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Highgate Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 27.44
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$261,999

Highgate Plan · Hutto, TX 78634
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,802 sqft · SingleFamily · 125 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

Key facts

  • Chef-ready kitchen
  • Open floorplan
  • Adjoining bathroom

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANCHEF-READY KITCHENTRANQUIL OWNER'S SUITEADJOINING BATHROOMSPRAWLING GAME ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $261,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $344,574.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $262k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-711 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (7.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#79 in TX, #2,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Hutto ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #438 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hutto El (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 744 students, 36% FRL); Hutto H S (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,010 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 1039 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,480 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.84%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
13.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,574
List price
$261,999
Delta
-23.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
302 Floating Leaf Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,740 (-3%) 2mo $280,000 $161 76
124 Waterlily Way 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,876 (+4%) 1mo $319,999 $171 75
308 Babblebrook Way 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,671 (-7%) 1mo $329,000 $197 72
110 S Creek Bend Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,757 (-2%) 1mo $308,500 $176 68
114 Gainer Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 1,976 (+10%) 0mo $275,000 $139 55
206 Bankside Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,029 (+13%) 2mo $320,000 $158 52
120 Edison Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,908 (+6%) 0mo $309,999 $162 51
110 W Pecan St 0.64mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,924 (+7%) 2mo $399,000 $207 50
504 Milliner Loop 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,638 (-9%) 0mo $305,000 $186 50
201 Camellia Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,981 (+10%) 0mo $300,000 $151 48
115 Camellia Dr 0.69mi 4/3.0 2,067 (+15%) 1mo $315,000 $152 41
104 Paddington Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,556 (-14%) 0mo $278,000 $179 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.3%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-107,259
Equity at exit
$51,377
10-year hold
IRR
-69.8%
Equity multiple
-0.82×
Total profit
$-175,497
Equity at exit
$29,792

Cash invested: $96,481 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78634

Rents YoY
-2.4%
Active inventory
1039
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,807
Tax est. 1.5%
$431 /mo · $5,169/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$-711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,014
Max offer price $241,752
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-472 -5% $-592 +0% $-711 +5% $-830 +10% $-949
Rent -10% $-878 -5% $-794 +0% $-711 +5% $-627 +10% $-544
Rate -1.0pp $-537 -0.5pp $-623 base $-711 +0.5pp $-800 +1.0pp $-891

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,144
Closing costs
$10,337
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 Cotton Creek Way Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 1880 $1,975 $1.05 6d 1 0.05mi
107 Harvest Ln Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,750 $1.41 45d 1 0.05mi
107 Tanglewood Ln Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1510 $1,900 $1.26 19d 1 0.10mi
102 Aguilar Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1687 $1,850 $1.10 19d 1 0.17mi
102 Aguilar Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1687 $1,850 $1.10 16d 1 0.17mi
107 Aguilar Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,750 $1.00 14d 1 0.19mi
110 Grapefruit Rd Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 2581 $2,275 $0.88 46d 1 0.29mi
434 Windy Reed Rd Hutto, TX 3.0 2.5 2451 $2,200 $0.90 45d 1 0.39mi
411 Water Way Ave Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 2385 $2,450 $1.03 19d 1 0.43mi
202 Lucky Clover Ln Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,800 $1.23 45d 1 0.43mi
102 Ostracoda Ln Hutto, TX 3.0 2.5 2474 $2,250 $0.91 6d 1 0.44mi
405 Grasslands Trl Hutto, TX 4.0 3.0 2242 $2,300 $1.03 16d 1 0.46mi
104 Bankside Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,250 $1.07 12d 1 0.47mi
318 Canley Loop Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,900 $1.33 6d 1 0.54mi
607 Water Way Ave Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,045 $1.12 19d 1 0.55mi
602 Arnage Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 3.0 1968 $2,300 $1.17 45d 1 0.56mi
138 Milliner Loop Hutto, TX 4.0 3.5 2477 $2,585 $1.04 45d 1 0.56mi
614 Milliner Loop Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,199 $1.32 5d 1 0.56mi
104 Milliner Loop Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1502 $1,950 $1.30 14d 1 0.57mi
203 E Pecan St Unit B Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1688 $1,900 $1.13 16d 1 0.60mi
401 County Road 199 Hutto, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1013 $2,443 $2.41 0d 65 0.63mi
200 Sebring Cir Hutto, TX 5.0 3.0 2352 $2,900 $1.23 19d 1 0.64mi
230 Milliner Loop Hutto, TX 3.0 2.5 1872 $2,100 $1.12 4d 1 0.65mi
408 Luna Vista Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 2194 $2,095 $0.95 6d 1 0.68mi
207 Coventry Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 1622 $1,950 $1.20 45d 1 0.69mi
322 Arnage Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 1960 $2,050 $1.05 45d 1 0.70mi
211 Coventry Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 1919 $2,050 $1.07 19d 1 0.71mi
223 Camellia Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 2501 $2,250 $0.90 45d 1 0.73mi
137 Easy St Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,800 $1.21 14d 1 0.74mi
132 Canley Loop Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1279 $4,800 $3.75 19d 1 0.74mi
216 Arnage Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.0 2100 $2,125 $1.01 6d 1 0.77mi
1007 Wolseley Cv Hutto, TX 4.0 3.0 2356 $2,295 $0.97 6d 1 0.77mi
710 Mitchell Dr Hutto, TX 4.0 2.5 2185 $2,200 $1.01 6d 1 0.80mi
104 Easy St Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,000 $1.35 25d 1 0.89mi
318 Durango Downs Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,850 $1.41 45d 1 0.93mi
111 David Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,850 $1.32 5d 1 0.96mi
133 Paige Bnd Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 2112 $2,000 $0.95 45d 1 0.98mi
112 Creekside Dr Hutto, TX 3.0 2.5 1352 $1,875 $1.39 19d 1 0.99mi
406 Ballentine Ct Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,850 $1.36 19d 1 0.99mi
304 Will Ln Hutto, TX 3.0 2.0 1722 $1,800 $1.05 5d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $261,999 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $261,999 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $261,999 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $261,999 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $261,999 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $261,999 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $261,499 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $261,499 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $261,499 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $261,499 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $261,499 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $261,499 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $261,499 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $261,499 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $260,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  16. 2026-05-11
    price $261,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  17. 2026-05-08
    price $264,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  18. 2026-05-05
    price $265,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  19. 2026-03-31
    price $269,999 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

  20. 2026-02-16
    listed $269,990 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Upon entry of this spacious two-story home are the family room, dining room and a chef-ready kitchen arranged in a desirable open floorplan that promotes seamless transition between spaces. Down the hallway is the tranquil owner's suite with a convenient adjoining bathroom. Upstairs, a sprawling game room offers endless possibilities, while on the opposite end of the floor are three secondary bedrooms to accommodate the family.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,378
− Mortgage interest
−$19,302
− Property taxes
−$5,169
− Insurance
−$1,723
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,030
− Management
−$2,030
− Depreciation
−$10,024
Taxable loss
−$14,900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,576
After-tax cash flow
$-4,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This spacious two-story home is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers
  • Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers
  • Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hutto ISD
NCES district ID
4824100
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$72,961
Composite
33.33/100
National rank
#5501
State rank
#438 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hutto

Score
77/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#2794

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hutto, TX
County
Williamson County · 680,029 people
City population
46,413
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,413
Household income
$114,426
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
699,027 people
By 2030
795,537 · +13.8%
By 2040
990,683 · +41.7%
By 2050
1,184,292 · +69.4%
By 2075
1,623,825 · +132.3%
By 2100
1,924,153 · +175.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 18% Black 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.56%
Current HPI
194.2221
Rent YoY
▼ -2.41%
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $260,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $261,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $264,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $265,999 Zillow
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $269,999 Zillow
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $269,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…