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716 Monarch Dr
D Composite 40.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

716 Monarch Dr · Seguin, TX 78155
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,781 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2020 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot $132/sqft · 18% below area Est $286k · 18% under $34/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2020 and located in the desirable Arroyo Ranch community in Seguin, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,781 square feet of modern living space on a . 14-acre lot backing to a peaceful greenbelt for added privacy and open views. The open-concept layout features durable wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas, a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, dark cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, large center island with breakfast bar seating, and a walk-in pantry. The private primary suite includes a large walk-in shower with glass enclosure and built-in shelving. Additional highlights include recessed lighting, neutral color tones, covered back patio, fenced backyard, and attached 2-car garage. Arroyo Ranch residents enjoy convenient access to IH-10, Highway 46, and FM 725, making commuting simple while still enjoying the charm of Guadalupe County living. The neighborhood also features community amenities including a pool, playground, trails, and gathering spaces. Approximate drive time to downtown San Antonio is about 40-45 minutes depending on traffic, offering an ideal balance between affordability, convenience, and commuter accessibility.

Key facts

  • Covered back patio
  • Granite countertops
  • Large walk-in shower

Tags

ARROYO RANCH COMMUNITYOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSWALK-IN PANTRYLARGE WALK-IN SHOWERCOVERED BACK PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association: Arroyo Ranch; Quarterly HOA fee of $103; HOA covers common area maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse, park, pool, and common grounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage facing front; 2 covered garage spaces; 4 total parking spaces
  • Security: Pre-wired for security; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; North-facing; Has a view; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built by DR HORTON; Brick veneer, frame and masonry construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Rain gutters; Fenced yard (wood); Sprinklers in front, side, and rear; Interior lot; Level lot; Medium-size trees; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Energy Star qualified appliances; Free‑standing range; Microwave; Granite counters
  • Bedrooms: 4 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Coffered ceilings; Entrance foyer; Granite counters; Main level primary bedroom; No interior steps; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (20.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Seguin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Seguin ISD (town): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #663 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Vogel El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 401 students, 74% FRL); Briesemeister Middle (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 725 students, 77% FRL); Seguin H S (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,101 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1377 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,064 units permitted in Guadalupe County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guadalupe County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,661 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.89%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$286,315
List price
$235,000
Delta
-17.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
848 Pronghorn Trl 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,832 (+3%) 1mo $265,000 $145 76
326 Boatman Cv 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,574 (-12%) 1mo $302,990 $192 68
326 Boatman Cv 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,574 (-12%) 1mo $292,990 $186 68
338 Boatman Cv 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,574 (-12%) 2mo $289,990 $184 66
310 Boatman Cv 0.11mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+15%) 1mo $337,990 $166 65
310 Boatman Cv 0.11mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+15%) 1mo $315,000 $154 65
832 Nodding Nixie 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,574 (-12%) 0mo $267,500 $170 62
520 Wolf Crest Blvd 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,667 (-6%) 1mo $235,499 $141 60
512 Wolf Crest Blvd 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,667 (-6%) 1mo $211,999 $127 59
524 Wolf Crest Blvd 0.61mi 4/2.5 1,885 (+6%) 1mo $227,999 $121 59
532 Wolf Crest Blvd 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+7%) 1mo $245,999 $129 55
503 Wolf Crest Blvd 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+7%) 1mo $235,999 $124 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.7%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-56,868
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-25.7%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-78,418
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78155

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
1377
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,945 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$440 /mo · $5,284/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$34
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-268

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,284
Max offer price $187,661
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-135 -5% $-201 +0% $-268 +5% $-334 +10% $-401
Rent -10% $-422 -5% $-345 +0% $-268 +5% $-191 +10% $-114
Rate -1.0pp $-150 -0.5pp $-208 base $-268 +0.5pp $-329 +1.0pp $-391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
728 Armadillo Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,745 $1.08 0d 1 0.04mi
208 Yucca Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2034 $1,950 $0.96 25d 1 0.04mi
723 Armadillo Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1781 $1,900 $1.07 0d 1 0.06mi
771 Monarch Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,740 $1.08 4d 1 0.13mi
775 Monarch Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.5 2335 $1,800 $0.77 0d 1 0.14mi
801 Nodding Nixie Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2032 $1,995 $0.98 11d 1 0.21mi
829 Margay Loop Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $1,775 $1.13 19d 1 0.22mi
829 Margay Loop Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $1,775 $1.13 45d 1 0.22mi
800 Nodding Nixie Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1781 $1,745 $0.98 45d 1 0.23mi
812 Nodding Nixie Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2032 $1,990 $0.98 46d 1 0.25mi
868 Margay Loop Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2034 $1,795 $0.88 45d 1 0.29mi
812 Indigo Way Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1574 $1,900 $1.21 0d 1 0.31mi
816 Indigo Way Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2032 $1,950 $0.96 0d 1 0.31mi
817 Pronghorn Trl Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1575 $1,695 $1.08 21d 1 0.33mi
901 Nodding Nixie Seguin, TX 4.0 3.0 2175 $1,995 $0.92 6d 1 0.34mi
912 Cinnamon Teal Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1796 $1,945 $1.08 18d 1 0.39mi
937 Armadillo Dr Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 2032 $1,995 $0.98 16d 1 0.42mi
1060 Pronghorn Trl Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1406 $1,650 $1.17 45d 1 0.45mi
541 Chaco Loop Seguin, TX 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,800 $1.43 0d 1 0.56mi
401 Alta Vista Ter Seguin, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,995 $1.20 25d 1 0.70mi
805 Riviera Ct Seguin, TX 4.0 2.5 1874 $1,795 $0.96 25d 1 0.75mi
805 Riviera Ct Seguin, TX 4.0 2.5 1874 $1,795 $0.96 12d 1 0.75mi
1002 River Oak Dr Unit MAIN Seguin, TX 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,350 $1.12 45d 1 0.99mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$34 · $408/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $235,000 Pending 37 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1199 chars)

    Built in 2020 and located in the desirable Arroyo Ranch community in Seguin, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,781 square feet of modern living space on a . 14-acre lot backing to a peaceful greenbelt for added privacy and open views. The open-concept layout features durable wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas, a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, dark cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, large center island with breakfast bar seating, and a walk-in pantry. The private primary suite includes a large walk-in shower with glass enclosure and built-in shelving. Additional highlights include recessed lighting, neutral color tones, covered back patio, fenced backyard, and attached 2-car garage. Arroyo Ranch residents enjoy convenient access to IH-10, Highway 46, and FM 725, making commuting simple while still enjoying the charm of Guadalupe County living. The neighborhood also features community amenities including a pool, playground, trails, and gathering spaces. Approximate drive time to downtown San Antonio is about 40-45 minutes depending on traffic, offering an ideal balance between affordability, convenience, and commuter accessibility.

  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  6. 2026-04-28
    listed $235,000 Active 1199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1199 chars)

    Built in 2020 and located in the desirable Arroyo Ranch community in Seguin, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,781 square feet of modern living space on a . 14-acre lot backing to a peaceful greenbelt for added privacy and open views. The open-concept layout features durable wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas, a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, dark cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, large center island with breakfast bar seating, and a walk-in pantry. The private primary suite includes a large walk-in shower with glass enclosure and built-in shelving. Additional highlights include recessed lighting, neutral color tones, covered back patio, fenced backyard, and attached 2-car garage. Arroyo Ranch residents enjoy convenient access to IH-10, Highway 46, and FM 725, making commuting simple while still enjoying the charm of Guadalupe County living. The neighborhood also features community amenities including a pool, playground, trails, and gathering spaces. Approximate drive time to downtown San Antonio is about 40-45 minutes depending on traffic, offering an ideal balance between affordability, convenience, and commuter accessibility.

  7. 2026-04-28
    listed $235,000 Active 1199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1199 chars)

    Built in 2020 and located in the desirable Arroyo Ranch community in Seguin, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,781 square feet of modern living space on a . 14-acre lot backing to a peaceful greenbelt for added privacy and open views. The open-concept layout features durable wood-look flooring throughout the main living areas, a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, dark cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, large center island with breakfast bar seating, and a walk-in pantry. The private primary suite includes a large walk-in shower with glass enclosure and built-in shelving. Additional highlights include recessed lighting, neutral color tones, covered back patio, fenced backyard, and attached 2-car garage. Arroyo Ranch residents enjoy convenient access to IH-10, Highway 46, and FM 725, making commuting simple while still enjoying the charm of Guadalupe County living. The neighborhood also features community amenities including a pool, playground, trails, and gathering spaces. Approximate drive time to downtown San Antonio is about 40-45 minutes depending on traffic, offering an ideal balance between affordability, convenience, and commuter accessibility.

  8. 2021-03-12
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Under construction-est. completion in WINTER 2020. This Irvine is a 1796 SQFT single story with 4 beds, 2 baths & a long foyer leading to the open kitchen overlooking the living & dining area. The kitchen has spacious granite counters, stainless appliances & a walk in pantry. The owner’s suite is off the family room & has a huge walk in closet & large walk in shower. Covered rear patio, professionally irrigated & landscaped yard with Bermuda sod. HOME IS CONNECTED tech package with Alexa Voice controlRestrictions: Yes Sprinkler Sys:Yes

  9. 2020-09-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Under construction-est. completion in WINTER 2020. This Irvine is a 1796 SQFT single story with 4 beds, 2 baths & a long foyer leading to the open kitchen overlooking the living & dining area. The kitchen has spacious granite counters, stainless appliances & a walk in pantry. The owner’s suite is off the family room & has a huge walk in closet & large walk in shower. Covered rear patio, professionally irrigated & landscaped yard with Bermuda sod. HOME IS CONNECTED tech package with Alexa Voice controlRestrictions: Yes Sprinkler Sys:Yes

  10. 2020-09-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Under construction-est. completion in WINTER 2020. This Irvine is a 1796 SQFT single story with 4 beds, 2 baths & a long foyer leading to the open kitchen overlooking the living & dining area. The kitchen has spacious granite counters, stainless appliances & a walk in pantry. The owner’s suite is off the family room & has a huge walk in closet & large walk in shower. Covered rear patio, professionally irrigated & landscaped yard with Bermuda sod. HOME IS CONNECTED tech package with Alexa Voice controlRestrictions: Yes Sprinkler Sys:Yes

  11. 2020-09-04
    listed $223,990 Active
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Under construction-est. completion in WINTER 2020. This Irvine is a 1796 SQFT single story with 4 beds, 2 baths & a long foyer leading to the open kitchen overlooking the living & dining area. The kitchen has spacious granite counters, stainless appliances & a walk in pantry. The owner’s suite is off the family room & has a huge walk in closet & large walk in shower. Covered rear patio, professionally irrigated & landscaped yard with Bermuda sod. HOME IS CONNECTED tech package with Alexa Voice controlRestrictions: Yes Sprinkler Sys:Yes

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,284 · $440/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,284 · $440/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,341
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$5,284
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,867
− Management
−$1,867
− HOA
−$408
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$7,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,742
After-tax cash flow
$-1,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2020-built home in the Arroyo Ranch community is in excellent condition with modern updates and a spacious layout. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and functionality.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and appearance
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and appearance
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seguin ISD
NCES district ID
4839690
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,210
Composite
24.17/100
National rank
#7738
State rank
#663 of 826 in TX

Livability — Seguin

Score
66/100
State rank
#592
US rank
#11298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seguin, TX
County
Guadalupe County · 147,291 people
City population
55,600
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,600
Household income
$71,039
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
1053.0

Population outlook (Guadalupe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,854 people
By 2030
220,210 · +11.9%
By 2040
268,004 · +36.1%
By 2050
316,333 · +60.7%
By 2075
434,747 · +120.8%
By 2100
520,447 · +164.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 43% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guadalupe

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.5pp toward D · 2008: -31.0pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+24.2 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.43%
Current HPI
160.5435
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Contingent Unlock MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $235,000 CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $235,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2021-03-12 Sold (MLS) Unlock MLS
  • 2020-09-16 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2020-09-05 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2020-09-04 Listed $223,990 Unlock MLS

Property tax history

+57.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,284 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…