1917 S 11th St · Council Bluffs, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STARTER HOME IN CONVENIENT LOCATION IN SOUTH COUNCIL BLUFFS. FEATURES INCLUDE 2 BEDROOMS, XL FENCED CORNER LOT WITH ROOM FOR GARAGE, BRICK PATIO, UPDATED PAINT AND CARPET, STORAGE SHED.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Corner lot
- Separate dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Corner lot; Concrete road frontage; Storage structure on property; Sidewalks in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($736/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Council Bluffs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#368 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Council Bluffs Community School District (urban): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #272 of 289 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary School (math 57% / reading 38%, grade D, #529 of 616 statewide, top 86%, 481 students, 60% FRL); Gerald W Kirn Middle School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade B-, #199 of 246 statewide, top 81%, 956 students, 54% FRL); Abraham Lincoln High School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 1,399 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 140 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 679 units permitted in Pottawattamie County in 2024 (566 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pottawattamie County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.75%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 17th Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (-1%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 2224 S 7th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+1%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $162 | 75 |
| 2220 S 7th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,070 (-0%) | 11mo | $138,000 | $129 | 74 |
| 1910 S 8th St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-15%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $154 | 64 |
| 1921 S 7th St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-13%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $187 | 64 |
| 2303 S 12th St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-15%) | 1mo | $163,000 | $179 | 62 |
| 2711 S 10th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+1%) | 8mo | $174,000 | $161 | 60 |
| 1703 15 Ave | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+4%) | 8mo | $33,000 | $29 | 55 |
| 2615 S 8th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,042 (-3%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $230 | 53 |
| 1429 10th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+3%) | 4mo | $141,500 | $128 | 52 |
| 2825 S 10th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,054 (-2%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $218 | 47 |
| 1205 27 Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (-13%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $226 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-23,673
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-28,374
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51501
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,371 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $146 | -5% $104 | +0% $61 | +5% $19 | +10% $-24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $7 | +0% $61 | +5% $115 | +10% $170 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $137 | -0.5pp $99 | base $61 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1115 23rd Ave Council Bluffs, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,675 | $2.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2301 S 9th St Council Bluffs, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1011 7th Ave Council Bluffs, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 519 S 9th St Council Bluffs, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1600 4th Ave #2 Council Bluffs, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8 S 6th St Council Bluffs, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 3d | 4 | 1.29mi |
| 530 W Broadway Apt 302 Council Bluffs, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,220 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 913 Avenue A Council Bluffs, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $795 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 120 N 6th St Council Bluffs, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1634 Avenue A Unit A Council Bluffs, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,465 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-11price $150,000
-
2026-03-20$160,000 Active
-
2008-09-27historical
-
2008-06-26$69,900
-
2000-03-10soldstatus $50,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
GREAT STARTER HOME IN CONVENIENT LOCATION IN SOUTH COUNCIL BLUFFS. FEATURES INCLUDE 2 BEDROOMS, XL FENCED CORNER LOT WITH ROOM FOR GARAGE, BRICK PATIO, UPDATED PAINT AND CARPET, STORAGE SHED.
-
2000-01-17$49,500 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
GREAT STARTER HOME IN CONVENIENT LOCATION IN SOUTH COUNCIL BLUFFS. FEATURES INCLUDE 2 BEDROOMS, XL FENCED CORNER LOT WITH ROOM FOR GARAGE, BRICK PATIO, UPDATED PAINT AND CARPET, STORAGE SHED.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,068 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,212 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 6.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,447
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,068
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,316
- − Management
- −$1,316
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Council Bluffs Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908220
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,259
- Composite
- 45.23/100
- National rank
- #2665
- State rank
- #272 of 289 in IA
Livability — Council Bluffs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #7695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Council Bluffs, IA
- County
- Pottawattamie County · 72,590 people
- City population
- 72,590
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,618
- Household income
- $59,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1110.0
Population outlook (Pottawattamie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,683 people
- By 2030
- 92,772 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 89,917 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 86,994 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 82,756 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 79,097 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawattamie
- 2024 margin
- R (+20.0) · D 39.3% · R 59.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -20.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.0 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+5.8 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.49%
- Current HPI
- 215.2532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.56%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+203.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — SWIAR
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $150,000 SWIAR
- 2026-03-20 Listed $160,000 SWIAR
- 2008-09-27 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2008-06-26 Listed $69,900 GPRMLS
- 2000-03-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SWIAR
- 2000-01-17 Listed $49,500 SWIAR
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,068 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…