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1870 NW 56th Ter
D- Composite 39.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

1870 NW 56th Ter · Ocala, FL 34482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,957 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 2002 8,712 sqft lot $148/sqft · 11% below area Est $326k · 11% under $294/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover an exceptional opportunity in Ocala Palms, a premier golf and country club community in Ocala, FL, located just minutes from the World Equestrian Center. This inviting 3 bedroom, 2 bath home shines with an open, flowing layout perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen comes with a moveable island and is just steps away the dining and living areas, creating a seamless, connected space. The home’s vaulted ceilings enhance the feeling of space throughout, and the expansive primary bedroom is a private sanctuary. Enjoy quiet mornings or evening breezes in your enclosed lanai, and take full advantage of the additional sitting room — ideal for relaxation or work-from-home convenience. A three-car garage makes parking and storage a breeze! Ocala Palms offers more than just a beautiful setting — residents enjoy a full social calendar, golf course access, community pool, fitness center, and more, all within a friendly, active guard gated community just a short drive from world-class equestrian events and local conveniences.

Key facts

  • Moveable island
  • Fitness center
  • Community pool

Tags

ENCLOSED LANAIMOVEABLE ISLANDCOMMUNITY POOLFITNESS CENTERGUARD GATED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (19.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $290k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,410 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.82%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$325,558
List price
$289,900
Delta
-10.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1933 NW 56th Ter 0.05mi 3/2.0 2,100 (+7%) 1mo $300,000 $143 84
5711 NW 25th Loop 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,080 (+6%) 1mo $341,000 $164 74
5500 NW 23rd Pl 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,837 (-6%) 4mo $245,000 $133 70
5195 NW 21st Loop 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,840 (-6%) 8mo $299,000 $163 68
2270 NW 55th Avenue Rd 0.29mi 3/2.0 2,055 (+5%) 13mo $350,000 $170 68
5332 NW 20th Pl 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,087 (+7%) 15mo $210,000 $101 62
2570 NW 55th Avenue Rd 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,914 (-2%) 10mo $297,500 $155 60
5391 NW 19th Pl 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,715 (-12%) 12mo $205,000 $120 59
5306 NW 19th Pl 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,719 (-12%) 9mo $344,500 $200 58
2520 NW 53rd Avenue Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 2,058 (+5%) 11mo $250,000 $121 56
4487 NW 53rd Ave 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,894 (-3%) 13mo $467,990 $247 52
5942 NW 26th Ln 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,783 (-9%) 15mo $295,000 $165 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-55,430
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-19,071
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34482

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
663
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,304 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$211 /mo · $2,532/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$294
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$-326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,717
Max offer price $232,340
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-162 -5% $-244 +0% $-326 +5% $-408 +10% $-490
Rent -10% $-508 -5% $-417 +0% $-326 +5% $-235 +10% $-144
Rate -1.0pp $-180 -0.5pp $-252 base $-326 +0.5pp $-401 +1.0pp $-477

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1527 NW 57th Ct Unit 1 Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,550 $1.06 22d 1 0.33mi
5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1169 $2,045 $1.75 22d 1 0.94mi
1632 NW 44th Court Rd Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 22d 1 0.97mi
4530 NW 14th Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1966 $2,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.12mi
4522 NW 14th Loop Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2028 $2,050 $1.01 14d 1 1.12mi
5361 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,500 $1.90 22d 1 1.13mi
3384 NW 54th Ct Ocala, FL 2.0 2.5 1722 $2,300 $1.34 22d 1 1.14mi
5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1368 $2,300 $1.68 14d 1 1.14mi
3441 NW 56th Ave Ocala, FL 3.0 3.0 2328 $2,800 $1.20 22d 1 1.15mi
5471 NW 34th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,900 $2.20 22d 1 1.16mi
311 NW 60th Ave Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $1,900 $1.30 22d 1 1.18mi
3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,500 $1.90 22d 1 1.18mi
5191 NW 34th St Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1318 $2,400 $1.82 22d 1 1.24mi
5423 NW 35th Lane Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1656 $3,200 $1.93 22d 1 1.29mi
5048 NW 35th St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,900 $1.22 14d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$294 · $3,528/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $289,900 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 114 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 113 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $300,000 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-02-07
    listed $325,000 Active 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    Discover an exceptional opportunity in Ocala Palms, a premier golf and country club community in Ocala, FL, located just minutes from the World Equestrian Center. This inviting 3 bedroom, 2 bath home shines with an open, flowing layout perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen comes with a moveable island and is just steps away the dining and living areas, creating a seamless, connected space. The home’s vaulted ceilings enhance the feeling of space throughout, and the expansive primary bedroom is a private sanctuary. Enjoy quiet mornings or evening breezes in your enclosed lanai, and take full advantage of the additional sitting room — ideal for relaxation or work-from-home convenience. A three-car garage makes parking and storage a breeze! Ocala Palms offers more than just a beautiful setting — residents enjoy a full social calendar, golf course access, community pool, fitness center, and more, all within a friendly, active guard gated community just a short drive from world-class equestrian events and local conveniences.

  17. 2016-05-17
    soldstatus $165,000
  18. 2016-02-19
    listed $169,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,532 · $211/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,532 · $211/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,649
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$2,532
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− HOA
−$3,528
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable loss
−$8,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,150
After-tax cash flow
$-1,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,807
Household income
$65,901
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.62%
Current HPI
194.3857
Rent YoY
▲ 11.12%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-19 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,532 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…