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2750 Thornbury Way
C+ Composite 61.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$224,900

2750 Thornbury Way · South Fulton, GA 30349
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1988 0.34 ac lot $80/sqft · 25% below area Est $299k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($830/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 656 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $225k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $204,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.32%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,105
List price
$224,900
Delta
-24.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$122,630
Equity at exit
$202,608
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$349,730
Equity at exit
$436,931

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
656
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,146 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,232/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,058
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $133 +0% $69 +5% $5 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-100 -5% $-16 +0% $69 +5% $154 +10% $239
Rate -1.0pp $182 -0.5pp $126 base $69 +0.5pp $11 +1.0pp $-48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7156 Tanger Blvd Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 1984 $2,229 $1.12 3d 1 0.54mi
2565 Carolina Rdg Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1963 $2,081 $1.06 0d 1 0.59mi
2625 Carolina Rdg Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 1936 $2,125 $1.10 21d 1 0.63mi
2372 Creel Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 2579 $2,229 $0.86 3d 1 0.81mi
3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 6d 1 0.87mi
3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 17d 1 0.87mi
2328 Creel Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 2100 $1,895 $0.90 44d 1 0.90mi
2714 Topaz Rd Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 2674 $2,401 $0.90 25d 1 0.91mi
6893 Estepona St Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2724 $2,330 $0.86 6d 1 1.07mi
6325 Polar Fox Ct Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 2471 $2,445 $0.99 23d 1 1.33mi
135 Beethoven Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.0 2454 $1,850 $0.75 6d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $224,900 Under Contract 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-05-08
    price $224,900 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.

  5. 2026-02-06
    listed $239,900 New 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.

  6. 1992-09-29
    soldstatus $86,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,232 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,232 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,746
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$4,232
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,060
− Management
−$2,060
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$2,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$689
After-tax cash flow
$1,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $224,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $239,900 GAMLS
  • 1992-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,232 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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