22 SE 3rd Ave · Waukon, IA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-In Ready Gem Near Downtown Waukon! This well-kept 2-bedroom home offers the ideal mix of comfort and convenience. The upper level is highlighted by original hardwood floors across both bedrooms and a full bath. On the main floor, enjoy a seamless flow between the cozy living room (featuring newer carpet) and the functional kitchen/dining areas, which boast durable vinyl plank flooring for easy maintenance. Key Features Include: Character: Beautiful stained-glass window in the foyer. Flex Space: Partially finished basement ready for your personal touch. Convenience: Attached garage and a great location close to downtown Waukon. Outdoor Space: A lovely backyard ready for relaxing and ent
Key facts
- Stained-glass window
- Attached garage
- Lovely backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; R-1 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Concrete road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($941/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Waukon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#125 in IA, #2,301 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Allamakee Community School District (town): math 71% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #103 of 289 in IA (top 36%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 61 units permitted in Allamakee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $250 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-614 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Allamakee County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $125k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.69%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 SE 3rd Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,256 (+4%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $96 | 88 |
| 303 SW 5 St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,203 (-1%) | 0mo | $126,000 | $105 | 67 |
| 15 NE 5 Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,258 (+4%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 208 NW 2nd St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,249 (+3%) | 13mo | $142,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 22 3 Avenue Ave SW | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,382 (+14%) | 18mo | $205,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 107 SW 5 Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,346 (+11%) | 14mo | $238,000 | $177 | 49 |
| 210 NW 8 Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+1%) | 8mo | $189,000 | $154 | 49 |
| 102 SW 5th Avenue Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (-14%) | 18mo | $72,000 | $69 | 47 |
| 107 SW 5 St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,321 (+9%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $117 | 45 |
| 308 SE 1st Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,369 (+13%) | 19mo | $187,000 | $137 | 44 |
| 306 NW 3rd Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,339 (+10%) | 10mo | $117,000 | $87 | 40 |
| 406 2nd Street N.w. St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,073 (-12%) | 14mo | $133,000 | $124 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,523
- Equity at exit
- $33,258
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $18,329
- Equity at exit
- $37,627
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52172
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,147 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $78
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $149 | -5% $114 | +0% $78 | +5% $43 | +10% $8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-12 | -5% $33 | +0% $78 | +5% $124 | +10% $169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $110 | base $78 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 8th Ave SW Unit 11 Waukon, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 102 8th Ave SW Waukon, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,075 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-16$125,000 Active
-
2019-04-26soldstatus $67,375
-
2013-03-11soldstatus $59,500
-
2012-06-08soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,442 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,702 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$260/yr (+$22/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,442
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,101
- − Management
- −$1,101
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allamakee Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903390
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,705
- Composite
- 61.72/100
- National rank
- #738
- State rank
- #103 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waukon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #2301
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waukon, IA
- City population
- 5,986
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,986
Population outlook (Allamakee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,814 people
- By 2030
- 12,146 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 10,750 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 9,506 · -25.8%
- By 2075
- 7,779 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 6,870 · -46.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allamakee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.2% · R 66.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.2pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+24.3 2012: D+4.1 2008: D+14.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Current HPI
- 236.5413
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+155.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-17 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-16 Listed $125,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2019-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,375 Public Records
- 2013-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
- 2012-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,442 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…