17968 Entiat River Rd · Entiat, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 13 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious & wooded lot with a very livable single wide that was built in 1991. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on 1/2 acre and has all utilities connected and working. It will need a little cosmetic work and some clean up, but it's perfect for year-round living, a base hunting camp or a recreational property. Outside offers additional storage and outbuildings. This little gem is less than a mile from thousands of acres of public land, has a deeded access to the Entiat River AND it has year-round access with a County maintained road.
Key facts
- Wooded lot
- Deeded access
- Year round access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 1.4% in Entiat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#350 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, crime D-.
- Entiat School District (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #148 of 291 in WA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $140k implies a 268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.33%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $27,907
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $89,352
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98822
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $813/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $795
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18status $140,000 Pending 266 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $140,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-01-13status Active
-
2025-12-18status Pending
-
2025-08-28$150,000 Active
-
2005-01-18soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $813 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,372 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$559/yr (+$47/mo · 68.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 13 d/yr ≥89°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,141
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$813
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,011
- − Management
- −$2,011
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $7,691
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,846
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Entiat School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302550
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,380
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #148 of 291 in WA
Livability — Entiat
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #13329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,187
Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,630 people
- By 2030
- 84,312 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 88,619 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 91,915 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 99,409 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 100,032 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chelan
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.35%
- Current HPI
- 262.2411
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+294.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Listed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2026): $813 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…