2548 Corning Rd · Horseheads, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of living space here. Just move and enjoy this very nice 3-4 Bedroom with a Master suite. Newly remodeled kitchen w/ granite counter tops. Basement is partially finished for TV area/ game room etc. Many updates including a New metal roof in 2017, Central Air, Plus you will have tons of space for all the cars, trucks and misc. items in one of the garages, 3 car garage and a 2 car garage.
Key facts
- 0.52 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot slopes down; Approximately 0.52 acres (lot about 150 x 150); Above-grade finished area and below-grade finished area reported
Exterior
- Parking: 3-car garage; 1-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Stone exterior
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 5.1% in Horseheads — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#494 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, schools B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Horseheads Central School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #347 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.13%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,092
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -60.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Manor Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,862 (+7%) | 20mo | $232,500 | $125 | 43 |
| 916 Center St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,665 (-4%) | 17mo | $209,900 | $126 | 33 |
| 375 Philo Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,988 (+14%) | 22mo | $208,000 | $105 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $57,701
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.58×
- Total profit
- $140,618
- Equity at exit
- $72,092
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14903
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,641 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $675
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 291-char remark
-
2026-05-02$90,000 Active 291-char remark
-
2022-12-06historical
-
2022-06-06$169,900
-
2021-01-13soldstatus $148,900
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Lots of living space here. Just move and enjoy this very nice 3-4 Bedroom with a Master suite. Newly remodeled kitchen w/ granite counter tops. Basement is partially finished for TV area/ game room etc. Many updates including a New metal roof in 2017, Central Air, Plus you will have tons of space for all the cars, trucks and misc. items in one of the garages, 3 car garage and a 2 car garage.
-
2021-01-11soldstatus $148,900
-
2020-05-04$148,900
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Lots of living space here. Just move and enjoy this very nice 3-4 Bedroom with a Master suite. Newly remodeled kitchen w/ granite counter tops. Basement is partially finished for TV area/ game room etc. Many updates including a New metal roof in 2017, Central Air, Plus you will have tons of space for all the cars, trucks and misc. items in one of the garages, 3 car garage and a 2 car garage.
-
1995-09-19soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,576
- − Management
- −$1,576
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $7,084
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Horseheads Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,594
- Composite
- 44.58/100
- National rank
- #2781
- State rank
- #347 of 590 in NY
Livability — Horseheads
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #494
- US rank
- #8689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,140
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Current HPI
- 234.7884
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+47.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GBAOR
- 2026-05-02 Listed $90,000 GBAOR
- 2022-12-06 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2022-06-06 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $148,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $148,900 Public Records
- 2020-05-04 Listed $148,900 UNYREIS
- 1995-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,317 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…