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3712 Santos St
D+ Composite 48.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

3712 Santos St · Norfolk, VA 23513
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1982 Est $298k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property being sold "AS IS". Appliances convey "AS IS". Contents and debris in and on the property at settlement convey. Due diligence should be completed prior to submitting offer. No contingencies please. Property is being sold by a Conservator and, as a result, requires approval by a Commissioner of Accounts before any contract can be ratified.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1982
  • Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached ranch-style home; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain-link full fence; Storage shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with ensuite (first floor); Additional bedroom(s); First-floor bedroom and full bathroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Security system; Satellite dish; Scuttle (attic) access
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-338/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (2.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Coleman Place Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,046 of 1,108 statewide, top 95%, 617 students, 98% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $230k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,669 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3414 Tait Ter 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+6%) 1mo $314,650 $210 76
4614 Cape Henry Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-1%) 2mo $285,000 $204 73
2444 Ballentine Blvd 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+0%) 2mo $160,000 $112 67
2813 Ballentine Blvd 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,364 (-4%) 1mo $306,500 $225 65
3772 Larkin St 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,630 (+15%) 3mo $325,000 $199 62
2428 Juniper St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+7%) 3mo $278,000 $183 62
3432 W Bonner Dr 0.58mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,401 (-1%) 1mo $357,000 $255 61
2329 Early St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,564 (+10%) 2mo $339,900 $217 59
2813 Keller Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+6%) 2mo $325,000 $215 58
3636 Henrico St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+6%) 2mo $320,000 $213 56
2721 Keller Ave 0.60mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (-8%) 3mo $195,000 $150 47
2311 Harrell Ave 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-9%) 1mo $270,000 $208 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-38,211
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-32,063
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23513

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,957 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,263/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,992
Max offer price $225,031
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1525 Nevada Ave Unit B Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.5 1134 $1,445 $1.27 43d 1 0.28mi
1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 23d 1 0.43mi
1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 43d 1 0.43mi
2721 Grandy Ave Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 23d 1 0.49mi
2400 Ballentine Blvd Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 879 $1,550 $1.76 43d 1 0.52mi
2531 Vincent Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,195 $1.37 43d 1 0.55mi
3477 E Bonner Dr Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1304 $2,000 $1.53 23d 1 0.66mi
2815 Keller Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1210 $2,250 $1.86 4d 1 0.67mi
3640 Robin Hood Rd Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 1400 $2,999 $2.14 17d 1 0.70mi
3653 Nottaway St Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1564 $2,200 $1.41 17d 1 0.72mi
2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 105 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,325 $1.39 23d 1 0.73mi
2412 Azalea Garden Rd Apt 210 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,325 $1.39 43d 1 0.73mi
4563 Shoshone Ct Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 43d 1 0.75mi
4745 Lind St Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 43d 1 0.77mi
1562 Norcova Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1288 $2,000 $1.55 17d 1 0.81mi
2949 Verdun Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 950 $3,000 $3.16 43d 1 0.83mi
3504 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,995 $1.23 43d 1 0.87mi
3504 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,995 $1.23 23d 1 0.87mi
2660 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1375 $2,100 $1.53 17d 1 0.91mi
2640 Azalea Garden Rd Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,150 $1.95 4d 1 0.95mi
2914 Peronne Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,495 $1.41 23d 1 1.01mi
1371 E Norcova Dr Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 967 $1,750 $1.81 7d 1 1.01mi
1323 W Norcova Dr Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1410 $2,500 $1.77 43d 1 1.02mi
2405 Lafayette Blvd Unit A Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 14d 1 1.03mi
3541 Mangrove Ave Unit 8 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 23d 1 1.13mi
2111 Bellevue Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 43d 1 1.14mi
3521 Brest Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1234 $2,300 $1.86 43d 1 1.17mi
2201 Pershing Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1455 $2,250 $1.55 4d 1 1.17mi
3305 Herbert St Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1215 $1,750 $1.44 12d 1 1.24mi
3301 Vimy Ridge Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,150 $1.65 4d 1 1.24mi
2729 Somme Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1524 $2,295 $1.51 14d 1 1.24mi
3801 Chatham Cir Unit 2 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 7d 1 1.29mi
1320 Gabriel Dr Norfolk, VA 4.0 1.5 1812 $2,495 $1.38 43d 1 1.30mi
1801 Saint Denis Ave Unit 3 Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 23d 1 1.33mi
1801 Lasalle Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,880 $1.71 44d 1 1.35mi
1403 Lead St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 1854 $2,550 $1.38 43d 1 1.36mi
1714 Bellevue Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,799 $1.20 43d 1 1.36mi
3819 Pamlico Cir Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 12d 1 1.38mi
5404 Douglas St Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 981 $1,950 $1.99 43d 1 1.38mi
1225 River Oaks Dr Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1529 $1,335 $0.87 23d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-18
    listed $230,000 Active
  14. 1984-05-31
    soldstatus $61,000
  15. 1982-06-22
    soldstatus $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,263 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,263 · $272/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,480
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,263
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,878
− Management
−$1,878
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$4,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102670
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,358
Composite
35.08/100
National rank
#5026
State rank
#118 of 131 in VA

Livability — Norfolk

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, VA
County
Norfolk City · 214,042 people
City population
214,042
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
28,628
Household income
$68,380
Rent vs Own
43.9% rent · 56.1% own
Severe rent burden
1342.0

Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,032 people
By 2030
252,347 · +1.3%
By 2040
253,644 · +1.9%
By 2050
251,913 · +1.2%
By 2075
245,281 · -1.5%
By 2100
219,548 · -11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.67%
Current HPI
329.2241
Rent YoY
▲ 3.42%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+296.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $230,000 REINMLS
  • 1984-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1982-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,263 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…