2750 Thornbury Way · South Fulton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1988
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($830/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 656 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $225k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,105
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -24.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $122,630
- Equity at exit
- $202,608
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $349,730
- Equity at exit
- $436,931
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30349
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 656
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$353 /mo · $4,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $133 | +0% $69 | +5% $5 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-100 | -5% $-16 | +0% $69 | +5% $154 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $126 | base $69 | +0.5pp $11 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7156 Tanger Blvd Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1984 | $2,229 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2565 Carolina Rdg Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1963 | $2,081 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2625 Carolina Rdg Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $2,125 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2372 Creel Rd Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2579 | $2,229 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2328 Creel Rd Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $1,895 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2714 Topaz Rd Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2674 | $2,401 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6893 Estepona St Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2724 | $2,330 | $0.86 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6325 Polar Fox Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2471 | $2,445 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 135 Beethoven Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2454 | $1,850 | $0.75 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $224,900 Under Contract 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $224,900 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.
-
2026-02-06$239,900 New 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious single-family 2 story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathroom with approximately 2,808 square feet of living space. The floor plan includes a large living area, a kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space, and a separate dining area. Bedrooms are generously sized, one is located on the main floor. Great for a guest room.
-
1992-09-29soldstatus $86,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,232 · $353/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,232 · $353/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,746
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$4,232
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,060
- − Management
- −$2,060
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$2,871
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — South Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Fulton, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 127,674
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,872
- Household income
- $67,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4258.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.01%
- Current HPI
- 407.99
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.95%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+160.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $224,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $239,900 GAMLS
- 1992-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,232 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…