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Zenith (Westridge) Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 47.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,995

Zenith (Westridge) Plan · Paducah, KY 42086
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily · 324 Days on market
Good condition $355/mo HOA · 35% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located approximately five miles west of Kentucky Oaks Mall on Lightfoot Road near the airport, Westridge Pointe is in a quiet suburban neighborhood close to shopping, employment and schools. Community Amenities Basketball Court, Picnic Area, and Playground For current prices of homes in Westridge Pointe call our sales office today!

Key facts

  • Listed 323 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-167/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $63k (3.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
  • Mccracken County (town): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,195 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.92%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-11,187
Equity at exit
$9,691
10-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-9,937
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42086

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$355
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,018
Max offer price $62,977
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,249
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$355 · $4,260/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,995 Active 324 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,995 Active 323 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,995 Active 322 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,995 Active 321 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,995 Active 320 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,995 Active 318 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,995 Active 317 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,995 Active 314 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,995 Active 313 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,995 Active 312 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,995 Active 309 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,995 Active 308 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,995 Active 307 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,995 Active 306 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,995 Active 305 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,995 Active 304 DOM
  17. 2025-07-31
    listed $64,995 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Located approximately five miles west of Kentucky Oaks Mall on Lightfoot Road near the airport, Westridge Pointe is in a quiet suburban neighborhood close to shopping, employment and schools. Community Amenities Basketball Court, Picnic Area, and Playground For current prices of homes in Westridge Pointe call our sales office today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,003
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− HOA
−$4,260
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable loss
−$1,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$242
After-tax cash flow
$75/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good starting point for potential buyers or renters, with minor updates that could significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by enhancing convenience and energy efficiency.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by enhancing convenience and energy efficiency.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mccracken County
NCES district ID
2103960
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$49,976
Composite
39.84/100
National rank
#3871
State rank
#16 of 165 in KY

Livability — Paducah

Score
68/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#9780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,856
Population (ZIP)
4,313

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% German 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.84%
Current HPI
234.5022
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $64,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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