6371 River Styx Rd · Medina, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Country Property on 6.54 Acres! 3 Bed 2 Bath Ranch is waiting for you to add your personal touches. In-law/ apartment in lower level which includes 2 additional bedrooms, living room, kitchen and full bath. Wood floors throughout the first floor. Large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Updates include roof, furnace and more! Great location with convenient highway access. Horse barn with 4 stalls. Call today to see all of the possibilities!
Key facts
- In-law apartment
- Wood floors
- 6.54 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-698 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (41.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (44.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (44.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 2.9% in Medina — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#209 in OH, #3,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Medina City SD (suburban): math 70% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #115 of 656 in OH (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.97%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $474,620
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -36.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-91,085
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -34.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.53×
- Total profit
- $-128,251
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44256
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,677 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,894/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $-698
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02pricestatus $300,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $329,900 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Beautiful Country Property on 6.54 Acres! 3 Bed 2 Bath Ranch is waiting for you to add your personal touches. In-law/ apartment in lower level which includes 2 additional bedrooms, living room, kitchen and full bath. Wood floors throughout the first floor. Large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Updates include roof, furnace and more! Great location with convenient highway access. Horse barn with 4 stalls. Call today to see all of the possibilities!
-
2026-05-02status Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Beautiful Country Property on 6.54 Acres! 3 Bed 2 Bath Ranch is waiting for you to add your personal touches. In-law/ apartment in lower level which includes 2 additional bedrooms, living room, kitchen and full bath. Wood floors throughout the first floor. Large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Updates include roof, furnace and more! Great location with convenient highway access. Horse barn with 4 stalls. Call today to see all of the possibilities!
-
2026-04-25status Pending 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Beautiful Country Property on 6.54 Acres! 3 Bed 2 Bath Ranch is waiting for you to add your personal touches. In-law/ apartment in lower level which includes 2 additional bedrooms, living room, kitchen and full bath. Wood floors throughout the first floor. Large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Updates include roof, furnace and more! Great location with convenient highway access. Horse barn with 4 stalls. Call today to see all of the possibilities!
-
2026-04-20$335,000 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Beautiful Country Property on 6.54 Acres! 3 Bed 2 Bath Ranch is waiting for you to add your personal touches. In-law/ apartment in lower level which includes 2 additional bedrooms, living room, kitchen and full bath. Wood floors throughout the first floor. Large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Updates include roof, furnace and more! Great location with convenient highway access. Horse barn with 4 stalls. Call today to see all of the possibilities!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,894 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,287 · $357/mo
- Expected delta
- +$393/yr (+$33/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$3,894
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,610
- − Management
- −$1,610
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$14,021
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,365
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Medina City SD
- NCES district ID
- 3904438
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,725
- Composite
- 62.9/100
- National rank
- #661
- State rank
- #115 of 656 in OH
Livability — Medina
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #3302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Medina County · 145,517 people
- City population
- 64,924
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,924
- Household income
- $99,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,249 people
- By 2030
- 188,174 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 190,350 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 187,283 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 177,108 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 151,304 · -18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Medina
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.2597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-1.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $329,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-20 Listed $335,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,894 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…