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1601 43rd St N #129
D- Composite 39.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

1601 43rd St N #129 · St. Petersburg, FL 33713
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Condo public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1984 $656/mo HOA · 29% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Harshaw Lake Park! Discover a hidden gem in this small (63 unit) 55+ complex, BUILT IN 1984, in the heart of St. Petersburg - MOVE-IN ready GROUND FLOOR 2 bedroom 2 bath condo (1,140 htd. sqft) with enclosed Florida room and INSIDE LAUNDRY! The inviting EAT-IN KITCHEN boasts newer Whirlpool and Kenmore appliances, Granite counters & tile backsplash, new faucet, modern designer-style lighting, and ample cabinet space - perfect for cooking & entertaining. Designed for comfort, the open-concept split floor plan allows for seamless flow and privacy between living spaces. Enjoy your morning coffee in your private "backyard oasis" overlooking the tranquil gardens

Key facts

  • Ground floor condo
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Granite counters

Tags

GROUND FLOOR CONDOENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOMINSIDE LAUNDRYEAT-IN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERSTILE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association names: Hunter Moore; Harshaw Lake Park
  • Financial info: Total annual association fees $7,872; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $656 (includes cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Association approval required; Association recreation owned, clubhouse, pool, community mailbox, sidewalks; No truck/RV/motorcycle parking; Senior community; cats allowed; Condo land included

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Security: Community with deed restrictions and buyer approval required
  • Utilities: Public water (see remarks); Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; BB/HS internet available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Condominium (attached); One-level unit (floor 1); West-facing
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Built-up roof; Slab foundation; Completed condition; Part of Harshaw Lake Park Condo
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Sidewalks; Masonry fencing; Landscaped grounds; Cleared and private lot; Paved roads (private maintained road); Irrigation equipment

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Stone counters; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (first floor)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom floorplan; Stone counters; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Shades; Accessible entrance; Inside utility / great room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (7.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary School (math 56% / reading 50%, grade C, #963 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 477 students, 63% FRL); Tyrone Middle School (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 847 students, 68% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 311 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $210k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,290 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.92%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.8%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-44,895
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-65,924
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33713

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $491/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$656
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,386
Max offer price $193,290
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-35 +0% $-94 +5% $-153 +10% $-213
Rent -10% $-273 -5% $-184 +0% $-94 +5% $-4 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $12 -0.5pp $-41 base $-94 +0.5pp $-148 +1.0pp $-204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1803 42nd Way N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1421 $4,200 $2.96 26d 1 0.16mi
4136 13th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1154 $2,600 $2.25 13d 1 0.23mi
4148 11th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 806 $2,000 $2.48 26d 1 0.33mi
1101 46th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 0d 1 0.36mi
4218 24th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1121 $1,925 $1.72 6d 1 0.42mi
4594 10th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1432 $3,100 $2.16 26d 1 0.44mi
1200 37th St N #409 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 827 $1,695 $2.05 6d 1 0.53mi
4942 Oxford Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 776 $1,700 $2.19 26d 1 0.55mi
3801 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 702 $1,295 $1.84 0d 1 0.55mi
4526 6th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 888 $1,950 $2.20 6d 1 0.65mi
600 40th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1187 $1,598 $1.35 6d 12 0.65mi
4227 5th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 930 $2,100 $2.26 6d 1 0.66mi
3700 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $2,025 $2.68 3d 3 0.67mi
3901 5th Ave N Unit 3901 5th D St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 825 $1,595 $1.93 9d 1 0.72mi
5145 17th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1242 $2,875 $2.31 0d 1 0.73mi
630 50th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1085 $2,070 $1.91 26d 1 0.82mi
3601 6th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 808 $2,400 $2.97 6d 1 0.83mi
4083 30th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 924 $1,750 $1.89 19d 1 0.87mi
5330 11th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 756 $1,800 $2.38 6d 1 0.91mi
3750 4th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 881 $2,100 $2.38 26d 1 0.93mi
3664 29th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1105 $2,400 $2.17 16d 1 0.95mi
5318 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1142 $2,600 $2.28 6d 1 0.95mi
3720 3rd Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 3.0 1392 $3,000 $2.16 26d 1 1.00mi
3844 Burlington Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 828 $1,895 $2.29 21d 1 1.00mi
250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 826 $1,798 $2.18 5d 1 1.01mi
250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 826 $1,813 $2.19 9d 1 1.01mi
3823 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 944 $2,300 $2.44 5d 1 1.03mi
3938 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,495 $2.50 5d 1 1.04mi
5535 18th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 961 $1,975 $2.06 0d 1 1.05mi
3100 Hartford St N #121 Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 755 $1,200 $1.59 26d 1 1.09mi
3435 3rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 772 $1,795 $2.32 3d 4 1.10mi
3653 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1024 $2,500 $2.44 26d 1 1.11mi
3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 700 $1,895 $2.71 0d 1 1.11mi
3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,950 $1.77 26d 1 1.11mi
3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 700 $1,895 $2.71 12d 1 1.11mi
2819 53rd St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,995 $2.22 6d 1 1.13mi
3480 32nd Ave N #105 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $1,350 $1.68 19d 1 1.14mi
3460 32nd Ave N #101 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $1,700 $2.11 4d 1 1.15mi
5050 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 816 $1,495 $1.83 5d 1 1.18mi
3316 31st Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,649 $2.00 0d 3 1.21mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$656 · $7,872/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $209,900 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,900 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,900 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $209,900 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $210,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-04-02
    price $215,000
  15. 2026-03-24
    listed $229,900 Active
  16. 1984-06-01
    soldstatus $64,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$491 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,251/yr (+$104/mo · 254.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,207
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$491
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,177
− Management
−$2,177
− HOA
−$7,872
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$4,423
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,062
After-tax cash flow
$-67/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,729
Household income
$74,707
Rent vs Own
31.3% rent · 68.7% own
Severe rent burden
1076.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -439.69%
Current HPI
478.8317
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+231.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $491 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…