169 E Ashley St · Atmore, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Large front porch
- 0.6 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.4% in Atmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#530 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.75%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,490
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -14.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 S Pensacola Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (+7%) | 1mo | $87,500 | $47 | 60 |
| 135 Carver Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,664 (-4%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $30 | 57 |
| 308 S Presley St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,874 (+8%) | 15mo | $112,000 | $60 | 52 |
| 217 7th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,549 (-10%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $45 | 50 |
| 208 Beck St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,854 (+7%) | 2mo | $201,500 | $109 | 48 |
| 107 3rd Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (-9%) | 21mo | $152,500 | $97 | 46 |
| 325 E Horner St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,972 (+14%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $96 | 45 |
| 103 Forest Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,585 (-8%) | 5mo | $40,500 | $26 | 43 |
| 706 E Horner St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,522 (-12%) | 1mo | $111,000 | $73 | 41 |
| 308 6th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-6%) | 20mo | $169,900 | $105 | 40 |
| 101 Beck St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-12%) | 24mo | $149,000 | $99 | 31 |
| 708 E Horner St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,966 (+14%) | 12mo | $82,500 | $42 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $8,590
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $43,438
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36502
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $437
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$119,000 Active 973-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today!
-
2026-04-17$119,000 Active 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Space, space, and more space awaits in this Atmore gem. Just minutes from downtown, this 1,728 square-foot home offers a flexible 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath layout that’s ready to grow with you. Inside, you’ll find true hardwood kitchen cabinets that add warmth and character to the heart of the home, a bright living room, and a welcoming den that can flex as a family room or home office. The primary bedroom comes with its own en-suite half bath for convenient privacy, while two additional bedrooms share the full bath. Outside, enjoy a large front porch great for morning coffee or sunset chatter, plus a block storage building for all your tools and outdoor gear. The real standout is the bonus feature: an adjacent lot included, ready for your imagination to run wild—think garden sanctuary, workshop, extra parking, or a future expansion. Don’t miss this opportunity—give us a call today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,531
- − Management
- −$1,531
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $3,565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$856
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, updating cabinets, and replacing flooring and siding are recommended to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Severe wear and tear
- Major Kitchen countertops — Exposed subfloor
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Missing fixtures
- Major Exterior siding — Worn and exposed
- Major Flooring — Exposed subfloor
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both Re-siding and repairing exterior — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both Flooring replacement — Improves both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Severe wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Exposed subfloor | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Missing fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Worn and exposed | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Exposed subfloor | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Updating bathroom fixtures — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Re-siding and repairing exterior — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia County
- NCES district ID
- 0101350
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,905
- Composite
- 22.73/100
- National rank
- #8036
- State rank
- #83 of 129 in AL
Livability — Atmore
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #25632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atmore, AL
- City population
- 1,121
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,008
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,683 people
- By 2030
- 35,844 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 34,393 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 33,109 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,305 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 21,091 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 40% Native American 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.16%
- Current HPI
- 190.1872
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $119,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $119,000 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…