427 West St · Grinnell, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a bright and spacious living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and appreciate recent updates including a new roof in 2023 and fresh exterior paint in 2024, adding both style and peace of mind. Outside, enjoy your nice backyard, ideal for relaxing, gardening, or play, and complete with two storage sheds for all your tools, toys, and outdoor gear. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike!
Key facts
- Nice backyard
- Main-level laundry
- Two storage sheds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($286/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Grinnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#123 in IA, #2,270 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Grinnell-Newburg Community School District (town): math 76% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #47 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 27 units permitted in Poweshiek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $750 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Poweshiek County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.94%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,116
- List price
- $108,500
- Delta
- -26.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 West St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (+5%) | 12mo | $149,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 128 Main St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (+4%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $147 | 73 |
| 206 Main St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 964 (+2%) | 11mo | $188,500 | $196 | 71 |
| 718 Reed St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 959 (+2%) | 7mo | $117,900 | $123 | 68 |
| 335 Broad St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 903 (-4%) | 14mo | $205,000 | $227 | 67 |
| 516 Harrison Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 867 (-8%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $75 | 67 |
| 626 Prairie St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (+5%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 416 Broad St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,058 (+12%) | 10mo | $146,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 521 Harrison Ave | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (+10%) | 14mo | $229,900 | $221 | 56 |
| 720 Harrison Ave | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+13%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $113 | 47 |
| 201 2nd Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 856 (-9%) | 18mo | $139,900 | $163 | 47 |
| 915 Elm St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,061 (+12%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $179 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-16,065
- Equity at exit
- $16,178
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-12,040
- Equity at exit
- $9,381
Cash invested: $30,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50112
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$569
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,125
- Closing costs
- $3,255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Washington Ave Grinnell, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 401 Washington Ave Grinnell, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 232 8th Ave W Grinnell, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,010 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $108,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $109,900 574-char remark
Show marketing remark (574 chars)
Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a bright and spacious living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and appreciate recent updates including a new roof in 2023 and fresh exterior paint in 2024, adding both style and peace of mind. Outside, enjoy your nice backyard, ideal for relaxing, gardening, or play, and complete with two storage sheds for all your tools, toys, and outdoor gear. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike!
-
2026-04-03price $112,000 574-char remark
Show marketing remark (574 chars)
Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a bright and spacious living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and appreciate recent updates including a new roof in 2023 and fresh exterior paint in 2024, adding both style and peace of mind. Outside, enjoy your nice backyard, ideal for relaxing, gardening, or play, and complete with two storage sheds for all your tools, toys, and outdoor gear. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike!
-
2026-02-20$115,000 Active 574-char remark
Show marketing remark (574 chars)
Discover this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a bright and spacious living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and appreciate recent updates including a new roof in 2023 and fresh exterior paint in 2024, adding both style and peace of mind. Outside, enjoy your nice backyard, ideal for relaxing, gardening, or play, and complete with two storage sheds for all your tools, toys, and outdoor gear. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike!
-
2025-04-08soldstatus $102,000
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2025-03-28soldstatus $102,000 Closed 694-char remark
Show marketing remark (694 chars)
Very cute story and a half home in Grinnell, Iowa with convenient access to parks, schools, shopping, and a vibrant downtown area. Recent updates include a new roof in 2023, painted exterior 2024, and an updated main level bathroom. Step inside to an entry foyer before entering the living room which adjoins the kitchen that includes all appliances. Just down the hall is the main floor bedroom and full bathroom. Also on the main floor is the laundry room (washer and dryer included) with storage and a rear entry/mud room. Upstairs are two additional bedrooms with full closets. Outside is a quiet backyard with plenty of parking and two storage sheds. Call today to schedule a private tour.
-
2025-02-25status Pending 694-char remark
Show marketing remark (694 chars)
Very cute story and a half home in Grinnell, Iowa with convenient access to parks, schools, shopping, and a vibrant downtown area. Recent updates include a new roof in 2023, painted exterior 2024, and an updated main level bathroom. Step inside to an entry foyer before entering the living room which adjoins the kitchen that includes all appliances. Just down the hall is the main floor bedroom and full bathroom. Also on the main floor is the laundry room (washer and dryer included) with storage and a rear entry/mud room. Upstairs are two additional bedrooms with full closets. Outside is a quiet backyard with plenty of parking and two storage sheds. Call today to schedule a private tour.
-
2025-01-15price $104,000 694-char remark
Show marketing remark (694 chars)
Very cute story and a half home in Grinnell, Iowa with convenient access to parks, schools, shopping, and a vibrant downtown area. Recent updates include a new roof in 2023, painted exterior 2024, and an updated main level bathroom. Step inside to an entry foyer before entering the living room which adjoins the kitchen that includes all appliances. Just down the hall is the main floor bedroom and full bathroom. Also on the main floor is the laundry room (washer and dryer included) with storage and a rear entry/mud room. Upstairs are two additional bedrooms with full closets. Outside is a quiet backyard with plenty of parking and two storage sheds. Call today to schedule a private tour.
-
2024-12-03$109,000 Active 694-char remark
Show marketing remark (694 chars)
Very cute story and a half home in Grinnell, Iowa with convenient access to parks, schools, shopping, and a vibrant downtown area. Recent updates include a new roof in 2023, painted exterior 2024, and an updated main level bathroom. Step inside to an entry foyer before entering the living room which adjoins the kitchen that includes all appliances. Just down the hall is the main floor bedroom and full bathroom. Also on the main floor is the laundry room (washer and dryer included) with storage and a rear entry/mud room. Upstairs are two additional bedrooms with full closets. Outside is a quiet backyard with plenty of parking and two storage sheds. Call today to schedule a private tour.
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2021-06-14soldstatus $85,000
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2021-06-11soldstatus $85,000
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2021-06-11soldstatus $85,000
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2021-06-11soldstatus $85,000
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2021-05-21
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2021-04-28$85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,517 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 14.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,078
- − Property taxes
- −$1,330
- − Insurance
- −$542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$3,156
- Taxable loss
- −$1,552
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$372
- After-tax cash flow
- $658/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grinnell-Newburg Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1913200
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,893
- Composite
- 65.57/100
- National rank
- #466
- State rank
- #47 of 289 in IA
Livability — Grinnell
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #2270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grinnell, IA
- City population
- 11,776
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,776
Population outlook (Poweshiek County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,601 people
- By 2030
- 18,342 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 17,944 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 18,029 · -3.1%
- By 2075
- 19,945 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 22,637 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Portuguese 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Poweshiek
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.0) · D 40.8% · R 57.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: -17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.0 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+6.8 2012: D+9.1 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.63%
- Current HPI
- 241.5557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+29.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $109,900 DMMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $112,000 DMMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $115,000 DMMLS
- 2025-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $102,000 IAR
- 2025-02-25 Pending — IAR
- 2025-01-15 Price Changed $104,000 IAR
- 2024-12-03 Listed $109,000 IAR
- 2021-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $85,000 DMMLS
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-21 Listed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-28 Listed $85,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,330 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…