512 Oakland Ave · Cordele, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 54 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.09 acres; Lot features: Other
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No parking specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Cable available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Resale; Built in 1950
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; 624 square feet building area
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast area; No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living; Dining room and living room combined; Breakfast area; Crawl space basement; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 4.9% in Cordele — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#556 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Crisp County (rural): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 174 in GA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Crisp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crisp County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.19%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $19,005
- List price
- $57,750
- Delta
- 203.87%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 W 4th Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (+8%) | 10mo | $10,000 | $15 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $15,707
- Equity at exit
- $8,611
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $45,994
- Equity at exit
- $4,993
Cash invested: $16,170 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31015
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$303
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$72 /mo · $866/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $433 | -5% $413 | +0% $393 | +5% $373 | +10% $353 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $314 | -5% $354 | +0% $393 | +5% $433 | +10% $473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $408 | base $393 | +0.5pp $378 | +1.0pp $363 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,438
- Closing costs
- $1,732
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $57,750 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,750 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,750 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $57,750 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $57,750 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $57,750 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $57,750 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,750 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,750 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,750 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,750 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $57,750 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $57,750 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $57,750 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,750 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,750 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$57,750 Active 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!
-
2026-04-27$57,750 New 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Investment Property or Primary Residence priced to sell!! Two-bedroom, one bath home in Cordele near all shopping and restaurants! Currently rents for $525 per month. Would make a great rental property or first-time home buyer. Shown by appointment only with at least 24 hour's notice!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,235
- − Property taxes
- −$866
- − Insurance
- −$289
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$963
- − Management
- −$963
- − Depreciation
- −$1,680
- Taxable income
- $4,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crisp County
- NCES district ID
- 1301560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,681
- Composite
- 16.68/100
- National rank
- #9168
- State rank
- #143 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cordele
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #556
- US rank
- #24483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cordele, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,615
Population outlook (Crisp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,484 people
- By 2030
- 20,594 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 18,691 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 16,769 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 12,329 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 8,591 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 47% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Crisp
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.9% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.99%
- Current HPI
- 182.3676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $57,750 CABOR
- 2026-04-27 Listed $57,750 GAMLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $111 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…