2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 1070/E · Kaanapali, HI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Peak of whale season! Relax on your lanai all day on the shady side of Tower 2 with a postcard view of Kaanapali Beach
Key facts
- 6.67 acre lot
- Pool
- Built 1976
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath timeshare listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#19 in HI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 637 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $129k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.86%
- DSCR
- 3.62
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,390
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 38.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 760 G | 0.01mi | 1/2.0 | 905 (0%) | 5mo | $96,000 | $106 | 96 |
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 157 Z | 0.01mi | 1/2.0 | 905 (0%) | 15mo | $25,000 | $28 | 87 |
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 610 Z | 0.01mi | 1/2.0 | 905 (0%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $83 | 86 |
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 1259G | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 901 (-0%) | 11mo | $79,000 | $88 | 84 |
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 719 D | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 901 (-0%) | 15mo | $105,000 | $117 | 83 |
| 2481 Kaanapali Pkwy Unit 901/R | 0.05mi | 1/2.0 | 941 (+4%) | 12mo | $138,000 | $147 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $95,300
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 63.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.71×
- Total profit
- $242,381
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96761
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 637
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,371 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $1,772
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,861 | -5% $1,816 | +0% $1,772 | +5% $1,727 | +10% $1,682 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,505 | -5% $1,638 | +0% $1,772 | +5% $1,905 | +10% $2,038 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,837 | -0.5pp $1,804 | base $1,772 | +0.5pp $1,738 | +1.0pp $1,704 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-04-01$135,000 Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Peak of whale season! Relax on your lanai all day on the shady side of Tower 2 with a postcard view of Kaanapali Beach
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2025-11-26$135,000 Active
-
2011-08-08soldstatus $61,000
-
2011-05-13$64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,236
- − Management
- −$3,236
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $20,420
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,901
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,358/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Kaanapali
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #6248
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kaanapali, HI
- County
- Maui County · 114,195 people
- Metro
- Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,952
- Household income
- $101,123
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 835.0
Population outlook (Maui County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,013 people
- By 2030
- 194,315 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 210,917 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 226,396 · +22.4%
- By 2075
- 270,475 · +46.2%
- By 2100
- 316,825 · +71.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 35% Asian 29% Two or more races 25% Hispanic / Latino 13% Pacific Islander 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 12% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Maui
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.9) · D 61.9% · R 36.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 55.2pp · 2024: 25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.9 2020: D+35.5 2016: D+38.6 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+55.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.68%
- Current HPI
- 389.2894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+110.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $135,000 RAM MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — RAM MLS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $135,000 RAM MLS
- 2011-08-08 Sold (MLS) $61,000 RAM MLS
- 2011-05-13 Listed $64,000 RAM MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…