617 Front St Unit B41 Week 1 · Key West, FL 33040

$42,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 75 Days on market

Built 1983 7,374 sqft lot $132/mo HOA · 4% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Views of the famous Key West Sunset, Gulf of Mexico and pool await you when you arrive at this 4th-floor end- deeded timeshare unit. The live music from the Tiki bar saunters up to the balconies. This highly desirable winter week is magical enjoy the warm weather and Christmas boat parades while Key West is all dressed up for the holidays. Enjoy the private beach, pool, hot tub, sauna, outdoor gas grills located on the marina. Tiki Bar, Privates Cove cafe, exercise room or just steps away walk out the the Historic Key West Seaport Village for a delicious dinner or happy hour and just 2 blocks away is Famous Duval Street. The fully furnished unit has been updated with new furnishings. With 2

Key facts

• Famous duval street
• Outdoor gas grills
• Private beach

Tags

• KEY WEST SUNSET VIEWS
• GULF OF MEXICO VIEWS
• PRIVATE BEACH
• OUTDOOR GAS GRILLS
• FAMOUS DUVAL STREET
• PANORAMIC SUNSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unit is furnished; Spa is community, heated and in-ground; Corner lot with oceanfront/ocean access and nearby marina; Lot features include dead end street, few trees, historic area, and sprinklers front and rear; Road frontage on a paved city street
• HOA & community: Association: Galleon Resort HOA; Association amenities include barbecue, beach access, cable TV, elevators, fitness center, gated community, marina, sauna, spa/hot tub, security, trash service, water service, on-site management, maintenance of grounds and structure; Association fee is charged annually

Exterior

• Parking: Garage (1 space); Gated parking lot; Unassigned parking available
• Security: Gated with guard; Security gate; 24-hour security; Closed circuit cameras; Security lights; Fire alarm and sprinkler system; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
• Utilities: Public sewer; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available; Cable available and connected
• Home design: Timeshare property; Property is attached; One level; Entry level: 4; Facing south; Residential use
• Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Membrane and metal roof; Built on a foundation (standard)
• Exterior features: Balcony; Courtyard; Outdoor shower; Impact windows; Storm shutters; Covered deck/patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop and electric range; Electric oven; Microwave; Ice maker (plumbed); Refrigerator; Pantry
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Breakfast bar and breakfast nook; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; His and hers closets; Open floorplan; Pantry; Primary bathroom with tub and separate shower; Wet bar
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer stacked in unit; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; In-unit laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $42k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 67.4% vs local median 0.8% in Key West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#65 in FL, #1,123 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
• Monroe (town): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 73 in FL (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 496 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 332 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (42 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $39,480 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 7.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 67.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 218.12%
• DSCR: 10.71
• GRM: 1.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $1,324,960
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
617 Front St Unit B-41 Week 28	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,120 (0%)	0mo	$20,000	$18	100
710 William St	0.66mi	2/2.5	1,120 (0%)	12mo	$1,325,000	$1,183	57
515 Petronia St	0.66mi	2/2.0	1,200 (+7%)	3mo	$1,400,000	$1,167	55
709 Frances St	0.70mi	1/1.5 (-1)	1,095 (-2%)	3mo	$875,000	$799	54
618 Mickens Ln	0.62mi	2/2.5	1,056 (-6%)	6mo	$800,000	$758	54
716 Elizabeth St	0.62mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,049 (-6%)	9mo	$875,000	$834	48
819 Elizabeth St	0.70mi	2/2.0	1,025 (-8%)	9mo	$1,525,000	$1,488	46
1120 Stump Ln	0.62mi	2/2.0	952 (-15%)	1mo	$1,135,000	$1,192	45
626 Canfield Ln	0.59mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,223 (+9%)	9mo	$2,600,000	$2,126	45
11 Lowes Ln	0.55mi	3/3.0 (+1)	1,203 (+7%)	13mo	$2,400,000	$1,995	43
715 Chapman Ln	0.72mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,212 (+8%)	8mo	$1,700,000	$1,403	41
705 Chapman Ln	0.71mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,231 (+10%)	2mo	$1,100,000	$894	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.44×
• Total profit: $134,496
• Equity at exit: $6,262

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 27.72×
• Total profit: $314,242
• Equity at exit: $3,631

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33040

• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 496
• Price-to-rent: 1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,240 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$220
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$52 /mo · $630/yr
• Insurance: −$18
• HOA: −$132
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$680
• Net cashflow: $2,138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534

Max offer price $42,000

Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,500
• Closing costs: $1,260
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $132 · $1,584/yr
• Likely covers: gaspool

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $42,000 Active 75 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $42,000 Active 74 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $42,000 Active 73 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $42,000 Active 72 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $42,000 Active 71 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $42,000 Active 69 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $42,000 Active 68 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $42,000 Active 66 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $42,000 Active 65 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,000 Active 64 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 63 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $42,000 Active 60 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,000 Active 59 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,000 Active 58 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,000 Active 57 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,000 Active 56 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $42,000 Active 55 DOM
18. 2026-04-05
    listed $42,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,883
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,353
• − Property taxes: −$630
• − Insurance: −$210
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,111
• − Management: −$3,111
• − HOA: −$1,584
• − Depreciation: −$1,222
• Taxable income: $26,663
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$6,399
• After-tax cash flow: $19,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Monroe
• NCES district ID: 1201320
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $56,955
• Composite: 45.51/100
• National rank: #2608
• State rank: #23 of 73 in FL

Livability — Key West

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #65
• US rank: #1123

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Key West, FL
• County: Monroe County · 66,185 people
• City population: 35,429
• Metro: Key West, FL
• Population (ZIP): 35,429
• Household income: $86,586
• Rent vs Own: 49.8% rent · 50.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2502.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 90,706 people
• By 2030: 96,308 · +6.2%
• By 2040: 106,565 · +17.5%
• By 2050: 116,500 · +28.4%
• By 2075: 141,423 · +55.9%
• By 2100: 151,947 · +67.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 16% Black 12% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 14%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 22% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: R (+18.3) · D 40.5% · R 58.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: -18.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.3 2020: R+7.9 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+4.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -814.48%
• Current HPI: 168.5706
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.52%
• Metro: Key West, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-05 Listed $42,000 SCMLS