3223 N 40th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$110,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below listing price will be considered per Wisconsin foreclosure law. Offers from Owner Occupants will be considered preferred bidders. Bids due by July 14, 2026 at 10:00 am
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1922
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Built (year per assessor/public record)
- Exterior features: Aluminum and vinyl exterior siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 10
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level, about 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Full basement; Living room on main level; Kitchen on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($762 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.51%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4018 W Burliegh St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (+2%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $44 | 88 |
| 3052 N 40th St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (0%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $60 | 87 |
| 3221 N 38th St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-5%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $64 | 83 |
| 3035 N 47th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (+2%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $79 | 71 |
| 2865 N 36th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+4%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $102 | 64 |
| 3144 N 38th St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-12%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $110 | 63 |
| 4226 W Sieben Pl | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (-14%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $85 | 62 |
| 3300 N 44th St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-13%) | 8mo | $73,000 | $68 | 59 |
| 2807 N 36th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,297 (+5%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $54 | 59 |
| 3429 N 41st St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (-12%) | 4mo | $151,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 3448 N 41st St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-11%) | 6mo | $233,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 4620 W Keefe Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,331 (+7%) | 7mo | $127,300 | $96 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $23,075
- Equity at exit
- $39,515
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $84,528
- Equity at exit
- $54,010
Cash invested: $30,856 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53216
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$578
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $250 | +0% $219 | +5% $188 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $169 | +0% $219 | +5% $268 | +10% $318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $247 | base $219 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,550
- Closing costs
- $3,306
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3214 N 41st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3340 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4409 W Burleigh St Apt 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3124 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3630 W Nash St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3072 N 49th St Unit 3072- 3 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3072 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3066 N 49th St Unit 3066-5 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2706 N 39th St Unit 2706 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $845 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2842 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3890 N Sherman Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2712 N 44th St Unit 2712A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $995 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2663 N 44th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2841 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,098 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3100 W Center St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,531 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5137 W Keefe Ave Unit 5137 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2550 N 36th St Unit 2550A Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $845 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2530 N 37th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2512 N 41st St #2514 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2613 N 48th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2947 N 54th St #2945 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2629 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3039 N 24th Pl Unit 3039 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,200 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,200 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,200 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,200 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,200 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,200 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 263-char remark
-
2026-06-08$110,200 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,906 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,173
- − Property taxes
- −$1,774
- − Insurance
- −$551
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$3,206
- Taxable income
- $936
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,345
- Household income
- $46,752
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 381.0954
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+588.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $110,200 METROMLS
- 2005-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1977-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,774 · -38.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…