320 E 27th St · Kearney, NE
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Living room
- Large mudroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.5% in Kearney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in NE, #858 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Kearney Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #43 of 111 in NE (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.02%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,948
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -17.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 E 29th St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (-4%) | 7mo | $309,900 | $202 | 82 |
| 315 E 24th St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-1%) | 7mo | $214,500 | $137 | 76 |
| 2902 A Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-9%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 2814 Avenue L | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-5%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $116 | 63 |
| 3516 E Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (-1%) | 7mo | $274,000 | $174 | 60 |
| 218 W 33rd St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+0%) | 4mo | $147,500 | $92 | 59 |
| 2010 3rd Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+5%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $138 | 58 |
| 2525 I Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+9%) | 7mo | $267,300 | $155 | 57 |
| 211 E 33rd St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,742 (+10%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 1917 C Ave | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+7%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $141 | 51 |
| 2006 4th Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,577 (-1%) | 6mo | $227,500 | $144 | 50 |
| 3701 Central Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,354 (-15%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $162 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-18,405
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,158
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68847
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,755 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,394/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2119 State ST Apt 201 Kearney, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,899 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1319 E 45th St Kearney, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,105 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 425-char remark
-
2026-06-17price $179,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $182,900 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
-
2026-04-15status Active 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
-
2026-04-15price $189,900 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
-
2025-12-04price $179,900 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
-
2025-11-17$189,900 Active 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.
-
2025-02-20soldstatus $193,000
-
2025-02-18soldstatus $193,000 Closed 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.
-
2025-01-03status Pending 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.
-
2024-11-27status Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.
-
2024-11-18status Pending 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.
-
2024-10-07$199,900 Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.
-
2011-10-04soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,394 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,112 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- +$718/yr (+$60/mo · 30.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,394
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$914
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kearney Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172390
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,913
- Composite
- 46.61/100
- National rank
- #2415
- State rank
- #43 of 111 in NE
Livability — Kearney
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kearney, NE
- City population
- 20,536
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,911
Population outlook (Buffalo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,980 people
- By 2030
- 58,298 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 64,975 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 72,054 · +31.1%
- By 2075
- 90,838 · +65.2%
- By 2100
- 106,838 · +94.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buffalo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 26.9% · R 71.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.96%
- Current HPI
- 205.0002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+120.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $182,900 GMNMLS
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — GMNMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $189,900 GMNMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $179,900 GMNMLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $189,900 GMNMLS
- 2025-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-18 Sold (MLS) $193,000 GMNMLS
- 2025-01-03 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2024-11-27 Relisted — GMNMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2024-10-07 Listed $199,900 GMNMLS
- 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,394 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…