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1469 NW 39th Cir
B Composite 71.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.0/10.0

$75,000

1469 NW 39th Cir · Okeechobee, FL 34972
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 790 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1980 0.54 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Basswood~ Mobile Home: Oversized Lot, 2Bed & 1Bath, offers a great opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a project. The property features, multiple parking spaces, metal roof, fenced and gated, on septic, electric available, city water, No HOA, in growing community, closed to amenities, great schools, hospital, shopping and local stores, The home will require repairs, updates, and improvements before occupancy. Being sold as-is. Excellent potential for those looking to restore, renovate, or add value.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • City water
  • Fenced and gated

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTMULTIPLE PARKING SPACESMETAL ROOFFENCED AND GATEDCITY WATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (open, unpaved); Four open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water available
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One story; Resale condition; Faces south
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other roof; Other skirt; Built as single-wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Chain link fenced yard; Fenced property; Paved road access; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed; Refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry/utility appliances specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 4.3% in Okeechobee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in FL, #3,234 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okeechobee (town): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #58 of 73 in FL (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Seminole Elementary School (math 57% / reading 54%, grade C, #855 of 2,144 statewide, top 41%, 502 students, 75% FRL); Yearling Middle School (math 45% / reading 32%, grade F, #384 of 571 statewide, top 68%, 668 students, 70% FRL); Okeechobee High School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,692 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 644 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Okeechobee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okeechobee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.32%
Cap rate
19.99%
Cash-on-cash
48.90%
DSCR
3.18
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.4%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$34,485
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
5.30×
Total profit
$90,375
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34972

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
644
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,744 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,165/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$731

Break-even live

Break-even rent $819
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $75,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    remarks 531-char remark
  5. 2026-05-30
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,165 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,165 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,924
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,165
− Insurance
−$1,877
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,674
− Management
−$1,674
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$8,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,956
After-tax cash flow
$6,811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okeechobee
NCES district ID
1201410
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$36,710
Composite
35.73/100
National rank
#4855
State rank
#58 of 73 in FL

Livability — Okeechobee

Score
77/100
State rank
#210
US rank
#3234

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
23,975
Population (ZIP)
19,185

Population outlook (Okeechobee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,273 people
By 2030
35,885 · -3.7%
By 2040
32,931 · -11.6%
By 2050
29,433 · -21.0%
By 2075
19,607 · -47.4%
By 2100
11,814 · -68.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Okeechobee

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.9% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -53.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.8 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.94%
Current HPI
389.1156
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,165 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…