615 Morgantown Rd · South Union, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.9/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
Key facts
- Rear sunroom
- Off street parking
- First floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation nearby
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking (total 2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story property; Resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.33 acres; Lot dimensions: 54 x 397 x 54 x 286
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring; Full unfinished basement with walk-out access; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Laurel Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #372 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hatfield El Sch (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 326 students, 43% FRL); Laurel Highlands Ms (math 16% / reading 44%, grade F, #380 of 512 statewide, top 74%, 632 students, 54% FRL); Laurel Highlands Shs (math 62% / reading 75%, grade B, #53 of 437 statewide, top 13%, 831 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.71%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,792
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -52.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $32,413
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $93,004
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15401
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,709/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $851 | -5% $819 | +0% $788 | +5% $757 | +10% $726 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $633 | -5% $711 | +0% $788 | +5% $866 | +10% $944 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $844 | -0.5pp $816 | base $788 | +0.5pp $760 | +1.0pp $731 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189 Wiggins Ln Uniontown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14 Leith St Uniontown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 359 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $110,000 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 355 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 354 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 353 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-02-09price $119,900 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
-
2025-12-08price $129,900 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
-
2025-08-25price $140,000 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
-
2025-06-12$150,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Spacious 4 Bedroom well maintained, situated on . 33 of an acre in South Union Township. This home features hardwood floors throughout, living room fireplace and built in's, first floor laundry, nice rear sunroom, off street parking and detached garage, all located in a desirable neighborhood, nice rear yard. Move in ready in one of the area's most sought after neighborhoods, close shopping and major highways and Laurel Highlands School District. Great find!
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2018-07-02soldstatus $50,000
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2018-06-29soldstatus $50,000 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Rich in charm, this 4 bedroom is right around the corner from everything you need and everywhere you want to be! Living room with fireplace, original hardwood floors and Oak woodwork, main level laundry, newer furnace with central air and detached garage! Newer windows on 2nd level, 100 gal hot water heater, newer roof on garage. Within 1/2 mile of shops, restaurants, services and grocers.
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2018-05-09$55,000 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Rich in charm, this 4 bedroom is right around the corner from everything you need and everywhere you want to be! Living room with fireplace, original hardwood floors and Oak woodwork, main level laundry, newer furnace with central air and detached garage! Newer windows on 2nd level, 100 gal hot water heater, newer roof on garage. Within 1/2 mile of shops, restaurants, services and grocers.
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2010-04-27soldstatus $44,000
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2010-04-23soldstatus $44,000
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2010-03-03$44,900
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1999-05-24soldstatus $78,500
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1999-05-10soldstatus $81,000
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1999-02-24$88,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,709 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,723 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,595
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,709
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,888
- − Management
- −$1,888
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $8,199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,968
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurel Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213320
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,099
- Composite
- 32.74/100
- National rank
- #5637
- State rank
- #372 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Union
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leith-Hatfield, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,230
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.29%
- Current HPI
- 210.1257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+24.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $110,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $140,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-06-12 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-05-09 Listed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2010-04-27 Sold (MLS) $44,000 West Penn MLS
- 2010-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-03 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS
- 1999-05-24 Sold (MLS) $78,500 West Penn MLS
- 1999-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 1999-02-24 Listed $88,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,709 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…