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106 Dusk Dr
B- Composite 68.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

106 Dusk Dr · West Nottingham, PA 19362
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 25 Days on market
Built 1997 $58/sqft · 78% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Single-wide mobile home for sale, located in Martins Mobile Home Park in Nottingham PA. This mobile homes offers all the essentials you need. Among some of the features and recent upgrades you have the entire roof that was replaced in 2025, new water heater installed in 2025, A/C unit upgraded in 2025, the home comes will at the necessary appliances including washer and dryer which were also purchased in 2025. This home also has a deck on the front for you to enjoy your time off. If you are looking for a mobile home in a well maintained mobile home community, this is the best home for you. The mobile home is subject to ground rent which is $600 it includes: water, sewer, t

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1997
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent; Property condition: Good; Pets allowed with restrictions (breed, number, size/weight; pet addendum/deposit; case-by-case)
  • HOA & community: Located in a park with monthly ground rent ($600); Road responsibility: HOA/private

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway/parking; Driveway/off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Electric service with circuit breakers; Propane available; Water from community and well; Shared septic; Phone available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home (Skyline model); Estimated year built; Middle-of-block location in Martins Trailer Park; Roads are HOA/private and paved
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; CPVC/PVC plumbing; Composite roof; Manufactured/modular construction; Building winterized
  • Exterior features: Deck(s); Exterior lighting; Shed; Landscaping; Rented lot (monthly ground rent)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning and ceiling fans; Electric hot water and propane hot water
  • Interior features: Open floor plan with combination dining/living and combination kitchen/dining; Breakfast area and eat-in kitchen with island and table space; Built-ins, skylights, vaulted ceilings, and window treatments; Ceiling fans; Tub with shower; Double entry and storm doors; Entry-level bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit (main floor)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $985 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Oxford Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #309 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.50%
Cash-on-cash
65.02%
DSCR
3.89
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,825
List price
$64,900
Delta
-77.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.2%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$52,213
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
68.6%
Equity multiple
7.95×
Total profit
$126,283
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19362

Home prices YoY
-9.4%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$985

Break-even live

Break-even rent $544
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $64,900 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-05-12
    listed $73,000 Active 789-char remark
  8. 2026-05-11
    historical $73,000 789-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$748 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$887 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$139/yr (+$12/mo · 18.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,485
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,719
− Management
−$1,719
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$11,451
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,748
After-tax cash flow
$9,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oxford Area SD
NCES district ID
4218300
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$69,152
Composite
36.26/100
National rank
#4707
State rank
#309 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Nottingham

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,181

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.04%
Current HPI
280.5508
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $73,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $748 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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