3456 Senora Ave SE · Grand Rapids, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Cozy living room
- Copper plumbing
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Cape Cod style; Single-family residence; Public water
- Construction: Built in 1956; Brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling available
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Replacement windows; Full basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.99%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $315,914
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1231 Richwood Dr SE | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-1%) | 6mo | $352,000 | $216 | 58 |
| 1303 Richwood Dr SE | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,740 (+5%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $193 | 58 |
| 3930 Winewood Ct SE | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,807 (+9%) | 14mo | $345,000 | $191 | 40 |
| 1317 Richwood Dr SE | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,885 (+14%) | 9mo | $347,000 | $184 | 40 |
| 1556 Belmar Dr SE | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,883 (+14%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $181 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-16,192
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $39,573
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49508
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,464 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $376 | +0% $302 | +5% $229 | +10% $155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $205 | +0% $302 | +5% $400 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $369 | base $302 | +0.5pp $235 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3454 Brooklyn Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2551 Eastern Ave SE Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
-
2026-05-07status Pending 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
-
2026-05-01$259,900 Active 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
-
2026-05-01$259,900 Active 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
-
2026-05-01$259,900 Active
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Due to showing activity, we are setting an offer review deadline of this Thursday at Noon. NO SIGN IN YARD. Great opportunity to build equity and make this classic Cape Cod your own. This home features 4 bedrooms, with 2 bedrooms and a half bath upstairs and 2 bedrooms with a full bath on the main floor. Hardwood floors run through the living room and two main-floor bedrooms. The cozy living room includes a fireplace, adding warmth and character. A breezeway connects the home to the attached one-stall garage. Enjoy a fenced backyard, brick and vinyl exterior, and vinyl windows. Water heater replaced in 2024; furnace and A/C are approximately 18 years old. Copper plumbing throughout. Roof age is unknown but appears in good condition. Located in a quiet neighborhood within close distance to Ken-O-Sha Park.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,074 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,038 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$964/yr (+$80/mo · 46.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,567
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,074
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,365
- − Management
- −$2,365
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$158
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,787/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Rapids Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2616440
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,612
- Composite
- 18.62/100
- National rank
- #8899
- State rank
- #451 of 540 in MI
Livability — Grand Rapids
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #939
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Rapids, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 181,325
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,720
- Household income
- $70,120
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1358.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 24% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 15% Romanian 3% Swiss 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Philippines, India
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.47%
- Current HPI
- 274.2591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.64%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $259,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $259,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $259,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,074 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…