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116 Edgewood Dr
D Composite 40.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$243,000

116 Edgewood Dr · Cadiz, KY 42211
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
0.75 ac lot $145/sqft · 9% below area Est $266k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This peaceful location is calling your name! Conveniently located just 5 minutes from town and easy access to the Cadiz Bypass. Property includes an additional lot (#26) that is directly behind the house and has access from the cul de sac next to the house lot. Spacious back yard with a concrete patio complete the package. Current owner had her hair salon in what was the Laundry Room. Laundry was moved to utility room in garage. Agent to verify age, land size.

Key facts

  • Concrete patio
  • Spacious back yard
  • Additional lot

Tags

ADDITIONAL LOTCONCRETE PATIOSPACIOUS BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $243k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-664/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (26.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Cadiz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#354 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Trigg County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #90 of 165 in KY (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Trigg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Trigg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,409 (26.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,720
List price
$243,000
Delta
-8.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
462 Allen Cir 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,658 (-1%) 7mo $172,900 $104 73
43 Fieldstone Cir 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,473 (-12%) 1mo $269,000 $183 66
446 Allen Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,782 (+6%) 14mo $258,000 $145 58
32 Fieldstone Cir 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,551 (-8%) 21mo $287,879 $186 55
32 Stonegate Dr 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,850 (+10%) 16mo $289,000 $156 53
36 Stonegate Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,473 (-12%) 19mo $259,000 $176 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-43,000
Equity at exit
$36,232
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-42,386
Equity at exit
$21,010

Cash invested: $68,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42211

Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,794 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,274
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,165/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,864
Max offer price $233,227
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $13 +0% $-55 +5% $-124 +10% $-193
Rent -10% $-197 -5% $-126 +0% $-55 +5% $16 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $6 base $-55 +0.5pp $-118 +1.0pp $-182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,750
Closing costs
$7,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $243,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $243,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $243,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $243,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $243,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $243,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $243,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $243,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $243,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $243,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $243,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $243,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $243,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $243,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $243,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $243,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    listed $243,000 Active 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    This peaceful location is calling your name! Conveniently located just 5 minutes from town and easy access to the Cadiz Bypass. Property includes an additional lot (#26) that is directly behind the house and has access from the cul de sac next to the house lot. Spacious back yard with a concrete patio complete the package. Current owner had her hair salon in what was the Laundry Room. Laundry was moved to utility room in garage. Agent to verify age, land size.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,165 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,090 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$925/yr (+$77/mo · 79.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,529
− Mortgage interest
−$13,612
− Property taxes
−$1,165
− Insurance
−$1,215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$7,069
Taxable loss
−$4,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,194
After-tax cash flow
$530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trigg County
NCES district ID
2105580
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,636
Composite
26.87/100
National rank
#7100
State rank
#90 of 165 in KY

Livability — Cadiz

Score
62/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#16772

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,912

Population outlook (Trigg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,071 people
By 2030
13,950 · -0.9%
By 2040
13,575 · -3.5%
By 2050
13,065 · -7.1%
By 2075
11,990 · -14.8%
By 2100
10,802 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Trigg

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.4) · D 23.2% · R 75.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.6pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -52.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.15%
Current HPI
130.8351
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $243,000 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,165 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…