32942 Silver Meadow Way · Fulshear, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained, nearly new home in the Vanbrooke community of Brookshire! This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence features a modern design and a functional floor plan. The kitchen offers generous counter space and storage, and flows effortlessly into the dining and family room - ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The spacious primary suite provides a relaxing retreat, complete with a private ensuite featuring a walk-in shower and soaking tub. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms that offer flexibility for family, guests, a home office and a loft-style game room. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard —a blank canvas ready for your dream
Key facts
- Splash pad
- Resort-style pool
- Open-air pavilion
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Vanbrooke/PMG Houston association; Annual association fee of $900 covering common areas; Community amenities: pool, playground, picnic area, park, curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway parking
- Security: Prewired for security; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2022; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Brick and cement siding construction
- Construction: Anglia Homes builder
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced backyard; Subdivision lot; Concrete road access; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (second level) — 17 x 16; Bedroom (second level) — 12 x 12; Bedroom (second level) — 12 x 12; Bedroom (second level) — 11 x 10
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Kitchen/family room combo; Laminate counters; Bath in primary bedroom; Soaking tub; Separate shower; Tub/shower combination; Walk-in pantry; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows; Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Utility room (second level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $298k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 997 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,666/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.07%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $330,547
- List price
- $298,000
- Delta
- -9.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32903 Silver Meadow Way | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 2,509 (+2%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $124 | 88 |
| 32947 Turning Springs Dr | 0.10mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,439 (-0%) | 6mo | $344,900 | $141 | 83 |
| 32927 Turning Springs Dr | 0.09mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,439 (-0%) | 8mo | $339,900 | $139 | 82 |
| 32919 Silver Meadow Way | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 | 2,260 (-8%) | 6mo | $324,900 | $144 | 80 |
| 32919 Turning Springs Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 2,260 (-8%) | 4mo | $334,900 | $148 | 79 |
| 5210 Wyatt James Ln | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,700 (+10%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $130 | 63 |
| 32215 Sunbeam Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,417 (-1%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $151 | 61 |
| 5711 Sunland Trl | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,402 (-2%) | 1mo | $391,990 | $163 | 60 |
| 32511 Midsummer Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-4%) | 1mo | $350,990 | $150 | 58 |
| 32503 Midsummer Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-4%) | 1mo | $324,990 | $139 | 58 |
| 32211 Sunbeam Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,246 (-8%) | 6mo | $369,990 | $165 | 44 |
| 32223 Sunbeam Dr | 0.73mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,697 (+10%) | 0mo | $379,990 | $141 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-44,978
- Equity at exit
- $44,433
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-61,373
- Equity at exit
- $25,766
Cash invested: $83,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77423
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 997
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,666 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,563
- Tax from tax record
- −$920 /mo · $11,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$770
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,500
- Closing costs
- $8,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33002 Franklin Brooks Dr Pattison, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3255 | $4,385 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 5222 Wyatt James Ln Brookshire, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2487 | $3,250 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5462 Grand View Dr Unit 1568482P Pattison, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2992 | $3,637 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $298,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $298,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $298,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $298,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $298,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $298,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-06$2,500
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-15$298,000 Active 937-char remark
-
2026-03-09$310,000 Active
-
2026-03-09historical
-
2026-01-09$319,000 Active
-
2026-01-09historical
-
2025-11-08$325,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $11,045 · $920/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,045 · $920/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,693
- − Property taxes
- −$11,045
- − Insurance
- −$1,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,519
- − Management
- −$3,519
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,669
- Taxable loss
- −$1,844
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fulshear
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #430
- US rank
- #8901
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Waller County · 18,767 people
- City population
- 41,324
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,767
- Household income
- $84,490
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.28%
- Current HPI
- 204.8709
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-99.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Rental Removed $2,500 HARMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $298,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed for Rent $2,500 HARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $298,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $319,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-08 Listed $325,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+108.8%/yrLatest (2025): $11,045 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…