148 Stevens St · Wellsville, NY 14895

$38,200

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1925 7,841 ac lot ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Why rent when you can own for less in Wellsville, NY. Local attractions include the junction of many foothill streams including Dyke's Creek feeding the Genesee River from the East. This home was built I 1925 and is on a lot of 7,841 sq. ft. The home has 994 sq. ft. At this price if you blink it will be SOLD. AS-IS SALE property. Buyers to inspect prior to bidding. The Buyer's due diligence needs to be conducted prior to bidding, as the high bidder will receive an AS-IS only contract.

Key facts

• 7841 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; One story (all main rooms on first floor); Entry level: First floor
• Construction: Construction materials: Other
• Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot features listed as Other

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on first floor
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor; Additional bedroom on first floor
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on first floor
• Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
• Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Five total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Utility areas in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
• Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 6.6% in Wellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#336 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment C-.
• Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($264 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $38,200

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.80% ✓
• Cap rate: 33.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 98.90%
• DSCR: 5.40
• GRM: 2.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $111,328
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
79 Early St	0.16mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,032 (+4%)	15mo	$121,000	$117	67
1 Whitney Pl	0.42mi	3/1.0	1,142 (+15%)	4mo	$115,000	$101	52
220 S Brooklyn Ave	0.68mi	3/1.5	1,056 (+6%)	8mo	$118,000	$112	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.20×
• Total profit: $76,970
• Equity at exit: $34,414

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 18.07×
• Total profit: $182,557
• Equity at exit: $74,214

Cash invested: $10,696 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14895

• Home prices YoY: 6.9%
• Active inventory: 52
• Price-to-rent: 2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,450 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$200
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$48 /mo · $573/yr
• Insurance: −$16
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $882

Break-even live

Break-even rent $334

Max offer price $38,200

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,550
• Closing costs: $1,146
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
46 Pine St Wellsville, NY	3.0	2.0	1000	$1,450	$1.45	43d	1	0.39mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $38,200 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 489-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   listed $38,200 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,140
• − Property taxes: −$573
• − Insurance: −$191
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,392
• − Management: −$1,392
• − Depreciation: −$1,111
• Taxable income: $10,601
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,544
• After-tax cash flow: $8,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wellsville Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3630480
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $39,964
• Composite: 39.71/100
• National rank: #3903
• State rank: #442 of 590 in NY

Livability — Wellsville

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #336
• US rank: #5669

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wellsville, NY
• Population (ZIP): 9,117

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 45,362 people
• By 2030: 43,078 · -5.0%
• By 2040: 38,031 · -16.2%
• By 2050: 33,634 · -25.9%
• By 2075: 25,285 · -44.3%
• By 2100: 18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 18.16%
• Current HPI: 280.3569
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-22.8% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $38,200 Global MLS
• 2005-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,621 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.