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169 E Ashley St
B Composite 71.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

169 E Ashley St · Atmore, AL 36502
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily · 63 Days on market
Built 1965 Fair condition 0.60 ac lot $69/sqft · 15% below area Est $139k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

  • Large front porch
  • 0.6 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

HARDWOOD KITCHEN CABINETSLARGE FRONT PORCHBLOCK STORAGE BUILDINGADJACENT LOT INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.4% in Atmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#530 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.75%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,490
List price
$119,000
Delta
-14.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 S Pensacola Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,856 (+7%) 1mo $87,500 $47 60
135 Carver Ave 0.29mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,664 (-4%) 17mo $50,000 $30 57
308 S Presley St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,874 (+8%) 15mo $112,000 $60 52
217 7th Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,549 (-10%) 1mo $70,000 $45 50
208 Beck St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,854 (+7%) 2mo $201,500 $109 48
107 3rd Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (-9%) 21mo $152,500 $97 46
325 E Horner St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,972 (+14%) 8mo $189,900 $96 45
103 Forest Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,585 (-8%) 5mo $40,500 $26 43
706 E Horner St 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,522 (-12%) 1mo $111,000 $73 41
308 6th Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-6%) 20mo $169,900 $105 40
101 Beck St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-12%) 24mo $149,000 $99 31
708 E Horner St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,966 (+14%) 12mo $82,500 $42 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$8,590
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$43,438
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36502

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,594 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$437

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $119,000 Active 973-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today!

  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $119,000 Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,134
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,531
− Management
−$1,531
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$3,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$856
After-tax cash flow
$4,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, updating cabinets, and replacing flooring and siding are recommended to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Severe wear and tear
  • Major Kitchen countertops — Exposed subfloor
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Missing fixtures
  • Major Exterior siding — Worn and exposed
  • Major Flooring — Exposed subfloor

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Re-siding and repairing exterior — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Flooring replacement — Improves both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Severe wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen countertops · Exposed subfloor Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Missing fixtures Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · Worn and exposed Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Exposed subfloor Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Re-siding and repairing exterior — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Flooring replacement — Improves both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia County
NCES district ID
0101350
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,905
Composite
22.73/100
National rank
#8036
State rank
#83 of 129 in AL

Livability — Atmore

Score
50/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#25632

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atmore, AL
City population
1,121
Population (ZIP)
16,008

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,683 people
By 2030
35,844 · -2.3%
By 2040
34,393 · -6.2%
By 2050
33,109 · -9.7%
By 2075
28,305 · -22.8%
By 2100
21,091 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 40% Native American 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.16%
Current HPI
190.1872
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $119,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $119,000 BCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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