209 N Weakley St · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great UPDATED House in Great neighborhood . Nice Flooring Throughout, Fresh paint, Kitchen cabinets and countertops have been replaced. Appliances include Electric range and Stainless Refrigerator . Bath has been replaced, Steel Roof . Vinyl Siding. Storage Building. Deck and Large Covered Porch. This house is very close to Lowes, Academy Sports, Walmart Supercenter and lots of Restaurants. view the pictures and Drive by and check it out.
Key facts
- Storage building
- Steel roof
- Kitchen cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.48%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,992
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 3.93%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 N Orleans St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-4%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $129 | 85 |
| 213 Normandy Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+3%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $120 | 84 |
| 33 S Crown St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $195 | 79 |
| 415 N Eclipse St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (+3%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $80 | 78 |
| 32 S Fulton St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $200 | 75 |
| 216 N Eclipse St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,013 (-7%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $123 | 71 |
| 29 S Fulton St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 8mo | $217,000 | $197 | 70 |
| 221 N Fulton St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+5%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $131 | 69 |
| 147 N Fulton St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-12%) | 6mo | $118,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 4110 Eastwood Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 214 S Kirkman St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+3%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $112 | 58 |
| 2924 Woodard Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 961 (-12%) | 6mo | $47,500 | $49 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-328
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $39,885
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $724/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $257
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 N Broadway St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 200 Foxfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,120 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3504 Cole Ave Unit B Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 211 N Patton St Unit 1510 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1846 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 43d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 1975 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 997 | $815 | $0.82 | 43d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 2021 Cloyd Blvd Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 43d | 4 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15status $129,900 Pending 171 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Great UPDATED House in Great neighborhood . Nice Flooring Throughout, Fresh paint, Kitchen cabinets and countertops have been replaced. Appliances include Electric range and Stainless Refrigerator . Bath has been replaced, Steel Roof . Vinyl Siding. Storage Building. Deck and Large Covered Porch. This house is very close to Lowes, Academy Sports, Walmart Supercenter and lots of Restaurants. view the pictures and Drive by and check it out.
-
2026-05-05status Pending 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Great UPDATED House in Great neighborhood . Nice Flooring Throughout, Fresh paint, Kitchen cabinets and countertops have been replaced. Appliances include Electric range and Stainless Refrigerator . Bath has been replaced, Steel Roof . Vinyl Siding. Storage Building. Deck and Large Covered Porch. This house is very close to Lowes, Academy Sports, Walmart Supercenter and lots of Restaurants. view the pictures and Drive by and check it out.
-
2025-12-16$129,900 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Great UPDATED House in Great neighborhood . Nice Flooring Throughout, Fresh paint, Kitchen cabinets and countertops have been replaced. Appliances include Electric range and Stainless Refrigerator . Bath has been replaced, Steel Roof . Vinyl Siding. Storage Building. Deck and Large Covered Porch. This house is very close to Lowes, Academy Sports, Walmart Supercenter and lots of Restaurants. view the pictures and Drive by and check it out.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $724 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $724 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$724
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$240
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $129,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $724 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…