29531 Eiffel Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Open floor plan
- Full brick ranch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (40.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (32.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Warren Woods Public Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #336 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.84%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,988
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -20.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29649 Dover Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,095 (+7%) | 4mo | $241,000 | $220 | 75 |
| 13003 Walter Ave Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 956 (-6%) | 11mo | $227,100 | $238 | 69 |
| 30428 Iroquois Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 956 (-6%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $251 | 65 |
| 28640 Bradner Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,095 (+7%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $174 | 60 |
| 13071 E 13 Mile Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (-1%) | 6mo | $169,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 29508 Roan Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,089 (+7%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 12354 Geoffry Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+8%) | 8mo | $237,000 | $215 | 55 |
| 30709 Iroquois St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+2%) | 16mo | $235,000 | $226 | 54 |
| 13765 Iowa Dr Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,129 (+10%) | 10mo | $232,000 | $205 | 52 |
| 14107 Bade Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,095 (+7%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $237 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-67,669
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -41.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.62×
- Total profit
- $-99,847
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48088
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$431 /mo · $5,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-380 | -5% $-443 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-567 | +10% $-629 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-622 | -5% $-563 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-446 | +10% $-388 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-394 | -0.5pp $-449 | base $-505 | +0.5pp $-562 | +1.0pp $-620 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30428 Iroquois Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 28801 Imperial Dr Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,205 | $1.36 | 18d | 6 | 0.68mi |
| 31250 Schoenherr Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 45d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 13250 De Mott Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1386 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 28250 Hoover Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,640 | $1.80 | 0d | 17 | 0.97mi |
| 15175 Raphael Ter Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 29125 Hayes Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11116 Racine Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1433 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13006 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 6 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,075 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 13006 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 6 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 27239 Hoover Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $945 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 13741 McKinley Ave Unit 1032320P Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $4,983 | $5.94 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2026-05-11status Pending 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2026-04-27price $219,900 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2026-04-27price $219,900 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2026-03-17$239,900 Active 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2026-03-16$239,900 Active 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Fantastic full brick ranch in a very desirable sub! Nice and open floor plan, with many updates to include furnace! Dining with door wall to park like yard which backs to beautiful Ridgewood park! Full/deep partially finished basement and attached garage! With hardwood flooring, central air and half bath on main level. .. .. this home will not last! This is a must see!
-
2022-10-13soldstatus $192,000
-
2022-10-07soldstatus $192,000 Sold
-
2022-10-07soldstatus $192,000 Closed
-
2022-09-07status Pending
-
2022-09-07status Pending
-
2022-08-29status Active
-
2022-08-29status Active
-
2022-08-08historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2022-08-08historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2022-08-02$189,900 Active
-
2022-08-02$189,900 Active
-
1991-05-23soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,178 · $431/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,178 · $431/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$5,178
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$10,045
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,411
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren Woods Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635220
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,013
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7003
- State rank
- #336 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- City population
- 114,937
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,443
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Arabic 4% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.65%
- Current HPI
- 206.4018
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+181.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $219,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-17 Listed $239,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Listed $239,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $192,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $192,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $192,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-08 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-08 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-02 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-02 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 1991-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,178 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…