305 W Commercial St · Inola, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property sold at time of listing. For statistical purposes only
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Detached shop
- Close to major roads
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces southeast; Slab foundation
- Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Workshop structure; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Flooring: Concrete floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl window features; Laminate countertops
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Inola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#106 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Inola (rural): math 21% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #140 of 270 in OK (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 608 units permitted in Rogers County in 2024 (7 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rogers County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.07%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,696
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Hazel Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+0%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 310 A St NW | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,537 (-2%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $185 | 65 |
| 20 Dylan Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,648 (+5%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $191 | 63 |
| 24 Faye Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,505 (-4%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 323 A St NW | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 2mo | $248,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 5 B St NW | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,403 (-10%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 29 Faye Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,478 (-6%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 7 Riding St W | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,613 (+3%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $87 | 48 |
| 28 Riding St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,476 (-6%) | 6mo | $206,000 | $140 | 47 |
| 202 NE B St NE | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,449 (-8%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 234 C St SE | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $156 | 35 |
| 223 Suburban Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,388 (-12%) | 18mo | $201,000 | $145 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $6,822
- Equity at exit
- $18,993
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $31,521
- Equity at exit
- $17,719
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74036
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,093 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,220/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $89,900
-
2026-03-17$99,900 Active
-
2025-10-07historical
-
2025-10-06price $185,000
-
2025-08-15price $190,000
-
2025-07-03price $195,500
-
2025-05-27price $225,000
-
2025-05-21$229,000 Active
-
2021-07-02soldstatus $150,000 Closed 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Property sold at time of listing. For statistical purposes only
-
2021-04-30historical 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Property sold at time of listing. For statistical purposes only
-
2021-04-30$150,000 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Property sold at time of listing. For statistical purposes only
-
2009-03-27soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,220
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,050
- − Management
- −$1,050
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,701
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Inola
- NCES district ID
- 4015480
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,748
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8751
- State rank
- #140 of 270 in OK
Livability — Inola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #11471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inola, OK
- City population
- 7,456
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,456
Population outlook (Rogers County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,211 people
- By 2030
- 104,381 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 111,567 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 116,791 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 129,134 · +28.9%
- By 2100
- 132,326 · +32.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 12% Native American 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rogers
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.6% · R 76.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.9pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.9 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+50.1 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Current HPI
- 252.487
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-10.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-17 Listed $99,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $185,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $190,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $195,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $225,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-21 Listed $229,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-07-02 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-30 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-30 Listed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,220 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…