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178 E Church St
A- Composite 81.43
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$155,000

178 E Church St · Ludowici, GA 31316
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1945 0.28 ac lot $102/sqft · 34% below area Est $234k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful refinished home located in the heart of Ludowici City limits. Located just a block from the public library and city park/gazebo. Just a short walking distance to local shops. Home features a large corner lot with a lot of privacy. Screened in side porch perfect for that morning coffee. Living room with large windows and a fireplace. 3 Large bedrooms, and one perfect for an office or a child's room. Brand new cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and brand new carpet throughout. Master bath has a custom tiled shower. Seller is a licensed Realtor in GA.

Key facts

  • Versatile flex space
  • Modern appliances
  • Functional layout

Tags

OVER-QUARTER-ACRE CORNER LOTMODERN APPLIANCESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTFLEXIBLE LIVING SPACEVERSATILE FLEX SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electrical service; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Asbestos, Masonite and other exterior materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Metal roof; Built with other/unspecified construction materials
  • Exterior features: Front porch with screened area; Wood fencing; Corner lot; Has a view; Other outbuilding/structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Decorative fireplace in the living room; Has central heating and central electric cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.4% in Ludowici — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 409 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.96%
Cash-on-cash
23.82%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$233,650
List price
$155,000
Delta
-33.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 SW Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd SW 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,473 (-4%) 8mo $285,000 $193 61
177 Palmetto Way NE 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,369 (-10%) 8mo $242,900 $177 56
633 S Macon St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,570 (+3%) 13mo $255,000 $162 56
183 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+1%) 19mo $253,300 $164 55
72 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+1%) 20mo $252,400 $163 55
55 Union St 0.35mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,472 (-4%) 18mo $250,000 $170 54
70 Harmonees Way 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,501 (-2%) 9mo $247,000 $165 52
60 Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-15%) 14mo $227,000 $175 38
121 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,691 (+11%) 18mo $273,900 $162 38
371 Cutters Gap SE 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-15%) 12mo $225,000 $173 36
85 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,682 (+10%) 18mo $270,400 $161 36
186 Franklin Tree Drive Dr NE 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,675 (+10%) 16mo $268,700 $160 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$58,951
Equity at exit
$54,197
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
4.51×
Total profit
$152,522
Equity at exit
$73,025

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
409
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,346 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,370/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$861

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,255
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $949 -5% $905 +0% $861 +5% $817 +10% $774
Rent -10% $676 -5% $769 +0% $861 +5% $954 +10% $1,047
Rate -1.0pp $939 -0.5pp $901 base $861 +0.5pp $821 +1.0pp $780

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149 W Franklin St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,250 $1.32 44d 1 0.58mi
147 Rimes Ave SE Ludowici, GA 4.0 2.0 1782 $2,100 $1.18 44d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $180,000 Active 728-char remark
  4. 2022-11-18
    soldstatus $169,997
  5. 2022-11-14
    soldstatus $169,997 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Beautiful refinished home located in the heart of Ludowici City limits. Located just a block from the public library and city park/gazebo. Just a short walking distance to local shops. Home features a large corner lot with a lot of privacy. Screened in side porch perfect for that morning coffee. Living room with large windows and a fireplace. 3 Large bedrooms, and one perfect for an office or a child's room. Brand new cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and brand new carpet throughout. Master bath has a custom tiled shower. Seller is a licensed Realtor in GA.

  6. 2022-08-23
    listed $169,997 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Beautiful refinished home located in the heart of Ludowici City limits. Located just a block from the public library and city park/gazebo. Just a short walking distance to local shops. Home features a large corner lot with a lot of privacy. Screened in side porch perfect for that morning coffee. Living room with large windows and a fireplace. 3 Large bedrooms, and one perfect for an office or a child's room. Brand new cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and brand new carpet throughout. Master bath has a custom tiled shower. Seller is a licensed Realtor in GA.

  7. 2022-06-13
    soldstatus $85,000
  8. 2022-06-10
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    A beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath nestled in Ludowici with no HOA! The home offers a separate laundry room, formal dining room, and a screened porch that looks over the mature trees on the acre lot. Come check it out, seller is selling the home as is.

  9. 2022-05-04
    listed $115,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    A beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath nestled in Ludowici with no HOA! The home offers a separate laundry room, formal dining room, and a screened porch that looks over the mature trees on the acre lot. Come check it out, seller is selling the home as is.

  10. 1993-06-08
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,370 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,426 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,147
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,370
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,252
− Management
−$2,252
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$8,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,994
After-tax cash flow
$8,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ludowici, GA
County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+520.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $155,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $180,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $169,997 Public Records
  • 2022-11-14 Sold (MLS) $169,997 HABR
  • 2022-08-23 Listed $169,997 HABR
  • 2022-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-10 Sold (MLS) $85,000 HABR
  • 2022-05-04 Listed $115,000 HABR
  • 1993-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,370 · +30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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