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1828 Penn St
D+ Composite 47.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1828 Penn St · Harrisburg, PA 17102
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,722 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1907 436 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home! Step into this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1-bath gem in the heart of Penn Street, Harrisburg—ready for you to move in today! Every detail has been thoughtfully refreshed, from the brand-new gas furnace and hot water heater to fresh paint, modern flooring, stylish light fixtures, updated plumbing, and so much more. The first floor offers an open and airy layout, perfect for gatherings, featuring a cozy living room, a formal dining space, and a bright kitchen. Upstairs, you’ll find two comfortable bedrooms, a full bath, and a convenient laundry room right next door. The third floor adds two more spacious bedrooms, giving you plenty of room to spread out. Outside,

Key facts

  • Updated gas furnace
  • Modern flooring
  • Fresh paint

Tags

UPDATED GAS FURNACEUPDATED HOT WATER HEATERFRESH PAINTMODERN FLOORINGSTYLISH LIGHT FIXTURESUPDATED PLUMBING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (4.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $180k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.24%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-19,100
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,933
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17102

Home prices YoY
-3.9%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,710 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
Insurance
$75
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,555
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $224 -5% $173 +0% $122 +5% $71 +10% $20
Rent -10% $-13 -5% $55 +0% $122 +5% $190 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $213 -0.5pp $168 base $122 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 0.06mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.21mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 44d 1 0.35mi
2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1383 $1,595 $1.15 44d 1 0.37mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 44d 1 0.56mi
652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1550 $1,740 $1.12 44d 1 0.70mi
2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 44d 1 0.71mi
514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1498 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 0.92mi
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 15d 1 1.09mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 15d 1 1.11mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $3,000 $2.09 15d 10 1.39mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,600 $1.81 44d 1 1.39mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-20
    price $179,900
  3. 2026-01-06
    listed $184,900 Active
  4. 2025-12-18
    historical
  5. 2025-12-01
    price $189,000
  6. 2025-09-24
    status Active
  7. 2025-09-03
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2025-08-13
    price $190,000
  9. 2025-07-29
    price $194,500
  10. 2025-06-24
    listed $199,000 Active
  11. 2025-06-13
    historical
  12. 2025-05-19
    price $199,999
  13. 2025-03-31
    price $212,900
  14. 2025-03-17
    price $213,900
  15. 2025-03-13
    status Active
  16. 2025-02-28
    historical
  17. 2025-02-07
    price $214,900
  18. 2024-12-09
    listed $219,900 Active
  19. 2024-11-11
    historical
  20. 2024-10-02
    price $219,900
  21. 2024-08-22
    price $224,900
  22. 2024-07-15
    price $229,000
  23. 2024-06-17
    price $239,990
  24. 2024-05-22
    listed $249,900 Active
  25. 2022-04-13
    soldstatus $110,000
  26. 2003-12-31
    soldstatus $64,000
  27. 2003-12-29
    soldstatus $64,000
  28. 2003-09-24
    historical
  29. 2003-09-24
    listed $64,000
  30. 2000-05-03
    soldstatus $53,000
  31. 1993-02-26
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,857 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,350 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 26.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,520
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,857
− Insurance
−$1,566
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,642
− Management
−$1,642
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$1,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$359
After-tax cash flow
$1,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,118
Household income
$54,573
Rent vs Own
68.5% rent · 31.5% own
Severe rent burden
720.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.43%
Current HPI
451.4739
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1399.2% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $184,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $194,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $199,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $212,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $213,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-13 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $214,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-02 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-22 Price Changed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $229,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-17 Price Changed $239,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-22 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2003-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2003-12-29 Sold (MLS) $64,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-24 Listed $64,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1993-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,857 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…