1962 Whitcomb St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Recently updated and move-in ready! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers modern updates while maintaining its cozy character. Features include an eat-in kitchen with ample cabinet space, spacious bedrooms, and a bright living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The fully fenced yard provides plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or pets, while the detached 2-car garage offers additional storage and convenience. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a turnkey property. Schedule your showing today before this one is gone!
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Fully fenced yard
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $121k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $121k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.29%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,524
- List price
- $121,000
- Delta
- 18.90%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4233 W 22nd Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (+3%) | 6mo | $82,000 | $96 | 73 |
| 1945 Lane St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $54 | 71 |
| 4317 W 19th Plz | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 873 (+6%) | 12mo | $119,900 | $137 | 68 |
| 3902 W 21st Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+12%) | 9mo | $126,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 4082 W 21st Pl | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 941 (+14%) | 1mo | $129,900 | $138 | 65 |
| 4144 W 23rd Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 900 (+9%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 2165 Williams St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 890 (+8%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 4154 W 23rd Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+9%) | 10mo | $57,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 4241 W 22nd Plz | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+12%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 1548 Taney St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (+11%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $44 | 43 |
| 4633 W 11th Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-13%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $90 | 38 |
| 1168 Hovey St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 931 (+13%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $45 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,463
- Equity at exit
- $18,041
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $63,859
- Equity at exit
- $10,462
Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46404
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$151 /mo · $1,815/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,250
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4061 W 20th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4232 W 20th Ave Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4134 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4263 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4300 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,395 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4328 W 22nd Plz Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,045 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2939 W 10th Ave Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,190 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1043 Mount St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2264 Taft St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,560 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 743 Hanley St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $121,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $121,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $121,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2025-10-24price $121,900
-
2025-03-14$129,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$1,815
- − Insurance
- −$605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable income
- $1,660
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,089/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,428
- Household income
- $42,256
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.76%
- Current HPI
- 252.6463
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.62%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-5.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $121,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Listed $129,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2019): $60 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…