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159 Robertson St #159
C- Composite 54.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

159 Robertson St #159 · Bristol, CT 06010
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,280 sqft · Condo · 54 Days on market
Built 1973 Fair condition $156/sqft · 13% below area Est $230k · 13% under $320/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

Key facts

  • $320 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
  • Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $99k; list at $200k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $193,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.37%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,527
List price
$199,900
Delta
-12.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-19,423
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$17,649
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06010

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,294 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$320
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,154
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $180 +0% $111 +5% $41 +10% $-28
Rent -10% $-71 -5% $20 +0% $111 +5% $201 +10% $292
Rate -1.0pp $211 -0.5pp $161 base $111 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Beths Ave #3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1232 $1,850 $1.50 24d 1 0.84mi
43 Hiltbrand Rd Unit 2-9 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 990 $1,875 $1.89 4d 1 0.91mi
1175 Farmington Ave Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0–1.5 875 $2,039 $2.33 2d 12 1.08mi
139 Songbird Ln Unit 139 Farmington, CT 2.0 2.5 1224 $2,800 $2.29 2d 1 1.16mi
32 Farmington Chase Cres #32 Farmington, CT 2.0 1.5 1317 $2,800 $2.13 44d 1 1.18mi
32 Farmington Chase Cres #32 Farmington, CT 2.0 1.5 1317 $2,800 $2.13 2d 1 1.18mi
380 King St #5 Bristol, CT 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,750 $1.91 20d 1 1.33mi
101 Farmington Chase Cres #101 Farmington, CT 2.0 1.5 1317 $2,600 $1.97 2d 1 1.39mi
69 Northwest Dr #60 Plainville, CT 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,300 $1.44 2d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$320 · $3,840/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Under Contract 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  2. 2026-05-08
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  3. 2026-05-04
    status Active 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  4. 2026-03-31
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  5. 2026-03-27
    listed $199,900 Active 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  6. 2026-03-25
    historical $199,900 513-char remark
    Show marketing remark (513 chars)

    Nice Three Bedroom End Unit with grassy area and woods behind the parking lot, deck off the eat-in kitchen, half bath on main level, partially finished lower level den/family room with laundry hook ups, there is a shower stall in lower level drain needs to be reconnected, Newer natural gas furnace and central air, gas hot water heater too. Any appliances are in As Is condition, some do not work. This Unit is a fantastic opportunity ! Buyers will need 10% down in most financing cases, per lender requirements.

  7. 2002-06-21
    soldstatus $98,600 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    This nothing-to-do-but-move-in 3 bedrm end unit has so many pluses-par- quet flr(kit/dngrm), fin famrm & shower in ll, new pressure treated deck, remodled bathrms, newer applnces-subj to sellers finding new home

  8. 2002-04-22
    listed $97,700 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    This nothing-to-do-but-move-in 3 bedrm end unit has so many pluses-par- quet flr(kit/dngrm), fin famrm & shower in ll, new pressure treated deck, remodled bathrms, newer applnces-subj to sellers finding new home

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,525
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,202
− Management
−$2,202
− HOA
−$3,840
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$1,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$415
After-tax cash flow
$1,742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The kitchen and bathroom need significant updates, and the exterior and interior walls could use some touch-ups.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
  • Major kitchen flooring — dated and in poor condition
  • Major bathroom fixtures — old-fashioned and in poor condition
  • Moderate exterior siding — weathered and in fair condition
  • Moderate interior walls — some discoloration and in fair condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improving the interior walls will make the home more appealing
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improving the landscaping will make the home more appealing

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen flooring · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · old-fashioned and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · weathered and in fair condition Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior walls · some discoloration and in fair condition Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $51,000–180,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improving the interior walls will make the home more appealing
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improving the landscaping will make the home more appealing

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bristol School District
NCES district ID
0900510
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,953
Composite
32.07/100
National rank
#5814
State rank
#109 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bristol, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
61,684
Household income
$79,314
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -293.55%
Current HPI
255.5419
Rent YoY
▲ 5.41%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+104.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $199,900 Smart MLS
  • 2002-06-21 Sold (MLS) $98,600 Smart MLS
  • 2002-04-22 Listed $97,700 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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