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4170 Needles Hwy #65
B- Composite 68.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$150,000

4170 Needles Hwy #65 · Needles, CA 92363
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,237 sqft · Manufactured · 126 Days on market
Built 2022 Excellent condition $121/sqft · 55% below area ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Near new home in the beautiful River Palms Resort located on the pristine Colorado River. 3 Spacious, open plan with lots of natural light throughout. Master suite with its own en-suite bath and walk-in closet. Separate inside laundry room with access door to outside. Full length covered carport, large covered rear deck that overlooks yard with your own mini putting green. Corner lot and near lots of extra parking spaces for guests! Community amenities include small private community beach, launch ramp, dock, basketball/tennis courts, pools, spa, outdoor BBQ areas, fitness center and more. Enjoy all the community events Palms River has to offer. Enjoy off-road trails, nearby AVI Resort, Laughlin night life and more! Call your agent today to miss out on this opportunity for the best priced 3 bedroom in the community.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Launch ramp
  • Mini putting green

Tags

MINI PUTTING GREENCOVERED REAR DECKPRIVATE COMMUNITY BEACHLAUNCH RAMPBASKETBALL TENNIS COURTSFITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.1% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.29%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$330,000
List price
$150,000
Delta
-54.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$32,791
Equity at exit
$56,301
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$95,301
Equity at exit
$78,929

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92363

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,812 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 106 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    price $150,000 827-char remark
    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    Near new home in the beautiful River Palms Resort located on the pristine Colorado River. 3 Spacious, open plan with lots of natural light throughout. Master suite with its own en-suite bath and walk-in closet. Separate inside laundry room with access door to outside. Full length covered carport, large covered rear deck that overlooks yard with your own mini putting green. Corner lot and near lots of extra parking spaces for guests! Community amenities include small private community beach, launch ramp, dock, basketball/tennis courts, pools, spa, outdoor BBQ areas, fitness center and more. Enjoy all the community events Palms River has to offer. Enjoy off-road trails, nearby AVI Resort, Laughlin night life and more! Call your agent today to miss out on this opportunity for the best priced 3 bedroom in the community.

  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $180,000 Active 827-char remark
    Show marketing remark (827 chars)

    Near new home in the beautiful River Palms Resort located on the pristine Colorado River. 3 Spacious, open plan with lots of natural light throughout. Master suite with its own en-suite bath and walk-in closet. Separate inside laundry room with access door to outside. Full length covered carport, large covered rear deck that overlooks yard with your own mini putting green. Corner lot and near lots of extra parking spaces for guests! Community amenities include small private community beach, launch ramp, dock, basketball/tennis courts, pools, spa, outdoor BBQ areas, fitness center and more. Enjoy all the community events Palms River has to offer. Enjoy off-road trails, nearby AVI Resort, Laughlin night life and more! Call your agent today to miss out on this opportunity for the best priced 3 bedroom in the community.

  19. 2024-12-03
    historical
  20. 2024-07-18
    price $239,999
  21. 2024-07-18
    price $139,999
  22. 2024-06-07
    listed $245,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,749
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$601
After-tax cash flow
$4,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This immaculate manufactured home in the River Palms Resort is move-in ready with modern amenities and a prime location.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained landscape can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained landscape can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Needles Unified
NCES district ID
0626760
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
23.35/100
National rank
#13305
State rank
#1194 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Needles

Score
62/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#16661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Needles, CA
Population (ZIP)
5,392

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.64%
Current HPI
279.7931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $180,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-03 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Price Changed $239,999 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Price Changed $139,999 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-07 Listed $245,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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