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-71,769
- Equity at exit
- $25,247
Cash invested: $81,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39532
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,531
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-51 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-299 | +10% $-382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-372 | -5% $-294 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-139 | +10% $-61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-69 | -0.5pp $-142 | base $-217 | +0.5pp $-292 | +1.0pp $-369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,000
- Closing costs
- $8,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9023 Bellewood Pl Biloxi, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2054 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-19status Pending
-
2026-04-09$292,000 Active
-
2022-05-24soldstatus
-
2022-05-20soldstatus Closed 547-char remark
Show marketing remark (547 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!
-
2022-04-17status Pending 547-char remark
Show marketing remark (547 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!
-
2022-04-15$267,000 Active 547-char remark
Show marketing remark (547 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Pack your bags and move right in but don't forget your swimsuit! This home packs a punch with an INGROUND SALT POOL, wonderful backyard for entertaining, over a 1/2 acre lot, partially fenced, a firepit, sought after neighborhood and schools. BONUS: There's also an amazing wooden boardwalk through the woods to a serene landing deck and huge swing for some nature watching. With 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, vaulted ceilings and fireplace, what else could you ask for! Call your favorite Realtor today and make your appointment!
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2015-03-10soldstatus $176,000
-
2015-03-06soldstatus
-
2013-11-20$179,900
-
2012-05-01$177,900
-
2006-08-09soldstatus
-
2006-05-10$181,975
-
2002-12-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,400 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,307 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- +$907/yr (+$76/mo · 64.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,357
- − Property taxes
- −$1,400
- − Insurance
- −$1,460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − Depreciation
- −$8,495
- Taxable loss
- −$7,894
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,895
- After-tax cash flow
- $-703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,662
- Household income
- $68,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 154.9975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+60.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-09 Listed $292,000 MLSU
- 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-04-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-04-15 Listed $267,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2015-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
- 2015-03-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-11-20 Listed $179,900 MLSU
- 2012-05-01 Listed $177,900 MLSU
- 2006-08-09 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-05-10 Listed $181,975 MLSU
- 2002-12-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,400 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…