607 Brunson Ave · Prague, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice older home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with a spacious dining and living room combination and a nice kitchen layout. A large den with a fireplace and plenty of windows provides extra living space and natural light, just waiting for your personal updates to truly make it your own. The property also includes a work shed with running water, offering great space for projects or storage. Much of the home has hardwood floors that could be brought back to life with a little elbow grease. The home has solid bones but hasn’t been updated in some time, making it a great opportunity for someone to add their own touch. The roof is only 3 years old. County records show 1,482 square
Key facts
- Large den
- Work shed
- Nice kitchen layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead: yes
- Financial info: Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: No utility provider details provided
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry level: One; Existing property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Conventional foundation; Built previously (existing home)
- Exterior features: Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: One-story layout; Covered porch; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.6% in Prague — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#197 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Prague (rural): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #45 of 270 in OK (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Prague Es (math 44% / reading 42%, grade F, #80 of 845 statewide, top 10%, 534 students, 0% FRL); Prague Hs (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 321 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $65k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.02%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,970
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Brunson Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (0%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $34 | 100 |
| 1203 N Jim Thorpe Blvd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (-2%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $79 | 72 |
| 416 Donna Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+0%) | 5mo | $127,000 | $85 | 66 |
| 814 Ayars Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (-9%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 1503 Mitacek Ave | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,470 (-1%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $67 | 58 |
| 511 E 11th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,633 (+10%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $129 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $60,437
- Equity at exit
- $53,296
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.43×
- Total profit
- $153,482
- Equity at exit
- $109,759
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74864
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $515 | -5% $493 | +0% $470 | +5% $448 | +10% $426 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $379 | -5% $424 | +0% $470 | +5% $516 | +10% $562 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $503 | -0.5pp $487 | base $470 | +0.5pp $454 | +1.0pp $436 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-05-04price $65,000
-
2026-03-11price $75,000
-
2026-02-11$85,000 Active
-
1990-12-20soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,903
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,177
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prague
- NCES district ID
- 4024930
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,676
- Composite
- 28.87/100
- National rank
- #6643
- State rank
- #45 of 270 in OK
Livability — Prague
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #15000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prague, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,803
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,104 people
- By 2030
- 36,435 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 36,696 · +1.6%
- By 2050
- 36,216 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 35,057 · -2.9%
- By 2100
- 31,333 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 8% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.3) · D 17.5% · R 80.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -63.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.3 2020: R+63.2 2016: R+60.1 2012: R+49.0 2008: R+49.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.87%
- Current HPI
- 325.0194
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+242.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $65,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $75,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-11 Listed $85,000 MLSOK
- 1990-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $15 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…