13 Temple Rd · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property being sold in Strictly "AS IS" condition. It is the buyers responsibility to obtain any necessary certifications to occupy. Sale will take 4-5 months to close.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 134
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (2 spaces); Two total garage and parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Two floors; Entry level is 1
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built (year source: Assessor)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Not in a federal flood zone; Other structures above and below grade
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Hot water radiator heating; Natural gas heating and natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Average condition; Main entrance faces west; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($17/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $190k implies a 485% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.53%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $315,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Deshibe Ter | 0.34mi | 3/— | 1,645 (-2%) | 0mo | $309,000 | $188 | 81 |
| 26 N Valley Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,580 (-6%) | 10mo | $272,500 | $172 | 75 |
| 515 Park Ln | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,712 (+2%) | 6mo | $319,900 | $187 | 70 |
| 36 Columbia Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,760 (+5%) | 10mo | $365,000 | $207 | 66 |
| 1000 E Park Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,722 (+2%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $78 | 63 |
| 503 Hazel Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,568 (-7%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $198 | 62 |
| 516 N Valley Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-9%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 739 E Montrose St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,679 (-0%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 504 Mayfair St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (-13%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 13 S Myrtle St | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,866 (+11%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $158 | 48 |
| 73 S Myrtle St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (-14%) | 2mo | $193,000 | $134 | 48 |
| 920 Michigan Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $192 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-30,534
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-25,805
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$391 /mo · $4,692/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $109 | -5% $55 | +0% $1 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-152 | -5% $-75 | +0% $1 | +5% $78 | +10% $155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $50 | base $1 | +0.5pp $-48 | +1.0pp $-98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1130 E Park Ave Apt B Vineland, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2002 | $1,700 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1169 Sharp Rd #21 Vineland, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1993 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 890 E Walnut Rd Vineland, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 937 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 2d | 8 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18$190,000 Active
-
2026-05-14historical $190,000
-
1974-09-11soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,692 · $391/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,712 · $393/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$4,692
- − Insurance
- −$1,748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,865
- − Management
- −$1,865
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$3,031
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$728
- After-tax cash flow
- $744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+484.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1974-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,692 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…