23 Rock Run · Springfield, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom double-wide manufactured home offering comfortable single-level living in a quiet, established community. Situated on a dead-end street, this property provides a peaceful setting with a wooded view to the front and a spacious backyard to enjoy. Inside, the home features a functional and open layout with a large kitchen that flows seamlessly into the living room, creating an ideal space for both everyday living and entertaining. The living area is enhanced by a decorative electric fireplace, adding warmth and character. Cathedral ceilings and ceiling fans contribute to an airy, inviting atmosphere throughout. The primary suite includes a
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Dead-end street
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fees include real estate taxes
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Built in 1994
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Residential lot with irregular shape; Supplied water source
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (12 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (14 x 15); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northwestern Local (rural): math 55% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #295 of 656 in OH (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.19%
- DSCR
- 3.77
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $45,675
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.63×
- Total profit
- $111,152
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45502
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,624 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $869
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Active
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2026-05-01status Pending
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2026-04-13historical Contingency - Sale of Existing Home
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2026-03-31$59,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,559
- − Management
- −$1,559
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $10,076
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,418
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Siding may need touch-up or minor repairs.
- Minor Landscaping — Landscaping appears somewhat sparse and could benefit from some enhancements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint touch-up — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can significantly boost curb appeal and property value.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can improve functionality and appeal for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Siding may need touch-up or minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Landscaping appears somewhat sparse and could benefit from some enhancements. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint touch-up — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can significantly boost curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can improve functionality and appeal for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwestern Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904626
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,366
- Composite
- 50.64/100
- National rank
- #1836
- State rank
- #295 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,076
- Household income
- $87,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.86%
- Current HPI
- 252.1607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — WRIST
- 2026-05-01 Pending — WRIST
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — WRIST
- 2026-03-31 Listed $59,900 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…