405 N Virginia St · Terrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALL FOR INVESTORS - BUYER AGENT VERIFY ALL THE INFORMATION
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Fully fenced lot
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing is for sale and marked Active; Possession at closing/funding; Standard listing conditions; Photos available (1)
- Financial info: Accepts cash and other non-specified terms; Second mortgage: none
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not within a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Built in 1908
- Exterior features: Lot is less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.158 acres); Property is subdivided; Directions available to property
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Paneling throughout; One living area; One dining area; Total of 2 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
- Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.21%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,946
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 E High St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-1%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $142 | 74 |
| 909 E High St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-2%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $139 | 69 |
| 1000 E Brin St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 626 N Adelaide St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-6%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $210 | 63 |
| 608 W High St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,001 (-6%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 307 E Mccoulskey St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $181 | 55 |
| 503 E State St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 951 (-11%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $79 | 53 |
| 904 N Virginia St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+7%) | 1mo | $184,900 | $162 | 52 |
| 708 E Brin St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 10mo | $249,900 | $208 | 46 |
| 201 Pecan St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,215 (+14%) | 5mo | $229,900 | $189 | 43 |
| 916 N Virginia St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+10%) | 7mo | $239,500 | $204 | 39 |
| 401 Lawrence Ave | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (-12%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $128 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $14,949
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $48,246
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75160
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 375
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $466 | -5% $445 | +0% $424 | +5% $402 | +10% $381 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $313 | -5% $369 | +0% $424 | +5% $479 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $443 | base $424 | +0.5pp $404 | +1.0pp $384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 E Brin St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 201 E Brin St Unit 3 Terrell, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $850 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 904 N Frances St Unit A Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 204 Pacific Ave Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 920 N Virginia St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 507 Campbell St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,950 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 102 Rock Creek Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 510 Frazier St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,285 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 514 Frazier St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 400 Oak Dr Unit 2D Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $950 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 116 N Island Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1909 | $2,140 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 114 Brushy Creek Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1210 S Frances St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1300 S Adelaide St Terrell, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $1,233 | $1.57 | 0d | 9 | 1.33mi |
| 301 Charles Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 115 Charles Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1451 Colquitt Rd Terrell, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,295 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,045 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,045 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,045
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,022
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,265
- Composite
- 23.57/100
- National rank
- #7855
- State rank
- #677 of 826 in TX
Livability — Terrell
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #10213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terrell, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 28,206
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,206
- Household income
- $71,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 845.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.39%
- Current HPI
- 278.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-42.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
- 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-04-14 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-03-23 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-03-08 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2021-12-18 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2021-03-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,045 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…