1008 4th Ave E · West Fargo, ND
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Big yard
- Open concept
- Great location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: One-story residential home; Main entry and living area on the main level
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Other foundation type
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; Storage shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen/dining layout
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Double sink in main full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas fireplace in the living room; No basement; Kitchen and dining combined (kitchen/dining); Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 3.1% in West Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#10 in ND, #2,868 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- West Fargo 6 (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #26 of 53 in ND (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.68%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,160
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2137 5th Ave E | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-11%) | 21mo | $235,000 | $129 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $53,712
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 54.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.88×
- Total profit
- $148,283
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58078
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $1,001
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1702 2nd Ave E West Fargo, ND | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $2,150 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1632 51st St S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1352 | $2,295 | $1.70 | 21d | 22 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-20$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,972
- − Management
- −$1,972
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $11,251
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Exterior painting and carpet replacement are immediate priorities.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor interior paint — Some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
- Both update kitchen appliances — Modernizes and increases value
- Both update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior paint · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpet — Improves comfort and value ↑
- Both update kitchen appliances — Modernizes and increases value ↑
- Both update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Fargo 6
- NCES district ID
- 3819410
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,914
- Composite
- 36.6/100
- National rank
- #4628
- State rank
- #26 of 53 in ND
Livability — West Fargo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #2868
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Fargo, ND
- County
- Cass County · 177,143 people
- City population
- 40,631
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,631
- Household income
- $91,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1154.0
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,771 people
- By 2030
- 251,835 · +12.5%
- By 2040
- 311,816 · +39.3%
- By 2050
- 378,694 · +69.2%
- By 2075
- 571,386 · +155.3%
- By 2100
- 769,727 · +244.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 28% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 44.9% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+2.7 2016: R+10.7 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.47%
- Current HPI
- 181.6497
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Listed $90,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…