707 Moore St · Middletown, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity With Immediate Cash Flow! Tenant-occupied single-family home currently generating $1,300/month in rental income ($1,200 rent plus $100 pet rent) with a brand-new 12-month lease signed last month for stabilized income from day one. This property is ideal for investors looking to add a performing rental to their portfolio without the hassle of vacancy, renovations, or tenant placement. Seller is also open to considering creative financing/seller financing options for qualified buyers, creating additional flexibility and potential upside in today’s interest rate environment. Lease and supporting rental information is attached. Please do not disturb tenants. Interior
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1904
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: 2-story home
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Public water available; Natural gas available; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level (13 x 14); Second-level room (9 x 20)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#389 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Middletown City (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #610 of 656 in OH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $130k implies a 420% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.45%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,296
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -10.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2418 Sherman Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (-2%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $179 | 75 |
| 1107 Baltimore St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (+0%) | 4mo | $95,500 | $83 | 74 |
| 2208 Superior Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,156 (+1%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $121 | 71 |
| 2109 Queen Ave | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+9%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 14 Moore St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,119 (-2%) | 4mo | $182,000 | $163 | 70 |
| 2022 Central Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (+1%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $56 | 66 |
| 407 S Sutphin St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,070 (-6%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 515 Stanley St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 621 Cleveland St | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,004 (-12%) | 1mo | $162,500 | $162 | 63 |
| 2016 Linden Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 5mo | $167,000 | $166 | 55 |
| 904 Stanley St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,002 (-12%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $190 | 50 |
| 1209 Grove St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+14%) | 7mo | $93,000 | $71 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,768
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $45,169
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45044
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $514/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $323 | +0% $286 | +5% $250 | +10% $213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $180 | -5% $233 | +0% $286 | +5% $340 | +10% $393 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $352 | -0.5pp $319 | base $286 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 Woodlawn Ave Middletown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2208 Woodlawn Ave Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $895 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2310 S Sutphin St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,025 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2400 Sherman Ave Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,280 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 702 Baltimore St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $895 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $925 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $925 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 108 Shafor St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $925 | $0.83 | 12d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 108 Shafor St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $925 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 202 Harrison St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $895 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 206 N Sutphin St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3003 Grand Ave Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 11d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3003 Grand Ave Fl 1 Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2000 Pearl St Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,500 | $3.89 | 2d | 4 | 0.86mi |
| 3106 Grand Ave Unit 2 Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $925 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1804 Brentwood St Middletown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,430 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3122 Beatrice Dr Middletown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1820 Clarendon Ave Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 907 8th Ave Middletown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,400 | $1.01 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 834 Jackson Ln Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,075 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1408 Jackson Ln Unit 4 Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1408 Jackson Ln Unit 3 Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1600 Jackson Ln Middletown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$139,900 Active 990-char remark
-
2025-04-04historical
-
2025-03-31historical $1,200
-
2025-03-26price $129,900
-
2025-03-26price $1,200
-
2025-03-14$1,300
-
2025-02-12price $132,900
-
2025-01-09price $139,000
-
2024-12-14price $143,900
-
2024-11-07$144,900 Active
-
2024-06-19historical
-
2024-05-17status Active
-
2024-05-10status Pending
-
2024-03-21$125,000 Active
-
2021-01-25soldstatus $25,000
-
2008-06-29historical
-
2008-03-28$17,900
-
2008-03-21historical
-
2007-11-28$22,900
-
2002-07-01soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,270 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$756/yr (+$63/mo · 147.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$514
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,363
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,650
- Composite
- 20.35/100
- National rank
- #8605
- State rank
- #610 of 656 in OH
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #6338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, OH
- County
- Butler County · 381,674 people
- City population
- 96,117
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,217
- Household income
- $73,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1532.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 387,706 people
- By 2030
- 392,028 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 395,307 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 391,116 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 378,642 · -2.3%
- By 2100
- 343,248 · -11.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.07%
- Current HPI
- 219.0479
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.31%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+381.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $129,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $139,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2025-03-31 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $129,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2025-03-14 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-02-12 Price Changed $132,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $139,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-12-14 Price Changed $143,900 Dayton MLS
- 2024-11-07 Listed $144,900 Dayton MLS
- 2024-06-19 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-17 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-10 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $125,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-29 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-03-28 Listed $17,900 Cincy MLS
- 2008-03-21 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-11-28 Listed $22,900 Cincy MLS
- 2002-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $514 · -46.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…