400 Alex Dr · Dalton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolutely adorable home located in the Dug Gap community! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this charming home is nestled in an established neighborhood full of character and convenience. From the inviting curb appeal to the warm, welcoming feel inside, this one is easy to love! Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or simply searching for a cozy place in a great location, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance to see this charming Dug Gap gem!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1979
- Listed 81 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-328 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (21.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Dalton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#172 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dalton Public Schools (urban): math 29% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #93 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Brookwood Elementary School (math 42% / reading 46%, grade F, #356 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 724 students, 57% FRL); Hammond Creek Middle School (1,086 students, 72% FRL); Dalton High School (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #294 of 424 statewide, top 70%, 1,382 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 374 units permitted in Whitfield County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Whitfield County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.25%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,870
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -5.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Levi Drive Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+11%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $184 | 74 |
| 1812 Guy Street St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (-2%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 1025 Alyssa Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,179 (+1%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 1722 Ball Avenue Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,129 (-4%) | 12mo | $290,000 | $257 | 58 |
| 1802 Malone Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+11%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 1800 Malone Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+11%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 1065 Alyssa Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-9%) | 22mo | $212,500 | $200 | 46 |
| 1706 Magnolia Avenue Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+5%) | 23mo | $235,000 | $191 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-59,160
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -32.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-85,678
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.0 mo (25%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $262,450 ($191/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 64 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30720
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,553 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $-328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-172 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-328 | +5% $-406 | +10% $-483 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-451 | -5% $-389 | +0% $-328 | +5% $-267 | +10% $-205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-215 | -0.5pp $-271 | base $-328 | +0.5pp $-386 | +1.0pp $-446 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property on a county road with public maintenance and asphalt surface
- Financial info
- Financial details not included
- HOA & community
- No community amenities listed
Exterior
- Parking
- Concrete parking surface
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedWater connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Single-family residenceUpdated/remodeled conditionOne and one-half story
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingBlock foundationShingle roofHouse structureBuilt on a 0.36-acre lot with gentle sloping and a front yard
- Exterior features
- DeckFront porchSide porchPorchNo additional exterior structures listed
Interior
- Kitchen
- Built-in electric ovenWater heater
- Bedrooms
- Bedrooms information not specified
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioningCeiling fan cooling
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansWalk-in closetsInsulated windowsLiving room fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundry in a laundry closetCommon-area laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $225,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $225,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $225,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $225,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $225,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $225,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-24price $225,000 Active 66 DOM
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Absolutely adorable home located in the Dug Gap community! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this charming home is nestled in an established neighborhood full of character and convenience. From the inviting curb appeal to the warm, welcoming feel inside, this one is easy to love! Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or simply searching for a cozy place in a great location, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance to see this charming Dug Gap gem!
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2026-07-23days on market $230,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $230,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $230,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $230,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $230,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $230,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $230,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $230,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $230,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $230,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $230,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $230,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $230,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $230,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $230,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $230,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $230,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $230,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $230,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $230,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $230,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 21 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,638
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,491
- − Management
- −$1,491
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$7,993
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,918
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 15 photos
This charming home in Dug Gap is in good condition with a good curb appeal and interior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC and mechanical systems appear to be in good condition. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from some updates to the interior walls and ceiling, as well as replacing worn-out windows or doors and upgrading the HVAC system.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint can make the interior look new and improve the overall appearance. ↑
- Both Replace worn-out windows or doors — New windows and doors can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's curb appeal. ↑
- Both Upgrade the HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers. ↑
- Both Improve the landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior can make the home more attractive to buyers and renters alike. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dalton Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1301620
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,444
- Composite
- 25.82/100
- National rank
- #7357
- State rank
- #93 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dalton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #10778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dalton, GA
- County
- Whitfield County · 107,770 people
- City population
- 80,309
- Metro
- Dalton, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,249
- Household income
- $69,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Whitfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,770 people
- By 2030
- 108,737 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 110,260 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 111,205 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 113,014 · +4.9%
- By 2100
- 112,775 · +4.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Whitfield
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.5) · D 27.5% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.0pp · 2024: -44.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.5 2020: R+40.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+45.1 2008: R+40.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.32%
- Current HPI
- 262.4203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Dalton, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-2.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-24 Price Changed $225,000 CCARMLS
- 2026-07-24 Price Changed $225,000 GCAR
- 2026-06-06 Relisted — CCARMLS
- 2026-05-30 Pending — CCARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $230,000 GCAR
- 2026-05-15 Listed $230,000 CCARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…