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16101 N EL Mirage Rd #394
B+ Composite 76.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

16101 N EL Mirage Rd #394 · El Mirage, AZ 85335
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured · 170 Days on market
Built 2002 Fair condition $43/sqft · 22% below area Est $103k · 22% under ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • Dual sinks
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSBUILT-IN ENTERTAINMENT CENTERAMPLE CABINETRYDUAL SINKSGARDEN TUBINSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 4.5% in El Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#112 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 132 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.72%
Cap rate
23.79%
Cash-on-cash
62.50%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,594
List price
$79,900
Delta
-22.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #331 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (+3%) 11mo $170,000 $89 79
16101 N El Mirage Rd #361 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (-3%) 12mo $164,000 $92 77
16101 N El Mirage Rd #351 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (-3%) 19mo $120,000 $67 73
16101 N El Mirage Rd #444 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (-3%) 22mo $85,000 $47 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.1%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$55,091
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
61.9%
Equity multiple
6.35×
Total profit
$119,643
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85335

Home prices YoY
-13.3%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,174 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$1,165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,220 -5% $1,193 +0% $1,165 +5% $1,138 +10% $1,110
Rent -10% $993 -5% $1,079 +0% $1,165 +5% $1,251 +10% $1,337
Rate -1.0pp $1,205 -0.5pp $1,186 base $1,165 +0.5pp $1,144 +1.0pp $1,123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12134 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,950 $1.16 25d 1 0.13mi
12121 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,999 $1.19 25d 1 0.17mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 2d 1 0.18mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 19d 1 0.18mi
12204 W Ocotillo Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $1,949 $0.92 24d 1 0.23mi
15620 N El Mirage Rd Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1310 $1,599 $1.22 25d 2 0.27mi
16520 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1267 $1,850 $1.46 2d 17 0.50mi
15204 N El Frio Ct El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1978 $2,019 $1.02 3d 1 0.53mi
15109 N Verbena St El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,869 $1.14 44d 1 0.60mi
14715 N 124th Ave El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $2,010 $1.31 44d 1 0.77mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,300 $1.35 25d 1 0.78mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1459 $2,199 $1.51 22d 1 0.78mi
12438 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,595 $1.22 24d 1 0.82mi
14815 N Tonya Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $2,040 $1.24 44d 1 0.84mi
12437 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 17d 1 0.86mi
11759 W Banff Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1495 $2,000 $1.34 44d 1 0.92mi
12532 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 6d 1 0.97mi
12571 W Mauna Loa Ln El Mirage, AZ 5.0 3.0 2178 $2,295 $1.05 3d 1 0.99mi
12560 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ 5.0 3.0 2178 $2,390 $1.10 6d 1 1.02mi
11402 W Hutton Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 25d 1 1.07mi
12537 W Redfield Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,795 $1.12 25d 1 1.07mi
15426 N Cactus Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,634 $1.19 44d 1 1.09mi
11345 W Loma Blanca Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,930 $1.41 44d 1 1.11mi
16608 N 113th Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1571 $1,900 $1.21 44d 1 1.14mi
11554 W Mule Deer Ct Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1963 $1,816 $0.93 44d 1 1.16mi
11755 W Thompson Ranch Rd El Mirage, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $2,771 $2.96 2d 1 1.23mi
13029 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1949 $1,860 $0.95 2d 1 1.28mi
13007 W Mandalay Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2178 $2,095 $0.96 25d 1 1.30mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,709 $1.12 15d 1 1.33mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,759 $1.16 24d 1 1.33mi
12830 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2179 $2,145 $0.98 2d 1 1.33mi
17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1737 $1,695 $0.98 25d 1 1.38mi
17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 3.0 1737 $1,695 $0.98 6d 1 1.38mi
13002 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1518 $1,795 $1.18 11d 1 1.44mi
13217 W Mauna Loa Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,900 $1.14 2d 1 1.45mi
13342 W Canyon Creek Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,750 $1.23 25d 1 1.45mi
13402 W Fargo Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1987 $2,595 $1.31 25d 1 1.48mi
13402 W Fargo Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1987 $4,000 $2.01 44d 1 1.48mi
14417 N Gil Balcome Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,900 $1.31 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 165 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 164 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 162 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 161 DOM
  9. 2026-05-20
    price $79,900 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

  10. 2026-05-19
    price $82,000 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

  11. 2026-04-25
    price $89,900 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

  12. 2026-03-13
    price $94,900 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

  13. 2026-02-16
    price $99,900 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

  14. 2025-12-05
    listed $111,000 Active 1238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1238 chars)

    Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,086
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,087
− Management
−$2,087
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$13,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,243
After-tax cash flow
$10,739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs needed. It has a good foundation and structure, but the exterior siding and interior paint show some wear. Upgrading the exterior and interior will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
  • Minor interior paint — Some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpeted flooring — Improves comfort and resale value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
interior paint · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace carpeted flooring — Improves comfort and resale value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dysart Unified District (4243)
NCES district ID
0402690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,033
Composite
32.76/100
National rank
#5634
State rank
#73 of 249 in AZ

Livability — El Mirage

Score
63/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#15164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Mirage, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
36,088
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
36,088
Household income
$78,050
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 35% Two or more races 28% Black 6% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.81%
Current HPI
342.6503
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $79,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $82,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $89,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $94,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $99,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $111,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…