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814 Heber Springs Rd
D Composite 43.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

814 Heber Springs Rd · Southside, AR 72501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 946 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 2024 0.50 ac lot $148/sqft · 7% below area Est $150k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You're about to fall in love with this cozy, move-in ready gem in the Southside area! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick home has been recently remodeled and is full of charm. Over the last few years, updates have included a new roof, new central heat, double pane windows, kitchen cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint inside and out, a beautifully updated bathroom, and so much more. Situated on a roomy half-acre lot, this home offers both comfort and convenience just minutes from everything Southside and Batesville have to offer. Plus, the storm shelter adds extra peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to make this adorable home yours!

Key facts

  • New central heat
  • Double pane windows
  • Kitchen cabinets

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW CENTRAL HEATDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSKITCHEN CABINETSUPDATED BATHROOMSTORM SHELTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($396/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (22.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Southside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Batesville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #104 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eagle Mountain Magnet School (math 52% / reading 41%, grade D-, #129 of 454 statewide, top 29%, 903 students, 54% FRL); Batesville Junior High School Charter (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #115 of 201 statewide, top 58%, 772 students, 53% FRL, charter); Batesville High School (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 973 students, 45% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,057 (22.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.01%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,147
List price
$140,000
Delta
-6.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-20,651
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,554
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72501

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $432/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $112 -5% $73 +0% $33 +5% $-7 +10% $-46
Rent -10% $-53 -5% $-10 +0% $33 +5% $76 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $104 -0.5pp $69 base $33 +0.5pp $-3 +1.0pp $-40

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 67 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
  18. 2026-03-25
    status Active 650-char remark
    Show marketing remark (650 chars)

    You're about to fall in love with this cozy, move-in ready gem in the Southside area! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick home has been recently remodeled and is full of charm. Over the last few years, updates have included a new roof, new central heat, double pane windows, kitchen cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint inside and out, a beautifully updated bathroom, and so much more. Situated on a roomy half-acre lot, this home offers both comfort and convenience just minutes from everything Southside and Batesville have to offer. Plus, the storm shelter adds extra peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to make this adorable home yours!

  19. 2026-03-25
    historical 650-char remark
    Show marketing remark (650 chars)

    You're about to fall in love with this cozy, move-in ready gem in the Southside area! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick home has been recently remodeled and is full of charm. Over the last few years, updates have included a new roof, new central heat, double pane windows, kitchen cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint inside and out, a beautifully updated bathroom, and so much more. Situated on a roomy half-acre lot, this home offers both comfort and convenience just minutes from everything Southside and Batesville have to offer. Plus, the storm shelter adds extra peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to make this adorable home yours!

  20. 2026-03-24
    listed $140,000 Active 650-char remark
    Show marketing remark (650 chars)

    You're about to fall in love with this cozy, move-in ready gem in the Southside area! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick home has been recently remodeled and is full of charm. Over the last few years, updates have included a new roof, new central heat, double pane windows, kitchen cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint inside and out, a beautifully updated bathroom, and so much more. Situated on a roomy half-acre lot, this home offers both comfort and convenience just minutes from everything Southside and Batesville have to offer. Plus, the storm shelter adds extra peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to make this adorable home yours!

  21. 2026-03-23
    listed $140,000 New Listing 650-char remark
    Show marketing remark (650 chars)

    You're about to fall in love with this cozy, move-in ready gem in the Southside area! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick home has been recently remodeled and is full of charm. Over the last few years, updates have included a new roof, new central heat, double pane windows, kitchen cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint inside and out, a beautifully updated bathroom, and so much more. Situated on a roomy half-acre lot, this home offers both comfort and convenience just minutes from everything Southside and Batesville have to offer. Plus, the storm shelter adds extra peace of mind. Don't miss your chance to make this adorable home yours!

  22. 2024-06-25
    soldstatus $129,900
  23. 2024-06-24
    soldstatus $129,900 Closed
  24. 2024-05-18
    price $124,900
  25. 2024-05-17
    price $124,900
  26. 2024-04-24
    listed $129,900 New Listing
  27. 2024-04-24
    listed $129,900 Active
  28. 2023-11-09
    listed $37,000
  29. 2023-11-09
    soldstatus $37,000
  30. 2023-11-08
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$432 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$896 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$464/yr (+$39/mo · 107.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,087
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$432
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,047
− Management
−$1,047
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$2,054
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$493
After-tax cash flow
$889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Batesville School District
NCES district ID
0500019
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,304
Composite
30.79/100
National rank
#6147
State rank
#104 of 238 in AR

Livability — Southside

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southside, AR
County
Independence County · 26,218 people
Metro
Batesville, AR
Population (ZIP)
26,218
Household income
$52,829
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
553.0

Population outlook (Independence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,748 people
By 2030
37,962 · +0.6%
By 2040
38,151 · +1.1%
By 2050
37,980 · +0.6%
By 2075
36,622 · -3.0%
By 2100
32,741 · -13.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Independence

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.2% · R 78.7% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+58.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.19%
Current HPI
206.3787
Rent YoY
Metro
Batesville, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+278.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted Batesville
  • 2026-03-25 Delisted Batesville
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $140,000 Batesville
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $140,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2024-06-24 Sold (MLS) $129,900 Batesville
  • 2024-05-18 Price Changed $124,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-05-17 Price Changed $124,900 Batesville
  • 2024-04-24 Listed $129,900 Batesville
  • 2024-04-24 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
  • 2023-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2023-11-09 Listed $37,000 Batesville
  • 2023-11-08 Sold (MLS) $37,000 Batesville

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $432 · +566.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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