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128 Park Cir
B+ Composite 75.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

128 Park Cir · Ottertail, MN 56571
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1977 0.49 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This versatile half acre lot offers a great opportunity with all the essentials already in place. The property includes a compliant septic system, city water, electric and natural gas hookups-making it ideal for future developments or immediate use. Currently the lot houses a 2 bedroom 1 bath manufactured home-perfect for rental income, a starter home, lake retreat or temporary living while you build new. Whether you are looking for a place to call home or a smart investment, this property checks those boxes, all on a corner lot! This offers a great location, near the lakes and all things OtterTail

Key facts

  • Electric hookups
  • City water
  • Half acre lot

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTCOMPLIANT SEPTIC SYSTEMCITY WATERELECTRIC HOOKUPSNATURAL GAS HOOKUPSCORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($928 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 1.1% in Ottertail — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#504 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Perham-Dent Public School District (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #110 of 301 in MN (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.52%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$30,416
Equity at exit
$34,381
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$77,976
Equity at exit
$55,403

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56571

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$928 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $426/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $546
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $342 -5% $322 +0% $302 +5% $282 +10% $263
Rent -10% $229 -5% $265 +0% $302 +5% $339 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $320 base $302 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $69,900 Pending 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Contingent - Inspection 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Contingent - Inspection 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Contingent - Inspection 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Contingent - Inspection 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $69,900 Contingent - Inspection 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-01-15
    listed $69,900 Active 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    This versatile half acre lot offers a great opportunity with all the essentials already in place. The property includes a compliant septic system, city water, electric and natural gas hookups-making it ideal for future developments or immediate use. Currently the lot houses a 2 bedroom 1 bath manufactured home-perfect for rental income, a starter home, lake retreat or temporary living while you build new. Whether you are looking for a place to call home or a smart investment, this property checks those boxes, all on a corner lot! This offers a great location, near the lakes and all things OtterTail

  17. 2025-11-30
    historical
  18. 2025-07-28
    price $69,900
  19. 2025-05-29
    listed $72,500 Active
  20. 2020-07-07
    soldstatus $165,000
  21. 2020-07-07
    soldstatus $207,500
  22. 1996-02-14
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$426 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$604 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$178/yr (+$15/mo · 41.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,138
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$426
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$891
− Management
−$891
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$632
After-tax cash flow
$2,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perham-Dent Public School District
NCES district ID
2728230
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,712
Composite
43.64/100
National rank
#2966
State rank
#110 of 301 in MN

Livability — Ottertail

Score
66/100
State rank
#504
US rank
#12071

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottertail, MN
City population
1,761
Population (ZIP)
1,761

Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,183 people
By 2030
58,267 · +0.1%
By 2040
57,999 · -0.3%
By 2050
57,183 · -1.7%
By 2075
57,638 · -0.9%
By 2100
54,697 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 25% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.74%
Current HPI
210.3053
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+773.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $72,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $207,500 Public Records
  • 2020-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 1996-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $426 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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