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512 Oakland Ave
B- Composite 66.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,750

512 Oakland Ave · Cordele, GA 31015
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1950 3,920 sqft lot $93/sqft · 204% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 54 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.09 acres; Lot features: Other
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Cable available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Resale; Built in 1950
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; 624 square feet building area
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast area; No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living; Dining room and living room combined; Breakfast area; Crawl space basement; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 4.9% in Cordele — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#556 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Crisp County (rural): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 174 in GA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Crisp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crisp County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,017 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.47%
Cash-on-cash
29.19%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$19,005
List price
$57,750
Delta
203.87%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 W 4th Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 676 (+8%) 10mo $10,000 $15 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$15,707
Equity at exit
$8,611
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$45,994
Equity at exit
$4,993

Cash invested: $16,170 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31015

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$303
Tax est. 1.5%
$72 /mo · $866/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $505
Max offer price $57,750
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $433 -5% $413 +0% $393 +5% $373 +10% $353
Rent -10% $314 -5% $354 +0% $393 +5% $433 +10% $473
Rate -1.0pp $422 -0.5pp $408 base $393 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $363

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,438
Closing costs
$1,732
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $57,750 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,750 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,750 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,750 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,750 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,750 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $57,750 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,750 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,750 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,750 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,750 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $57,750 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $57,750 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $57,750 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,750 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,750 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    listed $57,750 Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!

  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $57,750 New 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,036
− Mortgage interest
−$3,235
− Property taxes
−$866
− Insurance
−$289
− Repairs & maintenance
−$963
− Management
−$963
− Depreciation
−$1,680
Taxable income
$4,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$970
After-tax cash flow
$3,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crisp County
NCES district ID
1301560
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$32,681
Composite
16.68/100
National rank
#9168
State rank
#143 of 174 in GA

Livability — Cordele

Score
53/100
State rank
#556
US rank
#24483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cordele, GA
Population (ZIP)
18,615

Population outlook (Crisp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,484 people
By 2030
20,594 · -4.1%
By 2040
18,691 · -13.0%
By 2050
16,769 · -21.9%
By 2075
12,329 · -42.6%
By 2100
8,591 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 47% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Crisp

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.9% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.99%
Current HPI
182.3676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $57,750 CABOR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $57,750 GAMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $111 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…