1701 S Thornburg St #150 · Santa Maria, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
Key facts
- Relaxing spa
- Sauna
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area listed as 1,344 (source: tax records); Lot approximately 0.03 acre (about 1,307 sq ft) per tax records
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: Located within a mobile home park (park rules/fees not provided)
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service; Power details not provided
- Home design: Manufactured home; Mobile home make: Silvercrest; Mobile home dimensions approximately 56 ft by 24 ft; Single-level (manufactured home)
- Construction: Axles foundation (manufactured/mobile setup); Construction year not provided
- Exterior features: Located in La Maria Mobile Home Park; follow West on Battles, left on S Thornburg, then left to the last street; Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
- Bedrooms: Manufactured home configuration (bedroom count not provided)
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: Bathroom count not provided
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating
- Interior features: Age-restricted community
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/?-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $855 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
- Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $159k implies a 318% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.04%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,712
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 S Thornburg St #28 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $72 | 78 |
| 1701 S Thornburg St #139 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+2%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 1701 S Thornburg St #61 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 6mo | $84,500 | $70 | 73 |
| 1701 S Thornburg #156 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,434 (+7%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $164 | 70 |
| 1701 S Thornburg St #108 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $90 | 67 |
| 1701 S Thornburg St #73 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+14%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $98 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $27,005
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $86,864
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93458
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $855
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1720 S Depot St Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1308 | $2,197 | $1.68 | 13d | 5 | 0.13mi |
| 800 W Battles Rd Santa Maria, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $2,403 | $2.18 | 13d | 6 | 0.32mi |
| 983 Dan Blough Dr Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1017 | $3,073 | $3.02 | 13d | 45 | 0.48mi |
| 1735 Biscayne St Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $3,081 | $2.45 | 13d | 9 | 0.61mi |
| 333 E Enos Dr Santa Maria, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $2,499 | $3.40 | 13d | 12 | 0.69mi |
| 1708 Rio Vista Ln Unit 1 Santa Maria, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $3,000 | $2.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2299 Carrasco Way Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1419 | $3,500 | $2.47 | 13d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 310 E McCoy Ln Santa Maria, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,200 | $1.95 | 13d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 310 W McCoy Ln Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,600 | $2.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 620 W Park Ave Santa Maria, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,850 | $1.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 703 Meehan St Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,917 | $4.16 | 13d | 14 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $159,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-05-08price $159,000
-
2026-02-13price $169,000
-
2026-01-30$179,000 Active
-
2021-09-23soldstatus $38,000 Closed 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2021-09-23soldstatus $38,000 Closed Sale 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2021-08-27status Pending Sale 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2021-08-27status Pending 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2021-08-25$38,000 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2021-08-24$38,000 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Located in age restricted La Maria Mobile Home Park. Needs some TLC, but has great open floor plan and 2 large bedrooms. The Clubhouse is air conditioned, has small library and for large gatherings a full kitchen. Outside enjoy the Spa, pool or Sauna. There is also an RV Storage area for a fee. Space rent to new owner is 942.23 and includes water, trash, and sewer.
-
2017-04-13historical
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2017-04-08historical
-
2017-04-07historical
-
2014-01-31soldstatus $19,000
-
2013-12-27$25,000
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2012-11-10$21,000
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2009-10-02historical
-
2009-05-01$26,500
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2009-05-01$26,500
-
2009-04-07historical
-
2009-01-06$35,000
-
2009-01-06$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,374
- − Management
- −$2,374
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $8,214
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,971
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,285/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Maria-Bonita
- NCES district ID
- 0605580
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,959
- Composite
- 29.11/100
- National rank
- #11891
- State rank
- #1023 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Santa Maria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #6519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Maria, CA
- County
- Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
- City population
- 145,655
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,148
- Household income
- $75,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2583.0
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 41% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 83%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 21% English-only · Spanish 72% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -422.91%
- Current HPI
- 347.9281
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+354.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $159,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $169,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $179,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CRMLS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2021-08-27 Pending — CRMLS
- 2021-08-27 Pending — NSBCRMLS
- 2021-08-25 Listed $38,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2021-08-24 Listed $38,000 CRMLS
- 2017-04-13 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-08 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2017-04-07 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2014-01-31 Sold (MLS) $19,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2013-12-27 Listed $25,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2012-11-10 Listed $21,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2009-10-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-05-01 Listed $26,500 CRMLS
- 2009-05-01 Listed $26,500 NSBCRMLS
- 2009-04-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-01-06 Listed $35,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2009-01-06 Listed $35,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…