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320 E 27th St
C Composite 57.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

320 E 27th St · Kearney, NE 68847
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,588 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1948 6,762 sqft lot $113/sqft · 12% below area Est $218k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

(Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Living room
  • Large mudroom

Tags

OPEN KITCHENLIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMLARGE MUDROOMCORNER LOTCLOSE TO EMERSON ELEMENTARY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.5% in Kearney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in NE, #858 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Kearney Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #43 of 111 in NE (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $169,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,948
List price
$179,900
Delta
-17.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
302 E 29th St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,533 (-4%) 7mo $309,900 $202 82
315 E 24th St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (-1%) 7mo $214,500 $137 76
2902 A Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 2mo $250,000 $174 71
2814 Avenue L 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-5%) 8mo $175,000 $116 63
3516 E Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,574 (-1%) 7mo $274,000 $174 60
218 W 33rd St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,596 (+0%) 4mo $147,500 $92 59
2010 3rd Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+5%) 2mo $230,000 $138 58
2525 I Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+9%) 7mo $267,300 $155 57
211 E 33rd St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,742 (+10%) 7mo $275,000 $158 55
1917 C Ave 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+7%) 6mo $240,000 $141 51
2006 4th Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,577 (-1%) 6mo $227,500 $144 50
3701 Central Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,354 (-15%) 1mo $220,000 $162 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-18,405
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,158
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68847

Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,755 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,394/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,542
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2119 State ST Apt 201 Kearney, NE 2.0 2.0 1191 $1,899 $1.59 44d 1 0.39mi
1319 E 45th St Kearney, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,105 $1.34 44d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 425-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $179,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-04-29
    price $182,900 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    (Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

  6. 2026-04-15
    status Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    (Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

  7. 2026-04-15
    price $189,900 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    (Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

  8. 2025-12-04
    price $179,900 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    (Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

  9. 2025-11-17
    listed $189,900 Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    (Seller Prefers Showings Wednesday-Sunday after 1:00 pm) . .. . 3+ Bedroom Ranch. Open Kitchen & Living Room with Formal Dining Room. Large Mudroom/Foyer Entrance off Attached 2-car Garage. Main Floor Utility off Back Porch Entry. 1/2 Bath in Master Bedroom. Corner Lot - Close to Emerson Elementary & Downtown Central Ave Shopping. Appliances + W/ D stay. There is also a 1-car attached storage garage.

  10. 2025-02-20
    soldstatus $193,000
  11. 2025-02-18
    soldstatus $193,000 Closed 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.

  12. 2025-01-03
    status Pending 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.

  13. 2024-11-27
    status Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.

  14. 2024-11-18
    status Pending 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.

  15. 2024-10-07
    listed $199,900 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    This quaint home has all kinds of rooms that can be used for a multitude of purposes. It has a unique open concept with lots of room for a busy family. It has an attached two car garage facing south and a smaller attached one car garage on the east. It has a nice backyard with plenty of privacy. If you need rooms this is the place for you.

  16. 2011-10-04
    soldstatus $83,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,394 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,112 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$718/yr (+$60/mo · 30.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,060
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,394
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,685
− Management
−$1,685
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$219
After-tax cash flow
$2,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kearney Public Schools
NCES district ID
3172390
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,913
Composite
46.61/100
National rank
#2415
State rank
#43 of 111 in NE

Livability — Kearney

Score
83/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#858

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kearney, NE
City population
20,536
Population (ZIP)
17,911

Population outlook (Buffalo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,980 people
By 2030
58,298 · +6.0%
By 2040
64,975 · +18.2%
By 2050
72,054 · +31.1%
By 2075
90,838 · +65.2%
By 2100
106,838 · +94.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Buffalo

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.9) · D 26.9% · R 71.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.5pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -44.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+37.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.96%
Current HPI
205.0002
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $182,900 GMNMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted GMNMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $189,900 GMNMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $179,900 GMNMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $189,900 GMNMLS
  • 2025-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
  • 2025-02-18 Sold (MLS) $193,000 GMNMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Pending GMNMLS
  • 2024-11-27 Relisted GMNMLS
  • 2024-11-18 Pending GMNMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $199,900 GMNMLS
  • 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,394 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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