625 E Paris Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
Key facts
- Built 1930
- Listed 26 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Valeska Hinton Early Ch Ed Ctr (495 students, 0% FRL); Reservoir Gifted School (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A+, #2 of 665 statewide, top 0%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Peoria SD 150 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $70k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.06%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624 E Paris Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,074 (+12%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $62 | 77 |
| 718 E London Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,103 (+15%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $61 | 68 |
| 705 E Cox Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 897 (-7%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $139 | 67 |
| 3120 N Linnhill Ct | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (+0%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $145 | 66 |
| 709 E Cox Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-8%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 1317 E Elmhurst Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-4%) | 2mo | $44,000 | $48 | 59 |
| 315 E Elmhurst Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,046 (+9%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 1216 E Rouse Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (+9%) | 1mo | $164,000 | $157 | 54 |
| 2811 N Wisconsin Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (-7%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $112 | 51 |
| 222 E Odell Pl | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+13%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $90 | 49 |
| 1002 E Willcox Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,023 (+7%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $87 | 45 |
| 2809 N California Ave | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 856 (-11%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $29 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $14,193
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $46,858
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,143 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $430 | -5% $410 | +0% $390 | +5% $371 | +10% $351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $300 | -5% $345 | +0% $390 | +5% $435 | +10% $480 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $425 | -0.5pp $408 | base $390 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $354 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3912 N Atlantic Ave Peoria Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 811 E Lake Ave Peoria Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $875 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 813 E Sciota Ave Peoria Heights, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 126 E Lake Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 15d | 9 | 0.70mi |
| 228 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit A2 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 249 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit 4 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4914 N Best St Peoria Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 2C Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 3D Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $775 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4809 Knoxville Ave Unit 4819 4B, 5A, & 5B Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 15d | 4 | 1.13mi |
| 811 W Purtscher Dr Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $802 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5106 N Glen Elm Dr Peoria Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,400 | $2.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4020 N Bryer Pl Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 751 W Joan Ct Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $999 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $69,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$69,500 Active
-
2024-05-04historical $850
-
2024-04-12$850
-
2022-11-22soldstatus $43,000 Closed 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-11-03status Pending 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-09-28status Active 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-09-14status Pending 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-08-31status Active 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-07-22status Pending 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-07-20price $47,500 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-06-24$49,900 Active 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Affordable 2-3 bedroom(3rd bedroom has no closet) in a convenient location near War Memorial/Wisconsin. Easy walk to many restaurants and grocery store. Amenities include; hardwood flooring, huge living room, updated bathroom, eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, fenced yard, 1 car garage, full basement, immediate occupancy! Sold as-is. Agent owned. $47,500
-
2022-05-21historical
-
2021-08-05Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$74/yr (+$6/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$1,430
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,097
- − Management
- −$1,097
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $3,827
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$918
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,764/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+39.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $69,500 FSBO.com
- 2024-05-04 Rental Removed $850 RENTLY
- 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $850 RENTLY
- 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $43,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-03 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-28 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-14 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-31 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-22 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-20 Price Changed $47,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-24 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-21 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-05 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,430 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…