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17968 Entiat River Rd
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

17968 Entiat River Rd · Entiat, WA 98822
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Other public records · 266 Days on market
Built 1991 0.54 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious & wooded lot with a very livable single wide that was built in 1991. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on 1/2 acre and has all utilities connected and working. It will need a little cosmetic work and some clean up, but it's perfect for year-round living, a base hunting camp or a recreational property. Outside offers additional storage and outbuildings. This little gem is less than a mile from thousands of acres of public land, has a deeded access to the Entiat River AND it has year-round access with a County maintained road.

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Deeded access
  • Year round access

Tags

WOODED LOTDEEDED ACCESSPUBLIC LANDYEAR ROUND ACCESSCOUNTY MAINTAINED ROADADDITIONAL STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 1.4% in Entiat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#350 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, crime D-.
  • Entiat School District (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #148 of 291 in WA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $140k implies a 268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
13.11%
Cash-on-cash
24.33%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$27,907
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$89,352
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98822

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $813/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$795

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,089
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $140,000 Pending 266 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 266 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 265 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 264 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 262 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 261 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 259 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 258 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $140,000 Active 257 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 256 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 253 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 251 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 250 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 249 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 248 DOM
  16. 2026-01-13
    status Active
  17. 2025-12-18
    status Pending
  18. 2025-08-28
    listed $150,000 Active
  19. 2005-01-18
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$813 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$559/yr (+$47/mo · 68.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 13 d/yr ≥89°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,141
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$813
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,011
− Management
−$2,011
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$7,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,846
After-tax cash flow
$7,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Entiat School District
NCES district ID
5302550
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$48,380
Composite
44.61/100
National rank
#6027
State rank
#148 of 291 in WA

Livability — Entiat

Score
65/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#13329

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,187

Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,630 people
By 2030
84,312 · +3.3%
By 2040
88,619 · +8.6%
By 2050
91,915 · +12.6%
By 2075
99,409 · +21.8%
By 2100
100,032 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chelan

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.35%
Current HPI
262.2411
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+294.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-13 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $813 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…