16101 N EL Mirage Rd #394 · El Mirage, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Ample cabinetry
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 4.5% in El Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#112 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 132 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.50%
- DSCR
- 3.78
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,594
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -22.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16101 N EL Mirage Rd #331 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (+3%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $89 | 79 |
| 16101 N El Mirage Rd #361 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (-3%) | 12mo | $164,000 | $92 | 77 |
| 16101 N El Mirage Rd #351 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-3%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $67 | 73 |
| 16101 N El Mirage Rd #444 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-3%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $47 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $55,091
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $119,643
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85335
- Home prices YoY
- -13.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,174 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $1,165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,220 | -5% $1,193 | +0% $1,165 | +5% $1,138 | +10% $1,110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $993 | -5% $1,079 | +0% $1,165 | +5% $1,251 | +10% $1,337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,205 | -0.5pp $1,186 | base $1,165 | +0.5pp $1,144 | +1.0pp $1,123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12134 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,950 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 12121 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,999 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2117 | $2,145 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2117 | $2,145 | $1.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 12204 W Ocotillo Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2117 | $1,949 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15620 N El Mirage Rd Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1310 | $1,599 | $1.22 | 25d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 16520 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1267 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 2d | 17 | 0.50mi |
| 15204 N El Frio Ct El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1978 | $2,019 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15109 N Verbena St El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,869 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14715 N 124th Ave El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $2,010 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $2,199 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 12438 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,595 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14815 N Tonya Cir El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $2,040 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12437 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,875 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11759 W Banff Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 12532 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,875 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12571 W Mauna Loa Ln El Mirage, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2178 | $2,295 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12560 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2178 | $2,390 | $1.10 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11402 W Hutton Dr Surprise, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12537 W Redfield Rd El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 15426 N Cactus Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1376 | $1,634 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11345 W Loma Blanca Dr Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,930 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 16608 N 113th Dr Surprise, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11554 W Mule Deer Ct Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1963 | $1,816 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11755 W Thompson Ranch Rd El Mirage, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $2,771 | $2.96 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 13029 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1949 | $1,860 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 13007 W Mandalay Ln El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2178 | $2,095 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,709 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,759 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12830 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2179 | $2,145 | $0.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1737 | $1,695 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1737 | $1,695 | $0.98 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 13002 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,795 | $1.18 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 13217 W Mauna Loa Ln Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 13342 W Canyon Creek Dr Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 13402 W Fargo Dr Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $2,595 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 13402 W Fargo Dr Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $4,000 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 14417 N Gil Balcome Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $79,900 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
-
2026-05-19price $82,000 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
-
2026-04-25price $89,900 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
-
2026-03-13price $94,900 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
-
2026-02-16price $99,900 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
-
2025-12-05$111,000 Active 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Seller will pay 3 months space rent with acceptable offer. Spacious and well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering vaulted ceilings and a bright, open feel throughout. The home features a formal living room, formal dining area, and a separate den complete with a built-in entertainment center--perfect for movie nights or a cozy gathering space. The eat-in kitchen offers ample cabinetry, built-in storage, and opens to a comfortable dining area. The split floor plan includes a generously sized primary bedroom with an additional flex space ideal for a home office or reading nook. The primary bathroom features dual sinks, a garden tub, and a separate shower. 3 additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or hobbies. Additional highlights include an inside laundry room with washer and dryer, RV gate, covered carport, and a storage shed. Recent updates include new exterior paint and a freshly coated roof, offering added peace of mind. Enjoy an active community lifestyle with access to a pool and spa, weight room, billiards room, clubhouse, pickleball courts, and a variety of community events. This home offers flexible living spaces, excellent storage, and desirable amenities ready for its next owner.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,086
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,087
- − Management
- −$2,087
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $13,515
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs needed. It has a good foundation and structure, but the exterior siding and interior paint show some wear. Upgrading the exterior and interior will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
- Minor interior paint — Some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace carpeted flooring — Improves comfort and resale value
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpeted flooring — Improves comfort and resale value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dysart Unified District (4243)
- NCES district ID
- 0402690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,033
- Composite
- 32.76/100
- National rank
- #5634
- State rank
- #73 of 249 in AZ
Livability — El Mirage
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #15164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Mirage, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 36,088
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,088
- Household income
- $78,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 669.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 35% Two or more races 28% Black 6% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.81%
- Current HPI
- 342.6503
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-28.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $79,900 ARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $82,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $89,900 ARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $94,900 ARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $99,900 ARMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $111,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…