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18233 County Road 361
D- Composite 38.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0

$189,900

18233 County Road 361 · Preston, MO 65732
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2004 4.83 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy peaceful country living in this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on almost 5 acres just outside of Preston. This private property offers plenty of space to relax and enjoy nature, featuring a scenic pond and a secluded setting away from the hustle and bustle. The home provides comfortable living with ample outdoor space for recreation, gardening, or simply enjoying the quiet surroundings. A carport and small storage building are included with the property, adding convenience and extra storage options. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, a weekend retreat, or a place to enjoy country living, this property offers privacy, space, and the beauty of rural Missouri.

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Scenic pond
  • Carport

Tags

SCENIC PONDPRIVATE PROPERTYAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACECARPORTSMALL STORAGE BUILDINGSECLUDED SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; 1-car garage
  • Security: Accessible approach (ramp) improves entry safety and access
  • Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured house on permanent foundation; Manufactured on land; Double wide; One level
  • Construction: Metal roof; Permanent foundation; Built as a manufactured house
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level, cleared lot; Gravel road access; County road/easement frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Double wide manufactured home (bedroom count not provided)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance with ramp; Shed(s) on the property
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (19.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (39.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (39.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#901 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hickory County R-I (rural): math 65% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #8 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Skyline Elem. (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #4 of 1,115 statewide, top 0%, 306 students, 45% FRL); Skyline Middle (math 57% / reading 59%, grade B, #26 of 391 statewide, top 7%, 206 students, 40% FRL); Skyline High (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #10 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 215 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Hickory County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $115,648 (39.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.82%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$22,725
Equity at exit
$99,798
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$84,069
Equity at exit
$166,098

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65732

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $626/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,427
Max offer price $152,175
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $189,900 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    remarks 687-char remark
  14. 2026-06-01
    listed $189,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$626 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,842 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$1,216/yr (+$101/mo · 194.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,878
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$626
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,110
− Management
−$1,110
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$6,080
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,459
After-tax cash flow
$-1,103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hickory County R-I
NCES district ID
2914320
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$33,125
Composite
54.03/100
National rank
#1393
State rank
#8 of 324 in MO

Livability — Preston

Score
50/100
State rank
#901
US rank
#25559

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,263

Population outlook (Hickory County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,206 people
By 2030
7,690 · -6.3%
By 2040
6,780 · -17.4%
By 2050
6,076 · -26.0%
By 2075
5,088 · -38.0%
By 2100
4,489 · -45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hickory

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.1) · D 19.1% · R 80.2%
2008→2024 swing
-47.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -61.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.1 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
111.3835
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $189,900 SOMO
  • 2017-10-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $626 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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