1601 43rd St N #129 · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Harshaw Lake Park! Discover a hidden gem in this small (63 unit) 55+ complex, BUILT IN 1984, in the heart of St. Petersburg - MOVE-IN ready GROUND FLOOR 2 bedroom 2 bath condo (1,140 htd. sqft) with enclosed Florida room and INSIDE LAUNDRY! The inviting EAT-IN KITCHEN boasts newer Whirlpool and Kenmore appliances, Granite counters & tile backsplash, new faucet, modern designer-style lighting, and ample cabinet space - perfect for cooking & entertaining. Designed for comfort, the open-concept split floor plan allows for seamless flow and privacy between living spaces. Enjoy your morning coffee in your private "backyard oasis" overlooking the tranquil gardens
Key facts
- Ground floor condo
- Eat-in kitchen
- Granite counters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association names: Hunter Moore; Harshaw Lake Park
- Financial info: Total annual association fees $7,872; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $656 (includes cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Association approval required; Association recreation owned, clubhouse, pool, community mailbox, sidewalks; No truck/RV/motorcycle parking; Senior community; cats allowed; Condo land included
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Security: Community with deed restrictions and buyer approval required
- Utilities: Public water (see remarks); Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; BB/HS internet available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Condominium (attached); One-level unit (floor 1); West-facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Built-up roof; Slab foundation; Completed condition; Part of Harshaw Lake Park Condo
- Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Sidewalks; Masonry fencing; Landscaped grounds; Cleared and private lot; Paved roads (private maintained road); Irrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Stone counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom floorplan; Stone counters; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Shades; Accessible entrance; Inside utility / great room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (7.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary School (math 56% / reading 50%, grade C, #963 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 477 students, 63% FRL); Tyrone Middle School (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 847 students, 68% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 311 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $210k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.92%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-44,895
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -27.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-65,924
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33713
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $491/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$656
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $-94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-35 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-273 | -5% $-184 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-4 | +10% $85 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12 | -0.5pp $-41 | base $-94 | +0.5pp $-148 | +1.0pp $-204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1803 42nd Way N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $4,200 | $2.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4136 13th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,600 | $2.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4148 11th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $2,000 | $2.48 | 26d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1101 46th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4218 24th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,925 | $1.72 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4594 10th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 26d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1200 37th St N #409 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 827 | $1,695 | $2.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4942 Oxford Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,700 | $2.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3801 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,295 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4526 6th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,950 | $2.20 | 6d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 600 40th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1187 | $1,598 | $1.35 | 6d | 12 | 0.65mi |
| 4227 5th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $2,100 | $2.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3700 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $2,025 | $2.68 | 3d | 3 | 0.67mi |
| 3901 5th Ave N Unit 3901 5th D St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,595 | $1.93 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5145 17th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,875 | $2.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 630 50th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $2,070 | $1.91 | 26d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3601 6th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 808 | $2,400 | $2.97 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4083 30th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5330 11th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,800 | $2.38 | 6d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3750 4th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $2,100 | $2.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3664 29th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $2,400 | $2.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5318 9th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,600 | $2.28 | 6d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3720 3rd Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1392 | $3,000 | $2.16 | 26d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3844 Burlington Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,895 | $2.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,798 | $2.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 250 37th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,813 | $2.19 | 9d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3823 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3938 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5535 18th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 961 | $1,975 | $2.06 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3100 Hartford St N #121 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,200 | $1.59 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3435 3rd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,795 | $2.32 | 3d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 3653 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,895 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3815 1st Ave N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,895 | $2.71 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2819 53rd St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,995 | $2.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3480 32nd Ave N #105 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,350 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3460 32nd Ave N #101 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,700 | $2.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5050 2nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,495 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3316 31st Ave N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,649 | $2.00 | 0d | 3 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $656 · $7,872/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $209,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $209,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $210,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $215,000
-
2026-03-24$229,900 Active
-
1984-06-01soldstatus $64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $491 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,742 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,251/yr (+$104/mo · 254.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$491
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,177
- − Management
- −$2,177
- − HOA
- −$7,872
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$4,423
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $-67/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,729
- Household income
- $74,707
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -439.69%
- Current HPI
- 478.8317
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+231.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $491 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…